From the threads last year, it seems that interview invites for J-term started going out late june/early July, and decisions were out pretty soon after that (starting in mid to late July). For ED, interviews started early August, and the first admits were notified the week after Labor Day (this week!)...
So if that time frame between j-term and ED is maintained, we're two months behind schedule. I mean, granted not everyone checks or posts on these boards, so it's not a representative sample of what's actually going on, but you'd think at least one of us here who submitted early would have heard something. If we don't hear back until after all ED apps are in, that'd be crazy...