Will give a try:
Intro:
Throughout much of its fifty-year history, the country of Dischordia has depended on beef imports in order to provide its citizens with a sufficient food supply.
Premise1:
Dischordia instituted a program => domestic grain production => farmers in Dischordia are producing more grain than its citizens consume.
Premise2:
Dischordians are consuming grain on a daily basis > Dischordians consuming beef on a daily basis.
Premise1+Premise2+[Assumption] => Conclusion: Clearly, the Dischordian grain initiative is what brought about this change.
Possible assumptions:
1)Countries exporting meat to Dischordia haven't reduced the export quantity.
2)People of Dischordia haven't developed dislike for meat and hence started preferring grain over meat.
Now lets look at option D:
D Has the daily consumption of grain in Dischordia grown as a result of the animal rights lobby's increased media presence and an increase in the purchase price of store-bought beef?
Variance test on Assumption#2:
Yes: Breaks the conclusion ,introduces another factor.
No: Supports the conclusion.