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# When people predict that certain result will not take place

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Senior Manager
Joined: 09 Aug 2005
Posts: 283
When people predict that certain result will not take place [#permalink]

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29 Jan 2006, 17:31
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When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.
Director
Joined: 26 Sep 2005
Posts: 572
Location: Munich,Germany
Re: CR- result and action [#permalink]

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29 Jan 2006, 23:27
old_dream_1976 wrote:
When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.

My bet on C.

The argument basically states that people believe X happens only when Y happens. However, they realize that X could happen even without Y.

C, in my opinion, fits the bill.
Intern
Joined: 24 Jan 2006
Posts: 25

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30 Jan 2006, 01:28
Between (B) and (C) i too would go with (C) here.

As argument states that "people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken"

(B) is talking about "first predicting and then taking an action" this sounds a bit out of place in current context. Hence C.
Intern
Joined: 27 Jan 2006
Posts: 2

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30 Jan 2006, 01:29
i bet on B
30 Jan 2006, 01:29
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# When people predict that certain result will not take place

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