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Bunuel
12 Days of Christmas GMAT Competition with Lots of Fun

When brands introduce a new product, they typically achieve their revenue goals when they have already established a loyal customer base. On average, brands require about two years of delivering consistent results to develop a loyal customer base. Brand Z will soon launch a new environmentally-friendly hair care product. Even though Brand Z is less than two years old, the company believes that it can reach its revenue goals because an environmentally-friendly version of this hair care product is not currently offered by any other company.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the conclusion?


(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development.

(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z.

(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness.

(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens.

(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly.






 


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Information from the question stem:
When a new product is launched -- Company can meet its revenue goal if it already has loyal customer base.
To build loyal customer base -- Minimum two years of consistent result is expected from the company.
Brand Z -- launching new product -- Has less than 2years of experience--still expecting in meeting its goals as environmentally-friendly version of this hair care product is not currently offered by any other company.

We need to weaken this reasoning.

(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development.
Timeline is not clear by when they will launch it, also nothing is known about how established the competitor is.

(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z.
Here we are concerned about meeting the revenue goals of brand Z not who has more loyal customers.

(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness.
We are concerned about reaching the revenue goal not the profit.

(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens.
This seems correct since it takes time to conduct exhaustive research also it's kind of impossible to lure the existing customers. Brand Z might not be able to meet its Revenue goals.

(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly.
Irrelevant. Also the number of participants supporting is out of what number is also not given.
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Argument: When brands introduce a new product, they typically achieve their revenue goals when they have already established a loyal customer base. On average, brands require about two years of delivering consistent results to develop a loyal customer base. Brand Z will soon launch a new environmentally-friendly hair care product. Even though Brand Z is less than two years old, the company believes that it can reach its revenue goals because an environmentally-friendly version of this hair care product is not currently offered by any other company.

(1) Brands achieve their revenue goals when they have an established loyal customer base
(2) To develop this customer base a brand needs to deliver consistent results for two years
(3) Brand Z is confident that it will meet its revenue goals Despite being in the market for less than two years (i.e. it is less likely to have a loyal customer base)

Conclusion: Brand Z believes it will achieve its revenue goals

Why does brand Z predict the above conclusion ?: because an environmentally-friendly version of this hair care product is not currently offered by any other company.

So while I read the above here is what I am thinking. Hmmm, so because this is "a one of a kind" product available in the market the company believes it will achieve its goals. Interesting...

Question: Weaken

Quote:
(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development.
So we are told that another company is developing a similar product. But how is this fact going to hinder Brand Z from achieving its goals? are the customers going to wait for this company to launch its product and thus not purchase brand z? Is the company going to launch this product soon enough or is this product going to stay at the development stage for years to come? We don't know much information to understand how by simply knowing that some other brand is working on a similar product, Brand Z is not going to achieve its revenue goals. Hence, A is irrelevant

Quote:
(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z.
Okay, so there are a few competitors that have a loyal customer base advantage. But is this advantage going to stop Brand Z? The argument states that Brand Z's product is the only one out there in the market that has this particular product that is environmentally friendly. Sure, had these competitors manufactured a similar product then Brand Z would be at a disadvantage. But option B provides us with no information to show that the competitors are going to stop Brand Z (and its environmentally friendly product) from reaching its revenue goals. So B is out

Quote:
(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness.
The minute I saw "profits" I stopped reading. (well I did read on but I already scratched this option off) why? Because the argument talks about Revenue while option C talks about profits. Sure Brand Z could have low profits BUT that does not mean that it cannot achieve its revenue goals. Take the below example:

Brand Z has a revenue goal of $100k. The marketing (and other costs) is $90k. Now Brand Z launches its product and earns a revenue of $120k with profits of $30k. So we see that the profits are low due to high costs BUT hurray! Brand Z has achieved (and exceeded) its revenue goals of $120k.

Quote:
(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens.
This choice for me was an interesting one. Notice the words unlikely to change their hair care regimens. So what (D) is saying is that no matter what, the target audience that Brand Z is going after is extremely picky and rigid. Once these people fix particular hair care regimen they are not going to change. So now Brand Z is in danger. Why? Because though Brand Z has a unique product, its T.G. is unlikely to consider its "one of a kind" product. Option (D) certainly weakens Brands Z's conclusion.

Quote:
(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly.
Option (E) kind of strengthens the argument. By stating that there are a few people who would prefer Brand Z over the other (non-eco-friendly) products, this choice makes us believe that Brand Z COULD achieve its revenue goals. Of course, we have no idea how big was this survey. Was it ≥7/10 (greatly strengthens) or ≥7/100 (very weak strengthener)? But nevertheless, this option doesn't hurt the argument.

