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The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion

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The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:00
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The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies.
(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well.
(C) If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework.
(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees.
(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle.

 

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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 13 Jul 2019, 00:10
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Let us look at the pattern of argument reasoning:

If a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind -> If X (scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion), then Y (team is behind).
Bears are winning by 7 points, so The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. - > If no Y (Bears are winning), then no X (Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown)

Therefore, we are looking for the pattern:
If X, then Y. If no Y then no X.

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies.
If X (new workplace injury policy is instituted) then Y (traced back to a recent incident).
If no Y (no recent incidents) then no X (no new workplace injury policies)
Matches the pattern of argument. Hold.

(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well.
If X (store X places an item on "supersale") then Y (item is not selling well).
If no X (store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale") then no Y (sales must be exceeding).
Does not match the pattern.

(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework.
If X (a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework) then Y (they will give a pop-quiz).
If Y (Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz) then X (suspected students were not completing their homework)
Does not match the pattern.

(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees.
If X (temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees) then Y (Eduardo will not compete).
Y (Eduardo elects not to participate) and X (temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees).
Does not match the pattern.

(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle.
If X (vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles) then Y (John plans to buy a new car).
No X (vehicle currently has 170,000 miles) so no Y (he will not yet purchase new vehicle).
Does not match the pattern.

Answer A
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:21
B has to be the correct answer because it falls in line with the structure of the original argument.

In both cases, it is assuming that there is no other reason that the team has not attempted a conversion and that the store did not put supersale figure.
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:22
after the upcoming touchdown -- refers to exceeds 200,000 miles and
if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion ----- refers to John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles,
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:25
The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Reasoning : Team will not do certain thing because its already winning and if it does then it means it is loosing.


Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies.
It uses analogy after the action has taken place and not a prediction and for this reason it is not correctly following the analogy of the above argument.
(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well.
This argument follows a similar reasoning : if toy is not on sale it means that it selling good, if it was then it mean thay it is not selling
(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework.
Not using the prediction analogy , doing analysis after the event has taken place.
(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees.
because the temp is 90 eduardo is not competing but it is not using the prediction method.
(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle.
Not following the analogy of the above argument because the it uses simple straight logic and not the one used above.
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:32
The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?
The arguments assumes one condition that leads to some event to be the sufficient condition to check if the event happens or not.

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies. - Incorrect the argument does not mimic the necessary to sufficient translation as the argument in question stem.
(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well. Incorrect the argument does not mimic the necessary to sufficient translation as the argument in question stem.
(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework. Incorrect the argument does not mimic the necessary to sufficient translation as the argument in question stem.
(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees. Incorrect the argument does not mimic the necessary to sufficient translation as the argument in question stem.
(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle. - Correct The argument assumes that exceeding 200,000 miles is the only condition that may lead to John purchasing new car. Hence it assumes the check on miles is sufficient. Same as original argument.
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:32
IMO Answer is B:

reasoning is as follows:
Bears --> no TPC after upcoming TD. If team scores TD and attempts TPC, team is behind, but Bears are winning by 7 points.

In B: --> newest action figure not on sale, sale exceeding expectations, if X on sale, then sales not going well.

both of these are going in the similar lines, so my answer is B
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

The argument provides conclusion first and then goes into the argument
GEneral premise is followed by a specific conclusion.


(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework.

Here the option talks about a teacher in general and then goes to a specific teacher 'Dr Ramirez'

Only option C meets this.

Eduardo will not compete (conclusion) because if temp > 75 (X) then he doesn't participate (Y), but temp

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Originally posted by prashanths on 12 Jul 2019, 08:32.
Last edited by prashanths on 12 Jul 2019, 20:19, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:40
I think E.

The given argument suggests that something will not happen in future based on what is currently the scenario.

E suggest the same thing. John will not buy car since he hasn't exceeded a certain number of miles.
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:45
IMO B

Question tells us that , team donot go for 2 point since they are winning, which implies team which is comfortable should not go for additional points or discount since they are happy with what they have and are on winning platform already.

Answer B resonates same thing . Since product is selling well, it should not be on sale, as SALE products means which is not selling well which gives bad impression , as in case of team going for 2 points.
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:47
The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Z will not do Y. Reason: They do Y in X situations, but Z is not in X situation.

Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies. ----- Does not fit the formula
(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well. -------- Does not fit the formula. Actually, this one looks like a reverse logic of our formula :)
(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework. ------Definitely no!
(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees. ----- Looks good!
(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle. ----No... Does not fit the formula


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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:49
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given that The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

the method of reasoning for option A goes well on the lines of the premise and conclusion of the given argument . IMO A;

The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies.
(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well.
(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework.
(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees.
(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle.
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post Updated on: 12 Jul 2019, 08:51
The stimulus says that "The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown and since attempting a touch down will only indicate that they are behind yet they are leading by 7 points".

From the given answer choices, it is only answer choice B that mimics the reasoning of the stimulus.

Hence answer choice B.

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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:51
Quote:
The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies.
(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well.
(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework.
(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees.
(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle.


[premise] if a team td and goes after conversion, it suggests it is losing;
[conclusion] since B is winning (at the moment), the author assumes that after the upcoming td B WILL NOT go after conversion.
[reasoning] the author assumes something is CERTAIN to happen, because of the premise above; but, **** happens…
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:52
The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?

