Statistical data indicates that there is a higher probability of one being involved in an automobile collision than an aviation accident. Pilots must complete a rigorous and lengthy training program before the conferral of their license, while an ordinary person obtains his or her driver’s license with relative ease. Therefore, in order to reduce the quantity of automobile collisions, potential licensees should be required to complete a more difficult and burdensome instructional program than that which is currently prescribed.
Which of the following best explains why the author’s reasoning is flawed?
(A) Pilot certification programs are more thorough due to the volume of information a pilot must understand in order to guide an aircraft.
(B) The total number of automobiles on the road at any given time is greater than the number of airplanes in flight.
(C) Requiring the completion of an arduous training program will not address the intrinsic risks of driving automobiles.
(D) Being involved in either an automobile collision or an aviation accident is solely related to the frequency which one drives and flies.
(E) While new drivers may exercise safer driving habits, the solution presented will not change the habits of preexisting licensees.
My friend let me borrow his study materials including a practice booklet, but I don't have the answer key. This one is really stumping me, it seems like a couple of these could be correct. I'm stuck on which is "best".
I think the correct answer option is option D.
The data provided in the argument is for the probability ( Ratio ) of some"one" to get involved in an accident, but the conclusion is made for reducing the quantity of accidents.
The option D suggests why the data provided cannot be considered for such a conclusion. "Probability of an accident increases as the frequency with which someone drives and flies". Thinking about a situation when anyone has to fly to his office ( instead of driving ) everyday, its becomes easier to say that the probability of aviation accident for that pilot will increase.