First, let’s isolate the paradox in the argument:
Fact 1: When snowfall levels are below average during the winter months, scattered patches of
the forest floor often remain exposed and accessible to scavenging wildlife.
Fact 2: Because squirrels are able to collect nuts only in snow-free areas of the forest, the
squirrel population tends to increase when there is below average snowfall.
Fact 3: However, after last year’s unprecedented snow-free winter season, the squirrel
population in this region was determined to be at a 20-year low.
In this stimulus, the first fact provides context, and the second and third facts reveal the paradox.
Here, a snow-free winter has occurred (and obviously the ground would be bare) but instead of the
squirrel population increasing as expected, it appears to be at a 20-year low.
Answer choice (A): Read closely! The stimulus discusses conditions that occur when snowfall is
below average. This answer discusses what occurs when snowfall is above average. Because this
information about a different situation than the one in the stimulus, this answer is incorrect.
Answer choice (B): This answer addresses spring breeding season, but the stimulus is about the
winter months. Information about what occurs after the winter ends is extremely unlikely to produce
an explanation for the situation in the stimulus.
Answer choice (C): This is the correct answer, and it can be a difficult one to correctly identify. At
first glance, information on the red-tailed hawk’s migration pattern would seem to be irrelevant to the
problem at hand. But, because the red-tailed hawk is a predator of the squirrel, this does ultimately
provide an explanation for the paradox.
If the red-tailed hawk does not migrate until the first
snowfall, and this year there was no snowfall, then the red-tailed hawk would have remained in the
area. As the squirrel’s most common predator, the hawk could have diminished the squirrel’s numbers
through hunting, providing an explanation for the 20-year low in squirrel population.
Answer choice (D): Squirrel food preferences are not likely to resolve the paradox, and in any event
we know that the snow-free winter allowed squirrels access to more nuts.
Answer choice (E): Although this answer provides initial hope for an explanation of the situation, by
stating that the projections are accurate, this answer does provide any further insight into the paradox,
and is thus incorrect.