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655-705 Level|   Weaken|            
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Elite097
KarishmaB MagooshExpert MartyTargetTestPrep GMATNinja how can we rule out the linkage between drop in water level and drinkability of the water as a conclusion ? How can we be sure that we are not concerned with eventually water not being made drinkable? I would have actually gone with A for that reason

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The question gives you the aim of the plan and the plan:

To keep the delta's water level from dropping any further, we should end all current diversions from the upstream tributaries.

Other things are a distraction.
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how can we rule out the linkage between drop in water level and drinkability of the water as a conclusion ? How can we be sure that we are not concerned with eventually water not being made drinkable? I would have actually gone with A for that reason
To answer the question, we need to find "a serious potential weakness of the suggested plan of action."

The plan of action is

To keep the delta's water level from dropping any further, we should end all current diversions from the upstream tributaries.

So, the plan is a plan "to keep the delta's water level from dropping any further."

That fact stated by (A), that "Desalination equipment would allow water from the delta to be used for drinking even it if became saltier," does not indicate a weakness in the plan "to keep the delta's water level from dropping."
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This question is absurd.

"a weakness of the plan" means "the weakness is a part of the plan". To wit: the existence of the weakness relies on the existence of the plan.
If the plan was unnecessary and suddenly disappeared into thin air, there's no "a weakness of the plan" left.

That we don't need the plan—what option (E) claims, cannot be a weakness of the plan, and should be a weakness of the people who made the plan.
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Hi MartyMurray KarishmaB DmitryFarber @AjiteshArun
Quote:
Which of the following would, if true, indicate a serious potential weakness of the suggested plan of action?
In this CR question, If I change the question stem to 'if true, would show that Plan wont achieve its goal ?' then will Option E still a weakener ? asking because we know the plan is useless but whether it will achieve its goal or not ? we don't know, right ?

Am I correct ? or uselessness of plan means it will not achieve the goal.

Kindly can you help ?

Thanks !­
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The conclusion assumes that the drop in water level is due the water diverted to different areas upstream, and argues that the diversion of water should be ended

Option E: states that water level decrease was due to the drought, and that the drought has ended. Thus indirectly stating that the diversion of water isnt the reason for low levels of water in delta, and states that conclusion which advocated for stopping of water need not be carried out, thus weakening it
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Quote:
Hi MartyMurray KarishmaB DmitryFarber @AjiteshArun Which of the following would, if true, indicate a serious potential weakness of the suggested plan of action?In this CR question, If I change the question stem to 'if true, would show that Plan wont achieve its goal ?' then will Option E still a weakener ? asking because we know the plan is useless but whether it will achieve its goal or not ? we don't know, right ?

Am I correct ? or uselessness of plan means it will not achieve the goal.

Kindly can you help ?

Thanks !­
A "plan" is meant to address a problem - it has an aim. If a plan is "useless," it means it will not achieve its aim. They are inter-changeable in GMAT CR questions. 
When we say, "the plan will acheive its goal," we mean that if we make the changes as per plan, will the aim be achieved assuming all else stays the same. 
Hence if the problem being addressed is "water level in the Searle River Delta is dropping" and the plan is "end all current diversions from the upstream tributaries," the plan will be a failure if the current diversions from the tributaries is not the reason for the drop. 
 


­
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GMATIntensive

The Story
Letter to the editor: If the water level in the Searle River Delta continues to drop, the rising sea level will make the water saltier and less suitable for drinking. - We’re presented with a conditional in the first statement. It is not given yet whether the water level in the delta will continue to drop. However, if it continues to drop, the water will become saltier and less suitable for drinking through the rising sea level.

Currently, 40 percent of the water from upstream tributaries is diverted to neighboring areas. - “Upstream tributaries” indicates these are water bodies that feed into the delta. However, 40% of the water from these tributaries does not reach the delta and is diverted to neighboring areas.

To keep the delta’s water level from dropping any further, we should end all current diversions from the upstream tributaries. - To prevent the water level in the delta from dropping further, the author suggests that they should end all ‘current diversions’ from the upstream tributaries (This would include the 40% water that is diverted to neighboring areas).

Neighboring water utilities are likely to see higher costs and diminished water supplies, but these costs are necessary to preserve the delta. - While the neighboring areas will likely experience higher costs for water, and diminished water supplies, these costs are necessary to preserve the delta. (So if the delta water becomes saltier and less suitable from drinking,the delta is not preserved.)

