1. Deconstruct the Argument
First, let’s identify the core components of the activist’s argument:
• Premise: Certain pollutants in water are linked to cancer and birth defects.
• Premise: These pollutants enter the human body through the food chain.
• Premise: These diseases are often incurable, so prevention is critical.
• Premise: Industries producing these pollutants are unlikely to follow regulations.
• Conclusion: Therefore, the only effective way to significantly reduce these diseases is to halt these industries.
2. Identify the Logical Gap (The Flaw)
The activist makes a significant logical leap. The argument establishes that industrial pollutants are a cause of cancer and birth defects. However, it concludes that stopping the source of these specific pollutants is the only effective way to reduce the overall incidence of these diseases.
The flaw is this assumption of scope. The argument treats industrial pollutants as if they are the sole or most significant cause of all cancers and birth defects. If other factors are also major causes, then halting these industries might not significantly impact the overall rates of these conditions, and it certainly wouldn’t be the only effective strategy.
3. Evaluate the Options
Now, let’s test the answer choices against this identified flaw.
• (A) fails to consider the possibility that a significant number of occurrences of cancer and birth defects may be caused by preventable factors other than industrial pollutants.
This directly hits the nail on the head. If a large number of cases are due to other factors (like genetics, smoking, diet, or other environmental toxins), then the activist’s conclusion that halting these specific industries is the “only effective way” to reduce the overall incidence is fundamentally flawed. This is the correct answer.• (B) does not consider the possibility that pollutants can cause harm to nonhuman species as well as to human beings.
This is irrelevant. The argument is specifically about preventing cancer and birth defects in humans. Harm to other species is outside the scope of this particular argument’s conclusion.• (C) takes for granted that certain effects can be produced independently by several different causes.
This is the opposite of the flaw. The activist’s error is failing to consider other causes, not taking them for granted. The activist acts as if there is only one important cause.• (D) fails to consider whether industries may voluntarily decrease their output of pollutants.
The argument explicitly addresses this by stating that industries are “unlikely to comply adequately with strict environmental regulations.” The activist has already dismissed this possibility, so it’s not a flaw they overlooked.• (E) fails to consider the possibility that chemicals now classified as pollutants have some beneficial effects not yet discovered.
This is a distraction. The potential for undiscovered benefits doesn’t negate the known harm (cancer and birth defects) that the argument is trying to prevent.ConclusionThe primary reasoning error is oversimplification.
The correct answer is (A) because it precisely identifies this flaw: the argument ignores other potential causes, which undermines the claim that halting industries is the “only effective way” to reduce the overall incidence of these medical conditions.