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Ruskiys
I think that was sarcasm?

Or is the joke on me...
it is a joke.
tomorrow will be my deadline.
I will lose 40% of my hopes by 20:00gmt.
then 20% each friday that 20% will be left to 30th of march.
I think this is a reasonable approach.
given historical trends and management forecast for feedback on the 30th, i'd expect hopes to remain closer to 40% by the end of the month.
i support the 40% decline this week, but would then suggest a 10% attrition for the following 2 weeks.
let's throw together a couple sensitivity tables to show the impact of these changes.
Actually, I agree with your approach...
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Ruskiys
I think that was sarcasm?

it is a joke.
tomorrow will be my deadline.
I will lose 40% of my hopes by 20:00gmt.
then 20% each friday that 20% will be left to 30th of march.
I think this is a reasonable approach.
given historical trends and management forecast for feedback on the 30th, i'd expect hopes to remain closer to 40% by the end of the month.
i support the 40% decline this week, but would then suggest a 10% attrition for the following 2 weeks.
let's throw together a couple sensitivity tables to show the impact of these changes.
Actually, I agree with your approach...

I'm fine with this methodology. The one missing piece is the baseline probability of acceptance today. If right now, you think your odds are 30%, then the decline will be 30% - 18% - 15% - 12% over the next four Fridays.
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I guess no one is able to distinguish him/herself from the group, your chances will go down each minute as someone else gets accepted.
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trollmail

I'm fine with this methodology. The one missing piece is the baseline probability of acceptance today. If right now, you think your odds are 30%, then the decline will be 30% - 18% - 15% - 12% over the next four Fridays.
i disagree. i think there are two methods of selection here; (a) replace spots for those that have declined and (b) consideration with round two.
for method a, i agree. no news is bad news. but based on my extrapolated speculation on others' facebook math and ms. kumar's notes, i believe there is a decent proportion of the waitlisted population that will be reconsidered with round 2 folks. to that end, your chances on march 30 may depend on the quality of round 2 applicants and spaces available.

most of this is just meant to be amusing, as i'm sure that we all need distractions from refreshing our inboxes. but speculation aside, i'm going with tempered optimism. i'm not giving up hope until i read a "we regret to inform you..." letter on applyyourself.
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trollmail

I'm fine with this methodology. The one missing piece is the baseline probability of acceptance today. If right now, you think your odds are 30%, then the decline will be 30% - 18% - 15% - 12% over the next four Fridays.
i disagree. i think there are two methods of selection here; (a) replace spots for those that have declined and (b) consideration with round two.
for method a, i agree. no news is bad news. but based on my extrapolated speculation on others' facebook math and ms. kumar's notes, i believe there is a decent proportion of the waitlisted population that will be reconsidered with round 2 folks. to that end, your chances on march 30 may depend on the quality of round 2 applicants and spaces available.

most of this is just meant to be amusing, as i'm sure that we all need distractions from refreshing our inboxes. but speculation aside, i'm going with tempered optimism. i'm not giving up hope until i read a "we regret to inform you..." letter on applyyourself.
Guys,
We are just killing time here :)
it is good to share the waitlist "fever".
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speedmerchant
trollmail

I'm fine with this methodology. The one missing piece is the baseline probability of acceptance today. If right now, you think your odds are 30%, then the decline will be 30% - 18% - 15% - 12% over the next four Fridays.
i disagree. i think there are two methods of selection here; (a) replace spots for those that have declined and (b) consideration with round two.
for method a, i agree. no news is bad news. but based on my extrapolated speculation on others' facebook math and ms. kumar's notes, i believe there is a decent proportion of the waitlisted population that will be reconsidered with round 2 folks. to that end, your chances on march 30 may depend on the quality of round 2 applicants and spaces available.

most of this is just meant to be amusing, as i'm sure that we all need distractions from refreshing our inboxes. but speculation aside, i'm going with tempered optimism. i'm not giving up hope until i read a "we regret to inform you..." letter on applyyourself.
Guys,
We are just killing time here :)
it is good to share the waitlist "fever".
totally. i've already worn out the ears on all of my coworkers, so i guess gmat club is just the next medium for speculation, venting and obsession. just glad to be in good company.
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Guys,
We are just killing time here :)
it is good to share the waitlist "fever".[/quote]
totally. i've already worn out the ears on all of my coworkers, so i guess gmat club is just the next medium for speculation, venting and obsession. just glad to be in good company.[/quote]


Talking to someone who has little idea about the process and schools turns out to be a painful conversation for that person. One needs to click on the decision letter to understand the excitement. I was about to have a heart attack when I clicked harvard, wharton was less painful then.
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I honestly think we should keep our hopes for March 30th. I mean, of all of the people I know on the WL (online and off), I've only heard of the guy that posted here who got in.