Gist: If the water levels in the delta continue to drop, the water will become saltier and less drinkable. In order to prevent the level from dropping further (goal), we should end all diversions from the upstream tributaries (plan) which include diversions to neighboring areas. While there will likely be inconveniences caused, these steps are necessary to preserve the delta.


The Gap
“To keep the delta’s water level from dropping any further, we should end all current diversions from the upstream tributaries.” The author assumes that if all current diversions are not ended, the delta’s water level will continue dropping.


The Goal
Anything that attacks the assumption we have discussed above will get the job done. There could be other assumptions and other ways to weaken the suggestion as well.


The Evaluation

A. Desalination equipment would allow water from the delta to be used for drinking even it if became saltier.
Incorrect. The letter states that if the water level continues to drop the water will become saltier AND less suitable for drinking. While drinkability is one concern, there very well might be other issues related to saltier water in the delta. So, even if certain equipment helps the water to become drinkable, the delta might still not be preserved. For example, what if the delta water is used for irrigation and if the water gets saltier? the delta water would no longer be usable for irrigation. And the delta might still not be considered preserved.

B. Water level is only one factor that affects salinity in the delta.
Incorrect. Do we care whether water level is only one factor i.e. that there are other factors that affect salinity in the delta? Does that indicate that we should not end diversions from the upstream tributaries? As long as the water level is a significant reason for salinity in the delta, the plan still makes sense. This option does not indicate any weakness in the suggested plan.

Let’s consider an example. Say a doctor suggests to a patient that she should stop consuming fatty foods to control her rising cholesterol level. Does it make sense for the patient to refute the suggestion by saying that since consuming fatty foods is only one factor that affects cholesterol levels, she need not stop consuming such foods?

C. The upstream tributaries' water levels are controlled by systems of dams and reservoirs.
Incorrect. How water levels of the upstream tributaries are controlled is entirely irrelevant to the issue at hand.

D. Neighboring areas have grown in population since the water was first diverted from upstream tributaries.
Incorrect. If, as the option suggests, the diversion of water into the neighboring areas led to an increase in the population in the areas, ending diversions might lead to a decrease in the population. Ending diversions would, at least, inconvenience the people and have a cost implication for them. However, there is no relationship between population fluctuations and the water level of the delta.

E. Much of the recent drop in the delta's water level can be attributed to a prolonged drought that has recently ended.
Correct. The drop in the water level was mainly due to a drought. The drought has now ended. So, perhaps the water levels in the delta will start to rise again, or at least the levels will likely not continue to drop. We now question the need to implement the suggested plan to achieve the desired goal of increasing the delta water level in the first place.


If you have any doubts regarding any part of this solution, please feel free to ask.
­In D, since neighbouring areas popluation grows wont the consumption increase ?
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Would it also be relevant to note that - ending diversions is the way to stop the water-level from dropping any further - implies that the the diversion should stop it from it dropping by 100% ?
if there was another option suggesting that other factors can cause the drop even after ending the diversions - that would be a weakener/drawback too right? I think Option E also indicates to some extent that other factors caused a major drop.. which is indirectly in line with this reasoning?
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I found this question to be very much flawed.
At first, the question says "serious potential weakness" of the suggested plan. The stimulus is not about what caused the drop in levels. So, with option (E), even if draught caused the drop, implementing the plan might just level up the river faster. But it's implementation won't mean that the plan will not achieve the goal. I think use of "serious potential weakness" in question means that there should be drawback of the plan that should be listed in the choices. And that's why I didn't like this question at all.

VeritasKarishma can you please help here?

thecoronafever - I understand your concern and for what its worth, I believe it is not unfounded. But here are some points which make the answer correct.

- You have 4 clearly wrong options.
- The reason for the drop is relevant. Say the delta gets just 10% of its water from the tributaries and rest from rain. The option tells us that most of the drop is because of draught. Then possibly, only rain can make up for the drop. Even if the diversions of tributaries are ended, it may bring in only 2-3% extra water which may not stop the water level from dropping. Hence, it is potential weakness of the plan. If the draught is now ending, the main source of water would kick into action and the problem may just go away.
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I believe that this question's biggest challenge is the difficulty in conclusion identification - can anyone help? GMATNinja, MartyMurray, GMATGuruNY
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