The following piece was written in 2001.
The 90s was a lost decade for the movie theater industry; the percentage of movies that ran for more than four weeks in theaters- a criterion that is traditionally assigned to a blockbuster hit- reduced significantly compared to that in the last decade. A number of reasons could have caused this decline. Firstly, the percentages of teenagers and young adults, the largest movie goers segment, in population declined in the 90s
---(A). Further, there were fewer movies made by two biggest studios in the country
----(B). However, Since the decline of viewership was also observed in the viewers in the age group of 30-40, and the viewership was down even for the biggest blockbusters, from the 2 biggest studios, the rise of the internet as a new medium is the certain cause of film industry's decline
---(C).
The crux of the argument is..
Possible reasons for something can be A or B. But there are evidences to believe A and B are not the reasons, so C IS the reason...
What should strike you? Why C is a must if not B and A? Why NOT D or E?--D or E etc should not be an option at all to be sure of CWhich of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends ?
a) All the data used in the relevant study is fairly accurate
b) Most people are oblivious to the names of studios behind the movies
c) The viewership record of the 80s is not very accurate because they were obtained manually
d) The internet provided easy access to new movies for free, making it economically improbable that someone would go out and watch new movies for a price
e) Decline in teenager and young adult population, fewer movies by big studios, and the rise of internet are the only possible explanations for the theater viewership decline
E gives us exactly what we are looking for..
However you will never find an assumption as stated in choice A-- a poorly worded choice.
Since there are quite a few inclined about D, let me delve on this two choices D and E
D just tells you that internet is economical..
It would be s STRENGTHENER for the argument BUT not an assumption..If the internet weren't economical, would the argument fall FLAT... NO... It may be just that internet is easy to access and avoids strain of moving around..
OR
Even if it is economical, people could still go to movie hall because of the experience movie hall may give..
So D is not an assumption..
NOW why E?
I say that you ate pizza in the morning or may be cutlets. But there are reasons that you would not have eaten pizza or cutlets, so you CERTAINLY ate pasta.
How can I be so sure that you ate pasta and not noodles etc.
I can be sure ONLY if there were only these 3 items with you, and therefore, if you did not eat the two of them, you certainly ate the third..Hope it helps..
An Assumption is something that always holds true. Keeping this in mind please could you help me understand why the following thought process is incorrect. (My reasons for eliminating E)
(C) is the cause of something out of (A) and (B). But, for (C) to be the cause I need to only have (A) or (B). I could also have (D) or (E) and still have (C) as the cause. For instance... If I say basket ball is my favorite sport in school despite of cricket and tennis also being taught. Now it does not HAVE TO BE TRUE that I only have these three sports taught in school. I could have baseball too, but I can still prefer basketball. By adding another sport
need no necessary break my conclusion The way I look at (E) is that it definitely is a strengthener but does not HAVE TO BE TRUE.
I completely agree with your analogy above, But its still have for me too see (E) as an assumption and not a strengthener. All I ask is "DOES THIS HAVE TO BE TURE"? and I am not sure if the answer is Yes!
Hey
Hoozan, Your sports example is not exactly analogous to the question. A better example would be - "In my school I need to pick a sport and as the doctor has prohibited me from playing tennis or cricket, I am going to have to pick basketball".
This obviously means that there are only 3 choices available to you, otherwise you wouldn't have said "
have to pick basketball".
I hope this helps!
But in this case, this does not hold accurately true that my school has only three sports , if I am unable to play tennis or cricket and I am choosing Basketball
It is only a possibility that there are only 3 sports in my school and it cannot be accurately or precisely said