Answer: (D)
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Question Stem:
When brands introduce a new product, they typically achieve their revenue goals when they have already established a loyal customer base. On average, brands require about two years of delivering consistent results to develop a loyal customer base. Brand Z will soon launch a new environmentally-friendly hair care product. Even though Brand Z is less than two years old, the company believes that it can reach its revenue goals because an environmentally-friendly version of this hair care product is not currently offered by any other company. Keeping this in mind let's check the answer options.


(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development.

(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z.

(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness.

(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens.

(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly.

Solution: The question stem points to a weakener type question. After reading the passage, we can understand that there is a gap here between the conclusion and the premise. Brand Z seems to think that just because no other company provides an environment-friendly version of this hair care product, just by introducing such a product it can achieve its revenue goals even though it's less than 2 years old and presumably does not have a loyal customer base.


(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development.:: Reading this, there are several questions in my mind, but the biggest one is If the product is under development, how does it affect the revenues of Brand Z, which is going to launch the product? The competitor is not a threat, hence this option is not a weakener.

(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z.: Many means more than 2. So, it can be 5,10,50, or more companies. But what if 6 environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z but the other 4,5 or more don't. What if Brand Z needs only 1 or 2 companies' customer bases including their own to reach revenue goals. Then, this statement doesn't hold much weight.

(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness.: Now, granted we do not know what Brand Z's revenue goals are. It can be to break even, generate 10% profit or more, etc. But one thing is sure that this option talks about the after-sale scenario. It talks how profits will be reduced when we have to determine if such a situation is even possible, will they even be able to sell to people. Can they even break even? This might seem more like a strengthener at this point. They are able to sell and also make a profit, though small. For a new brand that's big.

(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens.: This reaches the heart of the problem. If Brand Z wants to leverage the environmentally conscious side of consumers by providing environmentally friendly version of the hair care product which no other Brand seems to provide, they need willing consumers who would take a liking to their product or a re-motivated by the environmentally friendly version tag. But if such consumers are rarely moved or motivated by new products because they rarely change such products, It calls into question their conclusion. Hence, D forms the correct option.

(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly.: If the majority of the people prefer an environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly, this is in favor of Brand Z and their conclusion. Their argument is strengthened. Not what we want.
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QUESTION
When brands introduce a new product, they typically achieve their revenue goals when they have already established a loyal customer base. On average, brands require about two years of delivering consistent results to develop a loyal customer base. Brand Z will soon launch a new environmentally-friendly hair care product. Even though Brand Z is less than two years old, the company believes that it can reach its revenue goals because an environmentally-friendly version of this hair care product is not currently offered by any other company.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the conclusion?


(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development.

(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z.

(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness.

(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens.

(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly.

ANSWER
CONCLUSIONS:
1. Brand Z will soon launch a new environmentally-friendly hair care product
2. Brands achieve their revenue goals when they have already established a loyal customer base.
3. Brands require about two years of delivering consistent results to develop a loyal customer base.
4. Brand Z can reach its revenue goals in less than two years because an environmentally-friendly version of its new hair care product is not currently offered by any other company.

ANALYSIS

(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development (A similar product not an environmentally-friendly product- eliminate A).

(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z. (This calls into question, conclusion 4, so keep it)

(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness. (This was considered in conclusion 3- eliminate C)

(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens. ((This was also considered in conclusion 3- eliminate D)

(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly. (The survey statistics is incomplete. What percentage of the total survey participants is seven? Seven could be significant or insignificant, so It cannot be used as a basis for a meaningful conclusion- eliminate E)

Option B is the correct answer.
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Here, regarding Option D, does it say that, even though currently, there are no eco-friendly hair care product similar to brand Z, in the market, there is a high chance that the eco-conscious consumers, once established with their non eco-friendly product, still not switch their hair care regime, even if brand Z is offering an eco-friendy alternative??

Anyone?
Quote:
12 Days of Christmas GMAT Competition with Lots of Fun

When brands introduce a new product, they typically achieve their revenue goals when they have already established a loyal customer base. On average, brands require about two years of delivering consistent results to develop a loyal customer base. Brand Z will soon launch a new environmentally-friendly hair care product. Even though Brand Z is less than two years old, the company believes that it can reach its revenue goals because an environmentally-friendly version of this hair care product is not currently offered by any other company.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously calls into question the conclusion?


(A) A competitor recently announced that it has a similar product currently under development.

(B) Many other environmentally-friendly hair care companies have far more loyal customer bases than that of Brand Z.

(C) Profits generated by the product will be greatly reduced because a high-cost marketing campaign will be necessary to generate awareness.

(D) Environmentally-conscious consumers conduct exhaustive research into hair care products and, once established, they are unlikely to change their hair care regimens.

(E) In recent focus groups, at least seven participants indicated that they would prefer the environmentally-friendly version of the hair care product to other versions that are not environmentally friendly.




 


This question was provided by Manhattan Prep
for the 12 Days of Christmas Competition

Win $40,000 in prizes: Courses, Tests & more

 

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