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The argument proposed is based on a memorandum from a member of a financial management and consulting firm. The member affirms that the firm has come to know from an employee of Windfall that its accounting department saved the company circa 10.000$ in overpayments by checking 10% of the last month’s purchasing invoices for errors and inconsistencies. The writer assets that the firm should advise each client to institute a policy of checking all purchasing for errors, in order to increase their net gains. Moreover, the writer believes that this could also help the firm to get the Windfall account by demonstrating to Windfall the rigorousness of the firm’s methods. However. the conclusion of the argument relies on assumptions for which there Is no clear evidence. Hence, the argument is unconvincing and has several flaws.
First, the argument assumes that thanks to an employee of Windfall, they have come to know what the company did in order to save money. However, relying on someone’s opinion is a risky move. The employee could have easily known an inaccurate information and therefore distort the reality of the facts. Even if the employee reported the right information, still we can not be sure whether checking last month’s purchasing invoices for inconsistencies has saved the company money or something else did. In order to find out this, we can not rely on someone’s assumption but we do need a reliable research based on data.
Second, the argument states that the firm should advise its clients to what Windfall did with its purchasing invoices, since it is believed that this could increase the clients’net gains. Nevertheless, there is no rational correlation between checking all purchasing invoices for errors and increase net gains. Based on an event which only happened once, it is not possible to derive a pattern for everyone. Since the event has not been studied in detail, one could institute a policy of checking all purchasing invoices for errors and at the same time lose money.
Finally, the conclusion of the argument by relying on weak assumptions turns out to be itself weak. The claimed “rigorousness of our methods” could be true if the recommendation made to its clients was efficient. However, we do not know whether the recommendation made is a positive move for the firm.
In conclusion, the argument is flawed for the above mentioned reasons and is therefore unconvincing. It could be considerably strengthened if the author clearly mentioned all the relevant facts such as a detailed analysis which shows the correlation between checking the purchasing invoices and the avoided loss. Without this information, the argument remains unsubstantiated and open to debate.