Why printing banknotes of 1,000,000 LBP instead of 100,000 LBP slows the spending of foreign reserves?
A) Increasing the liquidity of lebanese pound augments the demand on foreign currencies that, in turn, depreciates more the value of Lebanese Pound: It doesn’t help, in fact it weakens; increasing demand on foreign currencies decreases the reserves.
B) The printing cost of bank notes, in last two months, arose to 0.2 euros/bank note: In case of hyperinflation that is happening in this country, Central Bank has to print more money to scope with the low value of money in circulation. The price is in euro indicating that the printing process is done in Europe or needs raw materials from Europe.
So for exemple to pump 1,000,000,000 LBP in the market, you need 10,000 papers of 100,000LBP denominated bank note or 1,000 papers of 1,000,000 LBP denominated bank note.
So if you spend 1,000*0.2=200€ on papers of 1,000,000 instead of 10,000*0.2=2,000€ on papers of 100,000 the Governor will save foreign reserves. It strengthens very seriously the decision.
C) The current low value of Lebanese Pound forced citizens to carry on large number of papers that increased incidences and insecurity in the country: In this statement we can conclude that this decision will increase the safety of the citizens and not the foreign reserves.
D) Raising the amount of money in circulation would increase the purchasing power of the consumer in LBP and therefore help the economy: More money in circulation in LBP would increase the spending in LBP and enforce the economy locally, but it doesn’t answer the foreign reserve problem in any way. In fact, the main reason of the crisis is increasing money in circulation when they raised the wages of public sector. Public workers started to convert the extra money to foreign currencies and take vacations outside the country to spend it, and therefore consuming the reserve. So in D while increasing the consumer purchase power, we are increasing the GDP and the economy virtually, but also we are increasing the importation in a bad built economy, and increasing scarcity of foreign reserve.
E) Most prices of unnecessary products are in the range of 1,000,000LBP: In this statement we can conclude that this decision solves the problem of paying less number of papers but it’s irrelevant to the foreign reserve scarcity.
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