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# A small number of the forest species of lepidoptera (moths and butterf

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Senior Manager
Joined: 24 Oct 2016
Posts: 268
GMAT 1: 670 Q46 V36
Re: A small number of the forest species of lepidoptera (moths and butterf  [#permalink]

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29 Oct 2018, 13:50
Go 6/6 correct in 11.5 min including 5 min to read the passage!
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Re: A small number of the forest species of lepidoptera (moths and butterf  [#permalink]

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12 Nov 2018, 02:26
GMATNinja wrote:
Quote:
6. Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the author’s conclusion in lines 25- 30 (bold lines)?

This question asks us to flex our CR muscles, but let's first take a moment to nail down the structure and purpose of this passage:

• In paragraph 1, the author explains that a small number of lepidoptera species exhibit population cycles, and states that the driving force behind these cycles is difficult to identify. The author concludes that this driving force may be intimately connected to the insect itself, rather than being connected to the insect's predators or parasites.
• In paragraph 2, the author presents recent work, which suggests that this driving force (a.k.a. the agent regulating population cycles) may be a virus.
• In paragraph 3, the author notes that the virus hypothesis is attractive because it seems broadly applicable across different lepidoptera species.

OK, now let's revisit the conclusion being highlighted:

Quote:
In short, the evidence implies that these insect populations, if not self-regulating, may at least be regulated by an agent more intimately connected with the insect than are predatory birds or parasites.

The author concludes that whatever is regulating the population cycle is closer to the insect than it is to predatory birds or parasites. Here's how the author reaches this conclusion:

• Studying predatory birds and parasites, thought to be potential agents, has been unproductive in the case of lepidoptera.
• Recent study of viral disease, thanks to new techniques of molecular biology, has identified nuclear polyhedrosis viruses as a more likely agent.
• Polyhedrosis viruses follow an infectious cycle that is intimately linked to lepidoptera, in which lepidoptera ingest the virus in the form of crystals, incubate new virus particles within their bodies, and release these crystals back into the environment upon dying.

If we're looking to weaken this conclusion, we need an answer choice that either:

• delivers evidence that some other regulating agent is even more likely to be the driving force of these population cycles.

Now let's use process of elimination to go through all five choices.

Quote:
(A) New research reveals that the number of species of birds and parasites that prey on lepidoptera has dropped significantly in recent years.

This choice actually strengthens the conclusion, because it adds evidence that other potential agents (predatory birds and parasites) have significantly decreased in number in recent years. This reinforces what the author stated plainly in paragraph 1. Eliminate (A).

Quote:
(B) New experiments in which the habitats of lepidoptera are altered in previously untried ways result in the shortening of lepidoptera population cycles.

This choice introduces new evidence that the regulating agent we're all looking for might be intimately linked to the habitats of lepidoptera, after all. Most importantly, this choice tells us that whatever these experiments did to habitats, that action definitely resulted in the shortening of lepidoptera population cycles. We'll keep choice (B) because it provides proof that another agent--habitat--can regulate population cycles.

bpdulog wrote:
I was down to B and C but went with C since the later part of the line dismisses the relationship with predators and the driving force of the life cycle

Quote:
(C) Recent experiments have revealed that the nuclear polyhedrosis virus is present in a number of predators and parasites of lepidoptera.

Knowing that the nuclear polyhedrosis virus is present in a number of predators and parasites doesn't change anything we've read about the nuclear polyhedrosis virus and its link to lepidoptera. The author's conclusion does not depend on this virus existing only in lepidoptera. And the language of this answer choice doesn't include any dismissal of the intimate link between polyhedrosis viruses and lepidoptera. It simply points out that the virus is also present in predators and parasites of lepidoptera.

(C) doesn't contradict the impact of nuclear polyhedrosis viruses or provide an alternative agent, so we'll eliminate (C).

gauravmarwaha wrote:
I could easily eliminate options E, C and A and chose option D over B. Can someone help?

Quote:
(D) Differences among the habitats of lepidoptera species make it difficult to assess the effects of weather on lepidoptera population cycles.

