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26 Nov 2020, 04:10
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“In the first four years that Montoya has served as mayor of the city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and
the unemployment rate has increased. Two businesses have closed for each new business that has opened. Under
Varro, who served as mayor for four years before Montoya, the unemployment rate decreased and the population
increased. Clearly, the residents of San Perdito would be best served if they voted Montoya out of office and
reelected Varro.”
The argument claim states the during Montoya period as a mayor in city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. It also states that during his period for each new business that has opened resulted in closing of two businesses in city of San Perdito. Hence the residents of San Perdito would be best served under Varro, who resumed the office of mayor four years prior to Montoya. During Varro period the unemployment rate decreased and the population increased. Stated this way the argument is manipulates the facts and conveys a distorted view of the situation. The conclusion of the argument is based on the assumption for which there is no clear evidence. Hence the argument is weak and has several flaws.
First, the argument readily assumes that decrease in the population of San perdito city and the increased rate in the unemployment is directly related to office of mayor. For example, during the same time the city of Manchester was going through the Covid pandemic which has spread out in the entire county of Manchester. Due to Covid pandemic there is rise in the number of people visiting the health centre due to severs medical condition. Covid pandemic results in the increase in number of deaths in Manchester and which results in number of offices and business starting reducing the number of employees in the organisation due to Covid pandemic spread. This move resulted in the unemployment across the county. It might be the city of San Perdito done through the same Covid pandemic during the period when Montoya served as the Mayor. Clearly, we cannot relate that the mayor office is responsible for the increased in unemployment rate and the decrease in population. The argument could have been much better if the explicitly stated the reasons due to which the employment rate increased and the population decreased when Montoya served as a Mayor of the city.
Second, the argument claims that for each new business that has opened in the city, resulted in closure of two businesses in the city of San Perdito. This is again a weak and unsupported claim as the argument didn’t mention the reason of the closure of the business. It might be the external factors was responsible for this. That time when Montoya served as mayor for the city,the crude prices was trading the lowest price in the stock market and many of the business in city of San peditro was directly linked in the oil and gas industry. Due to this many of business were running in loss and negative returns in investment. Many businesses decided to stop the operations till the time the crude will trade above the benchmark. The new business which open in the city of San Perdito was of small businesses dealing in food industry. Clearly, we cannot directly correlate the opening of new businesses in food industry resulted in closure of oil and gas businesses. If the argument had provided the reason for closure of businesses in Montoya term than the argument would have been more convincing.
In conclusion, we cannot relate the terms of Varro with Montoya term as a mayor. In order to assess the merits/demerits of terms, it is essential to have the full knowledge of all the contributing factors which resulted in the increase in population and decrease in unemployment rate during the Varro term. Without these information’s, the argument is open for debate.
the unemployment rate has increased. Two businesses have closed for each new business that has opened. Under
Varro, who served as mayor for four years before Montoya, the unemployment rate decreased and the population
increased. Clearly, the residents of San Perdito would be best served if they voted Montoya out of office and
reelected Varro.”
The argument claim states the during Montoya period as a mayor in city of San Perdito, the population has decreased and the unemployment rate has increased. It also states that during his period for each new business that has opened resulted in closing of two businesses in city of San Perdito. Hence the residents of San Perdito would be best served under Varro, who resumed the office of mayor four years prior to Montoya. During Varro period the unemployment rate decreased and the population increased. Stated this way the argument is manipulates the facts and conveys a distorted view of the situation. The conclusion of the argument is based on the assumption for which there is no clear evidence. Hence the argument is weak and has several flaws.
First, the argument readily assumes that decrease in the population of San perdito city and the increased rate in the unemployment is directly related to office of mayor. For example, during the same time the city of Manchester was going through the Covid pandemic which has spread out in the entire county of Manchester. Due to Covid pandemic there is rise in the number of people visiting the health centre due to severs medical condition. Covid pandemic results in the increase in number of deaths in Manchester and which results in number of offices and business starting reducing the number of employees in the organisation due to Covid pandemic spread. This move resulted in the unemployment across the county. It might be the city of San Perdito done through the same Covid pandemic during the period when Montoya served as the Mayor. Clearly, we cannot relate that the mayor office is responsible for the increased in unemployment rate and the decrease in population. The argument could have been much better if the explicitly stated the reasons due to which the employment rate increased and the population decreased when Montoya served as a Mayor of the city.
Second, the argument claims that for each new business that has opened in the city, resulted in closure of two businesses in the city of San Perdito. This is again a weak and unsupported claim as the argument didn’t mention the reason of the closure of the business. It might be the external factors was responsible for this. That time when Montoya served as mayor for the city,the crude prices was trading the lowest price in the stock market and many of the business in city of San peditro was directly linked in the oil and gas industry. Due to this many of business were running in loss and negative returns in investment. Many businesses decided to stop the operations till the time the crude will trade above the benchmark. The new business which open in the city of San Perdito was of small businesses dealing in food industry. Clearly, we cannot directly correlate the opening of new businesses in food industry resulted in closure of oil and gas businesses. If the argument had provided the reason for closure of businesses in Montoya term than the argument would have been more convincing.
In conclusion, we cannot relate the terms of Varro with Montoya term as a mayor. In order to assess the merits/demerits of terms, it is essential to have the full knowledge of all the contributing factors which resulted in the increase in population and decrease in unemployment rate during the Varro term. Without these information’s, the argument is open for debate.
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