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A. 40% of passengers cant read the notices. This does not explain why theft would increase.

B. Karlarinda is a major luxury destination. This does not explain why the increase after notices were posted.

C. Police began regular patrols the same day. Police presence should decrease pick pockets.

D. BEST ANSWER. People end to touch or check there valuables when they read the signs. If they check their valuables, the pick pockets could be watching them and now they know what part of their body their valuables are. They are now easier targets. Therefore increase sucessful pick pocketing.
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A- Half explanation, remove.
B- So what, doesnt help us.
C- Should reduce, not increase.
D-Correct, if someone touches their bag, it will show that they have some valuables, and more thefts will happen via onlookers.
E-Makes theft difficult, rather than easy.
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Option D is correct as it is the reaction of people to the pickpocket notice resulting in more robbery.
Remaining options either strengthen than explain the paradox.
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Acc. to me timeline is the main point to focus in CR.
The frequency of thefts is increased after the NOTICES are put up as compared to before the notices were put up. This is a bit counter-intuitive I guess this is the reason why it is a paradox. So we need to find a reason why the thefts increased after the notices were put up.

a) 40%? I guess this a low number and the remaining 60% could still justify the paradox there. With the remaining 60%, those who can read, the frequency of theft could increase way beyond than total 100%. - ELIMINATE
b) this justifies the reason why people are coming to Karla - I don't find any link with the paradox here.
c) this action should have lowered down the frequency of thefts on the D-day(of putting up notices) but could have increased the thefts later
d) this option looks like a situation where travelers would ensure their valuable items would not be stolen but it points toward a strong connection according to me. The frequency of the thefts has grown at a faster rate than before notices were put up - that means more people started realizing and complaining that their items have been stolen - this justifies the increased frequency of thefts. _ CORRECT
e) if they have hidden their valuables then it is not practically possible for the thief to steal those items - practically it shall lower the frequency of thefts.
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D

The notices worked exactly as designed, they made people think about theft. Problem is what happens next: someone reads "beware of pickpockets" and immediately pats the wallet pocket to check, which is also a free visual map for actual pickpockets, letting them know where to target.

A is a trap because it explains why the notices failed but failing to help isn't the same as making things worse, and it still leaves 60 percent who could read them. C and E would predict fewer thefts
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The paradox is that the airport put up warning signs to reduce pickpocketing, but pickpocketing increased even faster afterwards. We need an explanation for why the warnings made things worse.

IMO, Option D is Correct as it explains this situation, as it states that People often instinctively check their wallet or phone after seeing a warning, revealing where their valuables are and making it easier for pickpockets

Looking at other options:
(A) Explains why the signs might not help, but not why thefts increased
(B) More shoppers could increase thefts, but it does not explain why they rose after the warnings
(C) More police patrols should reduce pickpocketing
(E) Hidden belt packs should make theft more difficult

Answer: Option D
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Bunuel
In response to an alarming increase in the frequency of thefts by pickpockets at Karlarinda’s main airport over the preceding year, Karlarinda’s airport commission posted several large brightly-colored notices in the airport’s most prominent public areas, informing travelers of the recent spate of thefts and warning them to beware of pickpockets. In the months after these notices were posted, the frequency of pickpocketing thefts at Karlarinda’s main airport grew at an even faster rate than before the notices were posted.

Which of the following, if true, best explains the observed statistical effect of the notices posted by Karlarinda’s airport commission?

(A) Approximately 40 percent of passengers who fly into or out of Karlarinda’s main airport are unable to read any of the languages in which the notices are written.

(B) In the seven years since it abolished all sales taxes on purchases made by non-residents, Karlarinda has become one of the world’s premier luxury shopping destinations.

(C) The local police department began regular patrols of the public areas of Karlarinda’s main airport on the day when the warning notices were posted.

(D) The tendency of people to physically look or grope for the presence of valuable belongings when they perceive a threat of robbery is widespread across all cultures and demographic groups.