The argument tells that if a team is behind, it will score a touchdown and attempt a two-point conversion; as B is winning; B will not attempt;

IMO Correct ans is D;
As temp is 90 & T>75 E elects not to participate, Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon; similar reasoning
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:55
The best way to attempt such questions is to draw analogy between the doer of actions.

If "a team" - the doer of if clause is team.
"The Bears will not attempt" - the doer of action is again a team. If clause is a generalization and the second statement uses that generalization to draw conclusion.

In A, the subject of If clause and conclusion are different. Eliminate
In B, store X is the subject in both cases. Keep
In C, a teacher is the subject. Keep
In D, subjects are different.
In E, again subjects are different.


Between B&C, it's really difficult to narrow down. The way I see it is that, B has a logical flaw. If X, items are not selling well. And the conclusion says that item must be selling better than expectations.

How do you compare not well and exceeding expectations?? What if it is just meeting the expectations?

You can, at best, conclude that it is selling well.

C is superior imo.

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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 08:59
The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind, and the bears are winning by 7 points.

Which of the following arguments most closely mimics the reasoning used in the above argument?

->The Bears will not attempt a two-point conversion after the upcoming touchdown. - Conclusion
->After all, if a team scores a touchdown and attempts a two-point conversion, it suggests that the team is behind,- Reason or premise 1 supports the conclusion
->the bears are winning by 7 points. -premise2 support the conclusion

Only Option D has this kind of Reasoning

(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. -Conclusion
If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, -Premise 1 supports conclusion
and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees.-Premise 2 supports conclusion
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 09:01
Breaking the argument

A particular condition will only occur (touch and 2 point) ==> some special circumstance (they are losing) ==> not a particular condition (winning) ==> not special circumstance(will not try 2 point )

We have to look for a similar structure.

Only B fits the skeleton. Hence, b is the answer.
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The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post Updated on: 13 Jul 2019, 07:16
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The stimulus uses correct Conditional reasoning.

Premise:
If two-point conversion, then behind (If reason, then result)
If NOT behind, then NOT two-point conversion. (If NOT result, then NOT reason)

Conclusion:
The Bears NOT behind, thus NOT two-point conversion (If NOT result, then NOT reason)

As we see the conclusion matches the above reasoning, and we need to find similar conditional reasoning and matching conclusion.

A. Premise: If policy, then incident (If reason, then result)
If NOT incident, then NOT policy (If NOT result, then NOT reason)

Conclusion: NOT incident, thus NOT policy (If NOT result, then NOT reason)

Correct match as in the stimulus. So keep.

B. If supersale, then bade sale
If NOT bad sale, then NOT supersale

Conclusion: NOT supersale, thus NOT bad sale.

Conclusion mismatch because of mistaken negation, thus out.

C. If suspect, then pop-quiz
If NOT pop-quiz, then NOT suspect

Conclusion: pop-quiz, thus suspect

Conclusion mismatch because of mistaken reversal, thus out.

D. If exceed, then NOT participate
If participate, then NOT exceeded

Conclusion: exceed, thus NOT

Correct match as in the stimulus. So keep.

E. If exceed, then buy
If NOT buy, then NOT exceed

Conclusion: NOT exceed, thus NOT buy

Conclusion mismatch because of mistaken negation, thus out.

We have A and D as contenders. I chose A over D because A’s conclusion is parallel to the Contrapositive of its premise, as it's in the stimuslus. However, D’s conclusion is parallel to its stimulus itself, not to its contrapostive.

One more hint: Notice that D and the original argument have too much in common!
1. both have the same topic – sport
2. both use the same words – upcoming, and (at the same places)
3. both have the same structure: Conclusion + premise + evidence

All of these similarities should make us suspicious! D is a trap! It’s too beautiful to be true! So something must be wrong with it! Indeed, however much D may look like the original argument, D still lacks parallel reasoning.

Hence A
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion  [#permalink]

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New post 12 Jul 2019, 09:03
Generalization of the stem: X won't do Y. If one does Y, it means Z. But X are at opposite of Z

(A) If a new workplace injury policy is instituted, it can generally be traced back to a recent incident. There have been no recent incidents, therefore, there must be no new workplace injury policies. Not in line with above - X means Y, No Y so no X.
(B) Since store X has not placed its newest action figure on "supersale," its sales must be exceeding expectations. After all, If store X places an item on "supersale," it is an indication that the item is not selling well. - Not in line with above - X does not do Y as Z, if Y happens then it means not Z.
(C)If a teacher suspects that students aren't completing their homework, they will give a pop-quiz. Dr. Ramirez gave a pop-quiz in class today, so she must have suspected students were not completing their homework. Not in line, if X suspects Y will do Z, Z happened so it means Y happened
(D) Eduardo will not compete in the upcoming triathlon. If temperatures are expected to exceed 75 degrees, Eduardo elects not to participate in available triathlon events, and temperatures are expected to reach nearly 90 degrees. - X will not do Y. if Z happens, X does not do Y and Z will happen
(E) John plans to buy a new car when his vehicle's mileage exceeds 200,000 miles. John's vehicle currently has 170,000 miles, so he will not yet purchase new vehicle.Correct, X will do Y when Z happens. Z has not happened so will not do Y

IMO E
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Re: The Bears will not attempt a two point conversion   [#permalink] 12 Jul 2019, 09:03

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