Historians have long debated whether the grand arcs of human affairs are best explained by the edicts of rulers or by the collective agency of ordinary people. Proponents of what is often called the “top-down” approach contend that decisive events, from wars to economic crises, were precipitated chiefly by sovereigns and their advisors, whose rare access to coercive power allowed them to steer outcomes inaccessible to the masses. Yet a contrasting “bottom-up” tradition, first articulated systematically by social historian E. P. Thompson, argues that the cumulative actions of non-elites can redirect even the most formidable political designs.
The debate is not merely theoretical. A quantitative study by Delgado (2018) found that 57 percent of major policy reversals in twentieth-century democracies were preceded by sustained grass-roots mobilization rather than by changes of leadership. Two cases are illustrative. In the United States, the Civil Rights Movement eventually compelled federal intervention despite presidents who, at the outset, regarded civil-rights legislation as electorally hazardous. Likewise, New Zealand’s 1893 enfranchisement of women, decades ahead of most Western nations, was achieved only after a nationwide petition carrying nearly one-tenth of the colony’s population forced Parliament’s hand. While charismatic figures such as Martin Luther King Jr. or suffragist Kate Sheppard became recognizable emblems, contemporary diaries and court records show that thousands of anonymous participants organized meetings, gathered signatures, and sustained boycotts that made reversal politically costlier than reform.
Critics of the bottom-up lens counter that successful movements typically exploit moments of elite division: without cracks among decision-makers, popular pressure alone may dissipate. Still, defenders reply that fractures at the top often arise because rank-and-file agitation alters the calculus of those in power. Whether one views ordinary actors as auteurs or merely catalytic, their presence complicates any historical narrative that confines causal agency to palaces and parliaments.
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the author’s defense of the bottom-up approach?
A. Statistical reanalysis shows that Delgado’s sample under-represented autocratic regimes, where policy reversals are rare.
B. Newly declassified correspondence reveals that New Zealand’s cabinet had already drafted a women’s-suffrage bill months before the mass petition was submitted.
C. A biography of Martin Luther King Jr. indicates that he frequently consulted with U.S. presidents on civil-rights strategy.
D. Recent scholarship suggests that early historians exaggerated the scale of grassroots participation in the Civil Rights Movement.
E. Oral histories from petition organizers indicate that they received covert funding from wealthy industrialists supportive of suffrage.