Bunuel
The city of Littleville wishes to institute a congestion charge, in which cars driving through the most crowded streets of Littleville, in the downtown area, would pay a fee when they did so. Proponents argue that, in these circumstances, most of the drivers in the city would choose to use outlying roads. This reduction in the traffic in downtown Littleville would help reduce the number of car accidents in the area.
The conclusion drawn in the above argument depends on which of the following assumptions?
A. The outlying roads in Littleville would not present a prohibitive inconvenience for most of the drivers in Littleville who normally use the downtown roads.
B. Most of Littleville's outlying roads are equipped only to handle cars and not the kind of commercial trucks that often have to make downtown deliveries.
C. Drivers in Littleville who can afford the congestion charge are less likely to be involved in a car accident than those who cannot.
D. Cars driving through downtown Littleville are at greater risk of being involved in a car accident than those that use outlying roads.
E. Implementing a congestion charge in Littleville would eventually create such traffic on the outlying roads that the number of car accidents would increase.
Magoosh Official Explanation:
First, identify the conclusion of this argument: reducing traffic downtown will reduce car accidents. The evidence? Cars will be using outlying roads rather than downtown roads. The assumption, in this scenario, has to be a statement that links downtown roads to higher numbers of car accidents. (D) does this by creating an explicit link between the downtown area and the number of car accidents, showing that we have to assume that this danger is linked to the area for the argument to make sense.
The statement in (A) only engages with the feasibility of the plan in terms of the outlying roads, not in terms of the plan’s ultimate goal (the need to focus on the ultimate goal is highlighted in the question’s focus on the argument’s conclusion).
(B) is primarily concerned with distinguishing between two different types of traffic, cars and trucks. This is not the main assumption driving this argument, as it doesn’t discuss car accidents at all.
The separation of drivers by class (C) is not relevant to this argument. Even wealthier people might prefer not to pay the charge, while some poorer people might be forced to pay the charge. We don't have any idea of what percent fall into this category of folks who can afford the charge. Moreover, even if someone wealthy easily can afford the charge, this does not necessarily mean that person will choose the route that involves paying the charge: in the real world, some people go out of their way to avoid the most picayune changes. So we can't determine how relevant this is. Furthermore, the focus on different types of drivers is outside the scope of the argument, which again focuses on downtown traffic and car accidents.
Finally, (E) only concerns car accidents on outlying roads. The car accident part would work for our argument, but this argument depends on a link between car accidents and the downtown area. This is certainly not an assumption, and in fact, it may be a weakener, so (E) should also be eliminated.
Answer = (D)