Hey there! Let me help you work through this tricky assumption question about trade retaliation theory.
Understanding the ArgumentFirst, let's break down what the commentator is saying. The trade retaliation theory tells us: if Country A blocks your markets, you should block Country A's markets right back to pressure them to reopen. The commentator then makes a bold claim - if
everyone follows this theory, no country would trade with any other country at all.
Think about that for a moment. The commentator is saying we'd have complete trade shutdown worldwide. That's a pretty extreme conclusion!
Finding the Hidden AssumptionHere's what you need to see: For the commentator's conclusion to work (complete trade cessation), what must be true about the initial state of trade between countries?
Let's think through this step by step:
1. The retaliation theory only kicks in when countries are "closed out of any of another country's markets"
2. If some country pairs had completely open markets between them, would the theory apply? No!
3. Those countries with open markets could keep trading even if everyone else started retaliating
4. But the commentator says
NO country would trade with
ANY other
So what's missing? For the commentator's absolute conclusion to hold, every single country pair must have at least one market closure to trigger the retaliation cycle. Otherwise, some countries could still trade with each other.
Why D is CorrectChoice D states exactly this: "For any two countries, at least one has some market closed to the other." This gives us the universal trigger needed for the retaliation spiral to affect everyone.
Notice how choices B and C introduce "should" statements - but the argument isn't about what should happen, it's about what
would happen. Choice E explains why countries might close markets, but the argument works regardless of the motivation behind closures.
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You can check out the
step-by-step solution on Neuron by e-GMAT to master the systematic approach for identifying assumptions in arguments with absolute conclusions. You'll also discover how to spot the difference between descriptive and normative arguments - a key skill for CR questions. You can explore other GMAT official questions with detailed solutions on Neuron for structured practice
here.