Economist: Even with energy conservation efforts, current technologies cannot support both a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions and an expanding global economy. Attempts to restrain emissions without new technology will stifle economic growth. Therefore, increases in governmental spending on research into energy technology will be necessary if we wish to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth.The economist's conclusion is the following:
increases in governmental spending on research into energy technology will be necessary if we wish to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth The support for the conclusion is the following:
Even with energy conservation efforts, current technologies cannot support both a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions and an expanding global economy. Attempts to restrain emissions without new technology will stifle economic growth. One thing that may jump out at us about this argument is that the premises are about "current technologies" and "attempts to restrain emission" whereas the conclusion is about "increases in governmental spending." So, the topics of the premises and the conclusion are quite different. In other words, there's a blatant gap between the premises and the conclusion.
Which of the following is an assumption the economist's argument requires?This is an Assumption question, and the correct answer will be a statement that must be true for the premises about current technologies and attempts to restrain emissions to effectively support the conclusion about increases in government spending.
(A) If research into energy technology does not lead to a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, then economic growth will be stifled.The argument involves the idea that new technology is necessary "if we wish to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth."
At the same time, what the argument says implies that there's another possible way for economic growth not to be stifled. There could simply be no "attempts to restrain emissions." After all, if there are no attempts to restrain emissions, then economic growth may not be stifled even without research into energy technology that leads to a reduction in emissions.
So, the argument does not assume that "If research into energy technology does not lead to a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, then economic growth will be stifled," since, given what the argument says, economic growth may not be stifled even without new technology as long as there are no attempts to restrain emissions.
Eliminate.
(B) Increased governmental spending on research into energy technology will be more likely to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling growth than will nongovernmental spending.This choice is interesting.
After all, if increased governmental spending on research into energy technology would NOT be more likely to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling growth than will nongovernmental spending, then the premises may not support the conclusion.
After all, in that case, nongovernmental spending on research into energy technology would be just as likely to serve to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth as government spending.
In that case, even though the premises about "current technologies" and "attempts to restrain emission" are true, the conclusion about "increases in governmental spending" may not be.
After all, in that case, increases in governmental spending on research into energy technology are NOT likely be necessary for reducing carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth because nongovernmental spending is likely to be able to play that role instead.
So, for the premises to effectively support the conclusion, this choice must be true.
Keep.
(C) An expanding global economy may require at least some governmental spending on research into energy technology.This topic of this choice is different from the topic of the argument.
The conclusion of the argument is about what will be necessary "if we wish to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth."
This choice is about what may be necessary for "an expanding global economy."
Arriving at the conclusion that government spending is necessary for reducing carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth does not require assuming that government spending may be required for an expanding global economy in general.
After all, even if government spending is not required for an expanding global economy in general, it may be necessary for reducing carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth.
Eliminate.
(D) Attempts to restrain carbon dioxide emissions without new technology could ultimately cost more than the failure to reduce those emissions would cost.The argument is about what "will be necessary if we wish to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth."
It's not about the "cost" of "attempts to restrain carbon dioxide emissions without new technology."
What will be necessary for reducing carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth does not depend on the cost of attempts to restrain carbon dioxide emissions without new technology.
So, the argument works regardless of whether this choice is true.
Eliminate.
(E) Restraining carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth would require both new energy technology and energy conservation efforts.This choice basically conflicts with the conclusion of the argument.
The conclusion is that "increases in governmental spending on
research into energy technology will be necessary."
The conclusion is not that "both
new energy technology and
energy conservation efforts" will be necessary.
So, the argument does not involve the assumption that "Restraining carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth would require both new energy technology and energy conservation efforts." Rather, it depends on the premise that restraining carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth would require new energy technology only.
Eliminate.
Correct answer: B