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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that Updated on: 23 Nov 2020, 02:35
Originally posted by rajathpanta on 25 Oct 2012, 04:02.
Last edited by Bunuel on 23 Nov 2020, 02:35, edited 2 times in total.
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?

(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 25 Oct 2012, 04:15
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.
Show more

OA is given as C. However, to me B looks like a better option. The argument never says that A, B and C are the only candidates contesting the election. The argument also clearly says "candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won". Moreover, B is a milder statement compared with C. So to me B looks like a better answer choice. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong.
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 25 Oct 2012, 04:32
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.

OA is given as C. However, to me B looks like a better option. The argument never says that A, B and C are the only candidates contesting the election. The argument also clearly says "candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won". Moreover, B is a milder statement compared with C. So to me B looks like a better answer choice. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong.


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I completely agree that it should be option B, not C. Option C makes two assumptions, not supported by the passage:

First assumption is that only A, B and C are contesting the election.

Second assumption is that the history is a perfect indicator of the future. In other words, if something has not happened in the past, it will never happen in the future also. I say this assumption is made because C is entirely left out of contention for a winner, which, in other words, means that C cannot win. Using past data, we can say that C is less likely to win but we cannot say that "C cannot win".

Given that both of these assumptions are not supported by the passage, correct option should be B.

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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 25 Oct 2012, 04:26
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.

OA is given as C. However, to me B looks like a better option. The argument never says that A, B and C are the only candidates contesting the election. The argument also clearly says "candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won". Moreover, B is a milder statement compared with C. So to me B looks like a better answer choice. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong.

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Totally agreed.
Ans B makes more sense. There could be other candidates in the race and likelihood of A or B to win election is not supported by argument. However C with less than 100 hours of campaign may lose the election. Since same has been historically proved.
Ans should be B.
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 26 Oct 2012, 08:44
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.
Show more

I took C and my reasoning for it was that the stem seems to suggest very strongly that someone who does not canvass for 100 hours will win (notice how it speaks in absolutes, such as "ALL winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours"; "...canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have NEVER EVER won". Therefore, in my opinion, the author is very strongly implying that unless you canvass for 100 hours, you won't win and out of all of the candidates, only A and B have canvassed for 100+ hours, therefore ONLY they have a shot at winning. The fact that there are other candidates involved is irrelevant because they are the only ones who have canvassed for 100 hours, so they are the only ones that will win. B doesn't take a strong enough stand based on the author's language, so IMO, it loses to C. The fact that the stem makes us assume the statements as true (i.e. that unless you have 100 hours, you WILL lose), there is simply no chance in hell that candidate C will lose, so "most likely" doesn't cut it. If B said, "Candidate C will lose" then it would be correct.
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 26 Oct 2012, 09:02
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.

I took C and my reasoning for it was that the stem seems to suggest very strongly that someone who does not canvass for 100 hours will win (notice how it speaks in absolutes, such as "ALL winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours"; "...canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have NEVER EVER won". Therefore, in my opinion, the author is very strongly implying that unless you canvass for 100 hours, you won't win and out of all of the candidates, only A and B have canvassed for 100+ hours, therefore ONLY they have a shot at winning. The fact that there are other candidates involved is irrelevant because they are the only ones who have canvassed for 100 hours, so they are the only ones that will win. B doesn't take a strong enough stand based on the author's language, so IMO, it loses to C. The fact that the stem makes us assume the statements as true (i.e. that unless you have 100 hours, you WILL lose), there is simply no chance in hell that candidate C will lose, so "most likely" doesn't cut it. If B said, "Candidate C will lose" then it would be correct.
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You should notice that the argument does not say ONLY A & B. Also the fact that C takes too strong a stand is what makes it wrong when compared with B. " candidate C will lose" would also be incorrect. In finding conclusion more often than not it is a safer pick to choose the milder statement. The author only says that candidates who have canvassed for less than 100 hours have never won. He does not say that such a candidate can never win. The author does not imply that unless you canvass for 100 hours you wont win. Rather he only says that if you do not canvass for 100 hours, the chances for you to win are lesser than your chances if you had canvassed for 100 hours. And on a general note, to repeat myself, in finding conclusion, more often than not it is better to go with the mildest statement.

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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 17 May 2016, 02:33
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.
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Can someone explain why option 'E' is incorrect!
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 17 May 2016, 02:39
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.

Can someone explain why option 'E' is incorrect!
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Are we given that the candidate with the highest number of hours canvassed will win?

CJ
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 17 May 2016, 02:43
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.

Can someone explain why option 'E' is incorrect!

Are we given that the candidate with the highest number of hours canvassed will win?

CJ
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yes correct.. "candidate with the highest number of hours canvassed will win" is not stated by the Stimulus..
thanks chiranjeev12

+1 for you :)
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 23 Nov 2020, 02:35
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rajathpanta
Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?
(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election
(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election
(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B
(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.
(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.
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Official Explanation



Answer: B

Since this is an Inference question, let’s look at each option and eliminate.

(A) The argument never states that the candidate who canvasses for the maximum number of hours wins the election. The argument only states that the winning candidates always canvass for more than 100 hours, so A could also win the election.

(B) The correct answer. This has to be true based on the information in the stimulus. Candidate C has canvassed for fewer than 100 hours and no one with such a track record has ever won the election, so it can be safely concluded that C will most likely lose the election. Note that most likely does not mean definitely.

(C) The argument never states that A, B and C are the only candidates standing for the election; there could be other candidates as well who could have canvassed for more than 100 hours.

(D) This can be a logical opinion but cannot be inferred from the information in the stimulus.

(E) Again the stimulus never states that the candidate who canvasses for the maximum number of hours will win the election, so this inference need not be true.
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 17 Apr 2026, 22:16
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Can someone please explain to me why Option D) is incorrect. The stem pushes us to infer a causal relationship from a correlation. If one doesn't fall into the trap, they'd realise that the winner is unlikely to be dependent solely on the hours one has canvassed, since the question never explicitly said that it's the only factor involved.
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that 18 Apr 2026, 05:30
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Historical data for all the elections held in Gangnam City shows that all winning candidates have canvassed for at least 100 hours. In fact candidates who have canvassed for fewer than 100 hours have never ever won. Out of all the candidates contesting in the upcoming elections in Gangnam City, Candidate A has canvassed for 120 hours, Candidate B has canvassed for 150 hours, and Candidate C has canvassed for 90 hours.

If the statements above are true, which of the following conclusions is most strongly supported by them?

The statements give a necessary condition for winning: a candidate must have canvassed for at least 100 hours. So any candidate with fewer than 100 hours is ruled out. But among candidates with 100 or more hours, we still cannot tell who will win. So the only strong conclusion is that Candidate C is very unlikely to win.

(A) Candidate B will most likely win the election

Not supported. We only know B meets the minimum condition. That does not make B the likely winner.

(B) Candidate C will most likely lose the election

This is best supported. Candidate C has canvassed for only 90 hours, and the passage says candidates with fewer than 100 hours have never won.

(C) The winner of the election will either be Candidate A or Candidate B

Too strong. There may be other candidates, and one of them may also have canvassed for at least 100 hours.

(D) The results of an election cannot be solely dependent on how many hours a candidate canvasses for.

Not supported. The passage does not tell us whether canvassing hours are the only factor.

(E) If no other Candidate has canvassed for more than 150 hours, then Candidate B will win the election.

Not supported. Even if B has the most hours, that does not guarantee victory.

Answer: (B)
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