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Hi All!

Could someone please explain how I could solve this exercise without doing the opposite?

Should not the solution be 5/11 X 4/10?

Regards!

Bunuel
Official Solution:

A box contains 11 hats, out of which 6 are red hats and 5 are green hats. If two hats are to be selected at random without replacement, what is the probability that at least one green hat will be selected?

A. \(\frac{10}{11}\)
B. \(\frac{8}{11}\)
C. \(\frac{7}{12}\)
D. \(\frac{5}{13}\)
E. \(\frac{2}{7}\)

It's easier to find the probability of the opposite event and subtract it from 1. The opposite event would be if we select zero green hats, or which is the same if we select 2 red hats, so: \(P(G \ge 1)=1-P(RR)=1-\frac{6}{11}*\frac{5}{10}=\frac{8}{11}\).

Answer: B
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Hi All!

Could someone please explain how I could solve this exercise without doing the opposite?

Should not the solution be 5/11 X 4/10?

Regards!

Bunuel
Official Solution:

A box contains 11 hats, out of which 6 are red hats and 5 are green hats. If two hats are to be selected at random without replacement, what is the probability that at least one green hat will be selected?

A. \(\frac{10}{11}\)
B. \(\frac{8}{11}\)
C. \(\frac{7}{12}\)
D. \(\frac{5}{13}\)
E. \(\frac{2}{7}\)

It's easier to find the probability of the opposite event and subtract it from 1. The opposite event would be if we select zero green hats, or which is the same if we select 2 red hats, so: \(P(G \ge 1)=1-P(RR)=1-\frac{6}{11}*\frac{5}{10}=\frac{8}{11}\).

Answer: B

Hi,
although you should solve by looking at the prob of opposite event, since it is less time consuming and less error prone..
the normal way would be..
there are 5 green and 6 red ...
so way you can pick up atleast one of red is..
both green=\(\frac{5}{11}*\frac{4}{10}\)..
one red and one green=\(\frac{6}{11}*\frac{5}{10}\) and \(\frac{5}{11}*\frac{6}{10}\) (2 ways one of each can be picked up)
total prob=\(\frac{5}{11}*\frac{4}{10} + \frac{6}{11} * \frac{5}{10} *2= \frac{(20+60)}{110}= \frac{8}{11}\)
hope it helps you
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I am not sure what am i doing wrong in the problem? my approach is :
1 red and one green or both green
thus, (6/11*5/10) or (5/11*4/10)
=5/11

please help me know what i am missing in my approach
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I am not sure what am i doing wrong in the problem? my approach is :
1 red and one green or both green
thus, (6/11*5/10) or (5/11*4/10)
=5/11

please help me know what i am missing in my approach


Hi..

Where you are going wrong is that you are taking two cases RG and GR as one case..
You can pick green then red OR pick red then green OR pick both green..
So 6/11*5/10+5/12*6/10+5/11*4/10

You will get your answer
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if I say "the probability of the first hat is 5/11. and we don't pick the green hat, then the next probability of picking a green hat for the second pick is 5/10.
5/11 + 5/10 = 8/11.

can someone tell me why this approach is not discussed?
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A box contains 11 hats, out of which 6 are red hats and 5 are green hats. If two hats are to be selected at random without replacement, what is the probability that at least one green hat will be selected?


if I say "the probability of the first hat is 5/11. and we don't pick the green hat, then the next probability of picking a green hat for the second pick is 5/10.
5/11 + 5/10 = 8/11.

can someone tell me why this approach is not discussed?

5/11 + 5/10 = 21/22, not 8/11. Therefore, that solution is not incorrect.

The correct solution should be:

P(at least 1 green hat) = P(2 green hats) + P(1 green hat and 1 red hat) =

= 5/11 * 4/10 + 5/11 * 6/10 * 2 = 8/11 (we multiply 5/11 * 6/10 by 2 because 1 green hat and 1 red hat can occur in two different ways: either the first hat is green and the second hat is red OR the first hat is red and the second hat is green, each with a probability of 5/11 * 6/10).

I hope this helps.
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I have edited the question and the solution by adding more details to enhance its clarity. I hope it is now easier to understand.
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I find this to be the easiest solution:

(6r/11 * 5g/11 ) - 2 = 30/11 - 2/1 = 30/11 - 22/11 = 8/11
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Why does the order RG or GR matter in this question?
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Gauri09
Bunuel
Official Solution:

A box contains 11 hats, out of which 6 are red hats and 5 are green hats. If two hats are selected randomly without replacement, what is the probability that at least one green hat will be selected?

A. \(\frac{10}{11}\)
B. \(\frac{8}{11}\)
C. \(\frac{7}{12}\)
D. \(\frac{5}{13}\)
E. \(\frac{2}{7}\)


It's simpler to calculate the probability of the complementary event and subtract it from 1. The complementary event would be selecting no green hats, which is the same as selecting 2 red hats. Thus: \(P(\text{at least 1 green hat}) = 1 - P(\text{2 red hats}) = 1 - \frac{6}{11} \cdot \frac{5}{10} = \frac{8}{11}\).


Answer: B

Why does the order RG or GR matter in this question?

You doubt is already addressed in this post.

Here it is again: when solving with the direct approach, the probability of getting at least one green hat is P(1 green and 1 red) + P(2 green). Now, 1 green and 1 red hat can occur in two different ways: either the first is green and the second is red, or the first is red and the second is green. The probability is calculated as:

5/11 * 6/10 + 6/11 * 5/10, which simplifies to 5/11 * 6/10 * 2.

Hope it's clear.
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I like the solution - it’s helpful.
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I like the solution - it’s helpful.
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