Official Solution:
The developers of Overlook Ridge built 200 luxury homes for the subdivision last year. Despite offering beautiful views and modern amenities, at least two-thirds of these homes remain unsold. To avoid further losses, the developers should cancel their plans to build an additional 100 homes in the subdivision this year.
Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the author’s recommendation?
A. A recent census shows that the average income in the area has been steadily declining over the past five years, making it unlikely that many new homes will be purchased.
B. A local newspaper poll indicates that most potential homebuyers prefer subdivisions with easy access to parks over those with scenic views.
C. Current homeowners in the subdivision have lodged several complaints about the noise caused by ongoing construction.
D. The sale of an additional 100 homes would significantly increase the community's tax base.
E. To attract potential buyers, the developers plan to design the additional homes in a more adventurous architectural style.
General Approach
The conclusion in this case is that the developers should not build any more homes, because two-thirds of the existing homes remain unsold. We need to find the answer that provides the most compelling reason that the new homes would be similarly unsold if built. Note, the question does not ask, which option will prove that the conclusion is undeniably correct. The question asks, which option from among the 5, would provide the greatest support. As the result, we have to evaluate the 5 options for what level of support each provides and then determine the one that provides the greatest level of support. The choice would be correct even if it is weak support, as long as it shows more support than the other choices.
A) Correct Answer: The most recent census indicates that mean income in the area has been steadily declining over the last five years, making new home purchases unlikely.
This answer choice supports the author's conclusion more than others. Actually, it is the only answer choice that offers support for the author's conclusion. If average incomes in the area are declining, potential buyers may not have the financial capability to purchase the homes. While these are luxury homes, this economic trend decreases the likelihood that the new homes, if built, would be sold. Therefore, this fact strengthens the author's argument that the developers should refrain from building additional luxury homes in the subdivision.
B) Incorrect. This answer choice is not relevant. There's no indication in the passage that the new homes won't have easy access to parks, so this answer doesn't necessarily support the claim that additional homes shouldn't be built.
C) Incorrect. The noise is a temporary issue related to the construction process, not a permanent feature of the homes or the subdivision.
D) Incorrect. This answer actually contradicts the author's conclusion. This would weaken the argument.
E) Incorrect. This option suggests that the new homes might be more appealing to buyers, which weakens the author's conclusion.
Answer: A