Not totally sure of your question, and those WL letters are intentionally fuzzy for a reason
1-Here is what we know: last year, according toyou, they said 40 kids had been taken w. 10 more to come, and they took 13--when those 13 were taken, a bit unclear.
2-last year they took 53 kids. and this year they have already taken 50.
You can view that glass as 13 more-to-come FULL or 3 more-to-come empty.
I've got no more interest in taking a tweezer and laser beam to their previous fuzzy remarks, and building speculative models on that, esp, when it is possble at this pt that
1. No one, not even adcom, knows what is going to happen
2. If you did know, so what???? what could you do about it?
It seems pretty clear if you are on WL at this pt, chances of getting off are NOT GOOD, altho could be as high as
1-9, but I dont think so, I think chances more like 1-15/20 but in either case, DONT COUNT ON IT.