Identify flaw: one will only deal with an issue after the issue has occurred and based on a certain condition.
Let X = complaint of ant infestation; Y = Exterminator to be called. Probability(X) = almost 0%, therefore P(Y) = almost 0%
Apply to each scenario presented:
(A) theater will be constructed in the fall if funds collected are at least sufficient to cover its cost. To date, the funds collected exceed the theater's cost, so the theater will be constructed in the fall.
X has occurred, Y will therefore occur as well(B) The number of flights operated by the airlines cannot be reduced unless the airlines can collect higher airfares. But people will not pay higher airfares, so it is not the case that the number of flights will be reduced
X (higher airfares) will definitely not occur, Y will therefore not occur. What distinguishes B from D, in my mind, is that it is not an issue that will only be dealt with once the issue occurs, but rather an issue that cannot be solved since people will not pay higher prices. In D we are dealing with a solvable issue. (C) In order for the company to start the proposed building project, both the town council and the mayor must approve. Since the mayor has already approved, the building project will be started soon
X has occurred, Y will therefore occur as well(D) Most employees will attend the company picnic if the entertainment committee is successful in getting a certain band to play at the picnic. But that band will be out of the country on the day of the picnic, so it is not true that most employees will attend
X has no chance of occurring, Y will therefore not occur as well. This is closer to the infestation scenario as in D we are dealing with a solvable issue in that the party can be re-scheduled(E) Either the school's principal or two-thirds of the parent council must approve a change in the school dress code in order for the code to be changed. Since the principal will not approve a change in the dress code, the code will not be changed
Wrong reasoning anyway. X or Z must occur has occurred; X will not occur but Z might so Y may therefore still occur