(E) Upon seeing the notices, many travelers purchased belt packs from the airport’s kiosks that are large enough to hold most valuables and that are worn under the traveler’s clothing.

 


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option A - does not justify why thefts increased
option b - not relevant
option c - does not matter if patrol was just for one day
option d - Correct. thieves can see where people are keeping there hands to protect there most valuable belongings and it might increase the thefts.
option e - it will decrease the number of thefts.
thus, Option D
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If pickpockets increased after the warning notices were posted, we need an answer that explains why.

I picked D. If people pat where their valuables are, pickpockets not only know that they have valuables, but also know where they are located making it easier to steal.


For A if 40% couldn't read notices they just wouldn't have effect on those people. So the rate they pickpocketed wouldn't change. It doesn't explain why pickpockets increased.

B explains why these people are targets. People are out shopping and might be wealthier on average, but if this has gone on for the past 7 years it doesn't explain the increase in theft now after the warning notices.

For C if there are increased police patrols you would assume thefts would decrease and not increase.

Same goes for E. Buying belt packs to hide valuables would make theft harder and therefore pickpocketing would go down. You could make the jump that if many are using belt packs, pickpockets will start targeting for that, but that is an added assumption and even if true, the bag being under clothing would make it difficult to steal from.
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A-Incorrect: does not explain why the theft rate actively increased after they were put up.
B-Incorrect: this does not share why there is a sudden increase in the level of theft after the notices were posted.
C-Incorrect: police should decrease crime.
E-Incorrect: wearing belt packs would decrease theft.
D-Correct: when people physically look for their valuables, it's like they are telling the pickpockets to target them and where their things are.
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A - doesn't explain increase in theft
B - not explaining immediate reason
C - contradicts rather than explaining
D - Correct; explains that being more aware can make more people aware and therefore increase cases
E - doesn't explain
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At K airport the rate of thefts by pickpockets was increasing.
so management wants to deal with it and they posted several large brightly colored notices that informs public to be aware of pickpockets in airports most prominent public areas .

conclusion= but since then the frequency of pickpocketing thefts grew even faster rate than before the notices were posted.

we need to find the why the result were opposite than they anticipated.

A this talks about notive written in some other language that 40% couldnt understand. not helping solving the case.
B it talks about this airport being shopping destination. so thats why robbers targeted it. but airport did warn passengers about the incident but still it worsened the situation. this choice doesnt solve the issue. out.
C but just on that particular day. did they continue to do? dont think so. this has no impact at all. out.
D so when people read such warning they become more cautious and that gives signal to robbers that these people something valuable with them. so it makes them more vulnerable and hence the rate of theft go up as robbers targets them more. this helps. keep.
E if passenger purchased the belt packs that hold the valuable items but rate of theft still grew. so this doesnt solve the mystery.

choice D
Bunuel
In response to an alarming increase in the frequency of thefts by pickpockets at Karlarinda’s main airport over the preceding year, Karlarinda’s airport commission posted several large brightly-colored notices in the airport’s most prominent public areas, informing travelers of the recent spate of thefts and warning them to beware of pickpockets. In the months after these notices were posted, the frequency of pickpocketing thefts at Karlarinda’s main airport grew at an even faster rate than before the notices were posted.

Which of the following, if true, best explains the observed statistical effect of the notices posted by Karlarinda’s airport commission?

(A) Approximately 40 percent of passengers who fly into or out of Karlarinda’s main airport are unable to read any of the languages in which the notices are written.

(B) In the seven years since it abolished all sales taxes on purchases made by non-residents, Karlarinda has become one of the world’s premier luxury shopping destinations.

(C) The local police department began regular patrols of the public areas of Karlarinda’s main airport on the day when the warning notices were posted.

(D) The tendency of people to physically look or grope for the presence of valuable belongings when they perceive a threat of robbery is widespread across all cultures and demographic groups.

(E) Upon seeing the notices, many travelers purchased belt packs from the airport’s kiosks that are large enough to hold most valuables and that are worn under the traveler’s clothing.