Choice (D) does identify a potential alternative agent: weather. However, the logical statement made here is quite weak. (D) tells us that it's difficult to assess the effects of weather on lepidoptera population cycles. So even if it's possible for weather to affect these population cycles, we have no way of confirming whether that effect is actually taking place.

Likewise, I could say, "It's difficult to assess the effects of the lunar cycle on lepidoptera," but this wouldn't make me jump up and say that lunar cycles are likely to be more of a driving force of lepidoptera population cycles than nuclear polyhedrosis viruses. We're not interested in hypothetical effects that are difficult to assess. We're interested in proof that an alternative agent is truly at work. That's why we eliminate (D).

Quote:
(E) Viral disease is typically observed in a large proportion of the lepidoptera population.

This choice doesn't affect the conclusion. Much like Choice (C), it tells us a little more about the presence of viral disease in lepidoptera populations, but it doesn't mention polyhedrosis viruses and doesn't provide evidence of any alternative agent regulating population cycles. Eliminate (E).

Whew! This may have taken me an entire population cycle to write. (Yes, more bad Dad jokes. I'm practicing them. There's no "negative kudos" button, so you're stuck with them.) After all of that, (B) is the only choice that presents evidence of a regulating agent that is NOT intimately linked to the insect (instead, the agent is linked to the insect's habitat). So we keep (B) and move on.

I hope this helps!

Hi GMATNinja

This explaination clears many of the doubts that I had on this question. So thank you!

But there is one slight aspect which remains super unclear to me.
IN option A can we infer that:
Since the no. of species of BIrds and parasites has dropped , there could be an increase in the Leip populations. Hence, this is one the factors that can affect the population cycles.

Hoping to hear from you soon!!

Regards
Manager
Joined: 28 Jun 2018
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GMAT 1: 490 Q39 V18
GMAT 2: 640 Q47 V30
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A small number of the forest species of lepidoptera (moths and butterf  [#permalink]

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19 Nov 2018, 03:34
1
nitesh50 wrote:

Hi GMATNinja

This explaination clears many of the doubts that I had on this question. So thank you!

But there is one slight aspect which remains super unclear to me.
IN option A can we infer that:
Since the no. of species of BIrds and parasites has dropped , there could be an increase in the Leip populations. Hence, this is one the factors that can affect the population cycles.

Hoping to hear from you soon!!

Regards

Hey nitesh50
GMATNinja has given an awesome explanation!
Let me add to it and I am no expert but let me try to help!

So option A says that -
Quote:
(A) New research reveals that the number of species of birds and parasites that prey on lepidoptera has dropped significantly in recent years.

Your doubt - Since the no. of species of BIrds and parasites has dropped , there could be an increase in the Leip populations. Hence, this is one the factors that can affect the population cycles.

We are talking about population cycles. The population cycles that occur from time to time. So if a new study says that the birds and parasites that prey on lepido have decreased, does it really weaken the conclusion?
We already know that THE SAME PATTERN repeats. If this is really the cause then dont u think that the pattern would not have repeated firstly? We would not have population cycles at all. Basically they have already stated that mortality caused by these predators has not affected population cycles.
When you weaken the conclusion we cannot go against the facts stated. You can only weaken the logical reasoning used by the author to arrive at the conclusion using this fact.

Also, be careful with your own inferences from answer choices. They are always an IF! Don't slide into the IF dimension!
Take option D for example.
Quote:
(D)Differences among the habitats of lepidoptera species make it difficult to assess the effects of weather on lepidoptera population cycles.

Now if i make my own inference that weather is actually the reason. Then i might mark this option correct. BUT all it says is that it is difficult to asses the effects of weather.
Does mere difficulty of assessing the effects provide a positive reason to support that weather may be the cause of the cycles?

Hope this helps!
Let me know/tag me if u have any more doubts!

EDIT - YAAY! kudos from the legend GMATNinja himself!!!!!
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Joined: 11 Jun 2018
Posts: 39
Re: A small number of the forest species of lepidoptera (moths and butterf  [#permalink]

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04 Jan 2019, 06:24
Took me 10 minutes & got all questions correct. Easy passage
Re: A small number of the forest species of lepidoptera (moths and butterf &nbs [#permalink] 04 Jan 2019, 06:24

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# A small number of the forest species of lepidoptera (moths and butterf

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