Economist: Even with energy conservation efforts, current technologies cannot support both a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions and an expanding global economy. Attempts to restrain emissions without new technology will stifle economic growth. Therefore, increases in governmental spending on research into energy technology will be necessary if we wish to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth.
Which of the following is an assumption the economist's argument requires?
Premise
If no New Tech
Reduced emissions will not lead to economic growth.
In other words
For Reduced emissions to lead to economic growth, New technology is necessary.
RE->EG->NT
Conclusion
IS=>Increases in spending
RE->EG->IS
Assumption
link New Technology with Increase in Spending.
NT->IS
Complete Chain
Reduced emissions->economic growth->New Technology->Increases in spending for research
RE->EG->NT->IS
A) If research into energy technology does not lead to a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, then economic growth will be stifled.
Choice A is a case of bad linkages.
This choice connects research with reduced emissions ie.
Negation of choice A.
if research doesn't lead to reduced CO2, the economic growth will NOT be stifled.
My conclusion "has nothing like research". Therefore
Conclusion still holds Reduced emissions->economic growth->New Technology
B) Increased governmental spending on research into energy technology will be more likely to reduce carbon dioxide emissions without stifling growth than will nongovernmental spending.
Choice B
IF a necessary condition (Increases in spending) is met, the sufficient condition (reduced emissions) becomes more likely. It is not guaranteed as there may be other requirements but since 1 out of those requirements has been met, chances of CO2 reduction increase. (1)
IF a necessary condition is not met (non-governmental spending) the chances of sufficient condition are 0. (2)
Choice B presents this comparison between (1) and (2). 1 has to be more than 2.
Negation will make the necessary condition unnecessary and break the conclusion.
C) An expanding global economy may require at least some governmental spending on research into energy technology.
Choice C would be correct if
An expanding global economy WILL require at least some governmental spending on research into energy technology.
BY using MAY require it takes governmental spending as unnecessary contradictory to our chain.
Eliminate
NEGATION OF CHOICE C
An expanding global economy may require NO governmental spending on research into energy technology.
This hurts the conclusion by saying that there is a chance that the economy doesn't require governmental spending.
BUT the original choice is ABSOLUTELY required and not MAY required. Therefore, incorrect IMO.
An expanding global economy MAY require at least some governmental spending on research into energy technology.
D) Attempts to restrain carbon dioxide emissions without new technology could ultimately cost more than the failure to reduce those emissions would cost.
Cost is of no relevance in the argument.
E) Restraining carbon dioxide emissions without stifling economic growth would require both new energy technology and energy conservation efforts.
We know CURRENT tech + energy conservation could not support both growth and reduced emission.
No such indication has been made for New Tech.