 


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In response to an alarming increase in the frequency of thefts by pickpockets at Karlarinda’s main airport over the preceding year, Karlarinda’s airport commission posted several large brightly-colored notices in the airport’s most prominent public areas, informing travelers of the recent spate of thefts and warning them to beware of pickpockets. In the months after these notices were posted, the frequency of pickpocketing thefts at Karlarinda’s main airport grew at an even faster rate than before the notices were posted.


premise :
frequency of thefts by pickpockets at Karlarinda main airport has increased ..
large colore notices were also installed at public area , but this has increased the rate of theft ...



Which of the following, if true, best explains the observed statistical effect of the notices posted by Karlarinda’s airport commission?

resolve paradox type CR


(A) Approximately 40 percent of passengers who fly into or out of Karlarinda’s main airport are unable to read any of the languages in which the notices are written.

this is not a strong reason to increase in frequency of theft... incorrect option..


(B) In the seven years since it abolished all sales taxes on purchases made by non-residents, Karlarinda has become one of the world’s premier luxury shopping destinations.

the option does not discuss the argument in detail and does not resolve the paradox... incorrect option


(C) The local police department began regular patrols of the public areas of Karlarinda’s main airport on the day when the warning notices were posted.

the option should be a weakener to conclusion , but rate of theft have increased, incorrect option



(D) The tendency of people to physically look or grope for the presence of valuable belongings when they perceive a threat of robbery is widespread across all cultures and demographic groups.

the option addresses alternate reason that people checked more on to self , the theives got more aware of valuable belongings and this led to increase in theft frequency..
correct option



(E) Upon seeing the notices, many travelers purchased belt packs from the airport’s kiosks that are large enough to hold most valuables and that are worn under the traveler’s clothing.


not a strong reason to make the conclusion resolve ..
incorrect option

OPTION D is correct
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The airport commission posted warning signs telling travelers to beware of pickpockets. This has caused an opposite outcome that the one expected, instead of reducing thefts, pickpocketing increased even faster. To explain this paradox we need a reason why the warnings may have incentivized pickpocketing or made it easier even further.

(A) says many passengers couldn't read the notices.

This explains why the notices didn't help everyone but it doesn't make sense why thefts increased at an even faster rate. If this was the cause the rate should've remained same.

(B) says Karlarinda became a popular luxury shopping destination.

This can be a reason why there are more valuable items at the airport but it doesn't explain why thefts increased specifically after the notices were posted. Hence not relevant.

(C) says police started regular patrols when the notices were posted.

This doesn't make sense because the police should've resulted in decreased theft not an increase.

(D)The tendency of people to physically look or grope for the presence of valuable belongings when they perceive a threat of robbery is widespread across all cultures and demographic groups.

This option does make sense because it explains a consequence of the warnings which is that When people are warned about pickpockets they instinctively tend to touch or check their wallets or valuables constantly to make sure they are safe. By watching this reaction pickpockets can easily identify where each person's valuables are hidden making theft easier now.

(E) says many travelers bought hidden belt packs.

This should make valuables harder to steal so it would likely reduce thefts rather than increase them.



Answer: Option D
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explain discrepancy questions do not have conclusion. it is entirely made of premise(s).

-- increase in airport pickpocket theft in preceding year.
-- several bright notices placed in public areas to warn travelers.
-- in following months, the crime rate increased more rapidly than before rather than decreasing.

A) 40% not being able to read notices means they do not become warned and hence do not take any pre-cautionary measure to protect themselves from pickpockets. assuming other 60% did take pre-cautionary measures after reading notice, crime rate is expected to remain same if not drop. so it does not help explain the discrepancy that crime rate increased more rapidly.

B) does not help explain the behavior in the last year, if travelers influx has been high since last seven years, why the crime rate has increased in the preceding year, we don't know.

C) police patrol is expected to lower the crime rate, what happened was opposite of that.

