Thanks jjright...that was actually my post on bw...haha but thanks for posting it here too
I've decided to join this forum because it's more active it seems like!
I also have these following thoughts...
So I'm thinking...these are the possible outcomes for R1 WLers...(please feel free to comment)
Admitted in R2 (I would say significant portion - explained below)
Denied in R2 - (These would be the ones who they realized after all, aren't as strong as R2 candidates or other R1 WL candidates)
Continue WL in R2 - (I'm thinking small numbers as these people are the 'borderline' candidates that would need to be judged after R3)
Remove / Withdrawal of R1 WL - (possible as quite a few would have accepted other top schools and need to pay deposit / could not be bothered waiting)
I mean I keep on thinking, they must see something they like otherwise they would just ding me and not bother waitlisting me in R1 right?
So the question is, would R2 applicants be much higher quality than I am? Not necessarily...
I think alot comes down to who applies in R2 e.g. are there people similar in background to you but who is just slightly better in everything? What is their diversity pool like in R2? (i.e. minorities etc)? What can you offer that is not offered by R2 candidates?
The adcoms would have read your application many times by R2....I think that's a good thing. You've left an impression but they're not sure until they can compare you with the rest. You're probably in their minds already...they can't find a real reason to ding you unless they find someone else who is has similar experience but better...
I also think, they probably WL more people in R1 (especially this year) because they want to make sure they get the best and right candidates so they need to evaluate R2 first before they can fully make an informed decision. The conclusion is, R1 WL is better than R2 WL. For me, R1 WL is to make sure they can find the best quality students whereas R2 WL is more for yield purposes...not sure if that's true but it sounds logical?
But maybe this is just wishful thinking.
Enough thinking! Even though W is my first option, gotta be practical and get on with R2 applications!!
Good luck everyone!~