Hi eteum,Your c / 4.5c =
2/9 is completely correct, and it's worth seeing
why it works, because that is the exact spot where this question turns.
Write every count as a multiple of one unknown: cats =
2k, dogs =
k, fish =
6k, total =
9k. For
one cat:
P = 2k / 9k =
2/9The
k cancels - top and bottom both scale with the size of the house, so the ratio alone genuinely is enough here. Your reasoning is sound.
Two cats is a different animal (no pun intended)Once you have picked the first cat, that cat is gone. So:
P(two cats) = (2k / 9k) x (2k - 1) / (9k - 1) = (2/9) x (2k - 1) / (9k - 1)
Look at that second fraction. The
-1 does not scale with k, so
k refuses to cancel. Removing one pet changes the mix of what is left - and
how much it changes depends on how many pets there were to begin with. That is why the ratio stops being enough.
That is also all the combinations formula C(cats, 2) / C(total, 2) is doing: counting unordered pairs of cats over unordered pairs of pets. Same thing, with the
-1 hidden inside.
Two cases that prove itBoth obey the stem's ratio:
- k =
1: cats
2, total
9 - so (2/9)(1/8) =
1/36, about
0.028- k =
6: cats
12, total
54 - so (2/9)(11/53) =
22/477, about
0.046Same ratio,
two different probabilities, so the stem alone is
not sufficient. You need k.
And that is exactly what each statement hands you:
- (1) cats =
12, so k =
6.
Sufficient.- (2) total =
54 = 9k, so k =
6.
Sufficient.Each alone pins down k,
therefore the answer is
D.
Rule to carry: a ratio settles a
single-draw probability, but with
two draws without replacement the -1 breaks the cancellation, and that needs actual counts.
Answer: D