I think the majority will be admitted and denied along with rd2 students.
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HBS announced its offering acceptances to 50 people off its R1 Waitlist.
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HBS announced its offering acceptances to 50 people off its R1 Waitlist.

That should be potentially a positive news for us, Wharton waitlister, as some people waitlisted by both schools will withdraw their application from Wharton.
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I would like to know whether any Wharton R1 wait-lister submitted any additional info/material or letter of support from alum/current student, etc. ?
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I've noticed one gmat-club member reporting conversion from WL to Accept.

Are there others.... as well?

did anyone get a ding while being on WL...? Wanted to know whether there was any significant movement in the WL.
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Only 1 person that I know who reported admissions from WL. That seems awfully low. Everybode else I know from GMATCLUB or real life have not heard anything. It really does seems that 90%+ of the decisions will be made on rd2 decision date.

As for sending letters, etc... One of my good friends is a wharton alum and sent a letter. He suggested and asked if I wanted him to do so and I said no at first but he then convinced me it would be a good idea. I don't it affects the outcome at all, to be honest.
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Only 1 person that I know who reported admissions from WL. That seems awfully low. Everybode else I know from GMATCLUB or real life have not heard anything. It really does seems that 90%+ of the decisions will be made on rd2 decision date.

As for sending letters, etc... One of my good friends is a wharton alum and sent a letter. He suggested and asked if I wanted him to do so and I said no at first but he then convinced me it would be a good idea. I don't it affects the outcome at all, to be honest.

Do people who do not know Wharton Alum are at a disadvanteged position??
Secondly people are asking about sending additional letter of recommendation from alums etc. But wharton has categorically said that they do not need any additional update. So sending recommendation from Wharton alum does really help in decision out come???
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mpg2011
Only 1 person that I know who reported admissions from WL. That seems awfully low. Everybode else I know from GMATCLUB or real life have not heard anything. It really does seems that 90%+ of the decisions will be made on rd2 decision date.

As for sending letters, etc... One of my good friends is a wharton alum and sent a letter. He suggested and asked if I wanted him to do so and I said no at first but he then convinced me it would be a good idea. I don't it affects the outcome at all, to be honest.

Do people who do not know Wharton Alum are at a disadvanteged position??
Secondly people are asking about sending additional letter of recommendation from alums etc. But wharton has categorically said that they do not need any additional update. So sending recommendation from Wharton alum does really help in decision out come???

I do believe that, in general, knowing people in the right places does help. I personally do not know any Wharton alums who could have pitched for me.

In any case, no one can say with certainty whether "additional recommendations" help or hurt one's case. I do not think that people following the instructions (to keep silent) are at any particular disadvantage. Or at least that's what I want to believe.
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mpg2011
Only 1 person that I know who reported admissions from WL. That seems awfully low. Everybode else I know from GMATCLUB or real life have not heard anything. It really does seems that 90%+ of the decisions will be made on rd2 decision date.

As for sending letters, etc... One of my good friends is a wharton alum and sent a letter. He suggested and asked if I wanted him to do so and I said no at first but he then convinced me it would be a good idea. I don't it affects the outcome at all, to be honest.

Do people who do not know Wharton Alum are at a disadvanteged position??
Secondly people are asking about sending additional letter of recommendation from alums etc. But wharton has categorically said that they do not need any additional update. So sending recommendation from Wharton alum does really help in decision out come???

I do believe that, in general, knowing people in the right places does help. I personally do not know any Wharton alums who could have pitched for me.

In any case, no one can say with certainty whether "additional recommendations" help or hurt one's case. I do not think that people following the instructions (to keep silent) are at any particular disadvantage. Or at least that's what I want to believe.

I think understanding what the school wants is important, hbs says that they welcome additional material, wharton discourages which means your additional material would not really count. Lets keep waiting, 15days to go.
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philutec
HBS announced its offering acceptances to 50 people off its R1 Waitlist.
I am waitlisted in both Wharton and Harvard, which kills me!
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