boulderbiker wrote:
Maybe I'm spending too much time analyzing this (well, i've got all this free time now that applications are done), but in looking at last year's forum, it looks like 286 people applied R1, and 42 (15%) got interview invites. For this year, 374 people applied R1, so if our sample size is large enough to be consistent year-over-year, then about 56 people should be getting invites. Although we're about 50% through the time period for invites to be released, only 11 or 12 people have received invites so far (3%). Again, if our sample size is representative, then that would suggest that the majority of invites are yet to come out, even though we're half way through the invite time window. Perhaps this is just rationalization for false hope, haha!
Thanks boulderbiker, but I unfortunately think there is an error in this analysis in that people often join the forum after receiving an invite or even acceptance to meet other people in the class. It's very difficult to tell if we are on track to last year without the people who joined the forum late in the application process.
I'm still holding out hope, but I don't think 15% of our current 374 will get invites (hope I'm wrong!).