D) upon reading notice, if travels perceive threat and grope or physically look for valuable belongings, that gives an advantage to pickpockets to know where exactly to look for hence explaining why crime increased. correct

E) this is expected to lower crime and not increase it. wearing belongings under clothing prevents pickpockets from stealing.
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A. Does not explain the fast increase in theft
B. This does not establish a connection between the posting of the notices and the increased theft
C. This should actually lead to a decline in theft cases
D. Exactly the explanation needed because it means the groping actually made it easier for the pick-pocketers to locate the items to steal
E. This should have made it even harder to steal
Ans D
Bunuel
In response to an alarming increase in the frequency of thefts by pickpockets at Karlarinda’s main airport over the preceding year, Karlarinda’s airport commission posted several large brightly-colored notices in the airport’s most prominent public areas, informing travelers of the recent spate of thefts and warning them to beware of pickpockets. In the months after these notices were posted, the frequency of pickpocketing thefts at Karlarinda’s main airport grew at an even faster rate than before the notices were posted.

Which of the following, if true, best explains the observed statistical effect of the notices posted by Karlarinda’s airport commission?

(A) Approximately 40 percent of passengers who fly into or out of Karlarinda’s main airport are unable to read any of the languages in which the notices are written.

(B) In the seven years since it abolished all sales taxes on purchases made by non-residents, Karlarinda has become one of the world’s premier luxury shopping destinations.

(C) The local police department began regular patrols of the public areas of Karlarinda’s main airport on the day when the warning notices were posted.

(D) The tendency of people to physically look or grope for the presence of valuable belongings when they perceive a threat of robbery is widespread across all cultures and demographic groups.

(E) Upon seeing the notices, many travelers purchased belt packs from the airport’s kiosks that are large enough to hold most valuables and that are worn under the traveler’s clothing.

 


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Conclusion: In the months after these notices were posted, the frequency of pickpocketing thefts at Karlarinda's main airport grew at even faster rate than before the notices were posted.

We need to find the answer choice whih explains/ supports the observation effect after posting these notices.

A - If travellers can't read, then it will not reduce the theft - but should have remained same atleast. But this doesn't say anything about why theft increased.
B - It explains the rise in thefts. For luxary shooping, people will carry enough stuffs & money that will attract the theives.
C - It should have reduced the theft, but here it increased.
D - This is the general tendency explained reagrding theft, not why theft increased in the particular duration.
E - It should have reduced theft, not incresed.

Answer: B

Bunuel
In response to an alarming increase in the frequency of thefts by pickpockets at Karlarinda’s main airport over the preceding year, Karlarinda’s airport commission posted several large brightly-colored notices in the airport’s most prominent public areas, informing travelers of the recent spate of thefts and warning them to beware of pickpockets. In the months after these notices were posted, the frequency of pickpocketing thefts at Karlarinda’s main airport grew at an even faster rate than before the notices were posted.

Which of the following, if true, best explains the observed statistical effect of the notices posted by Karlarinda’s airport commission?

(A) Approximately 40 percent of passengers who fly into or out of Karlarinda’s main airport are unable to read any of the languages in which the notices are written.

(B) In the seven years since it abolished all sales taxes on purchases made by non-residents, Karlarinda has become one of the world’s premier luxury shopping destinations.

(C) The local police department began regular patrols of the public areas of Karlarinda’s main airport on the day when the warning notices were posted.

(D) The tendency of people to physically look or grope for the presence of valuable belongings when they perceive a threat of robbery is widespread across all cultures and demographic groups.

(E) Upon seeing the notices, many travelers purchased belt packs from the airport’s kiosks that are large enough to hold most valuables and that are worn under the traveler’s clothing.

 


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D is the winner.

A - Inefficiency of sign language will not satisfy the cause of increase in thefts.

B - Seven Year ?? We are interested in recent increase in thefts even after alert warning. Dosent satisfy why the left increased.

C - Increasing police should result in diminishing of incident rather than increasing. Omit

D - This scenario could be helpful to the thieves/pickpockets cause new warning poster making them alert, and cautiously travellers are checking on their valuables again and again which makes thieves know the location of valuables.

E - This action should reduce the no of incident rather than increasing . Omit
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