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Official Explanation is below from OG 21-

The sentence refers to an announcement by a city’s administration officials, conveying their belief that, for the next year, the city will have a greater budget deficit than predicted two months earlier. The budget deficit is a gap between what is budgeted for next year and the amount expected to be available from the city’s revenue for next year. The sentence is flawed in how it expresses the comparison between the deficit amount predicted earlier and the deficit amount predicted later. The preposition over is not idiomatic for comparing one sum of money with a lesser sum. The role of it in the sentence is unclear; does it refer to the gap or is it the impersonal it that could be correctly used in a passive-voice phrase such as it was predicted that. . . ? In either case, the underlined phrase is incoherent.

As explained above, this version creates an incoherent sentence and fails to render the required comparison idiomatically.
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Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it

What does “it” refer to?
The gap?
In that case, the sentence would be-

Officials announced that the gap will be $ 3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than the gap was predicted just two months ago.
This doesn’t make sense.
Incorrect comparison. Eliminate A, C, and E.
"more than" is the preferred construction in the given sentence. Eliminate B.

D) more than they had predicted
Correct.

Officials announced that the gap will be $ 3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than they had predicted
just two months ago.

Correct comparison - a billion dollars more than what they had predicted

“they” refers to officials.
Correct use of past perfect tense- had
Of the two actions, announced and predicted, “predicted is the earlier event (two months ago) and hence the use of past perfect tense.

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Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it

What does “it” refer to?
The gap?
In that case, the sentence would be-

Officials announced that the gap will be $ 3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than the gap was predicted just two months ago.
This doesn’t make sense.
Incorrect comparison. Eliminate A, C, and E.
"more than" is the preferred construction in the given sentence. Eliminate B.

D) more than they had predicted
Correct.

Officials announced that the gap will be $ 3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than they had predicted
just two months ago.

Correct comparison - a billion dollars more than what they had predicted

“they” refers to officials.
Correct use of past perfect tense- had
Of the two actions, announced and predicted, “predicted is the earlier event (two months ago) and hence the use of past perfect tense.

Vishnupriya
GMAT Verbal SME


I am not able to understand why this statement is not making sense as according to me it is making perfect sense - a billion dollars more than the what the gap was expected to b 2 years ago
"Officials announced that the gap will be $ 3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than what the gap was predicted just two months ago. "
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generis
Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it


SC25540.02


Dear experts MartyTargetTestPrep, GMATNinja, GMATGuruNY, AjiteshArun, generis (anyone who is available)

1.Option (D) - the correct one- results in the following sentence:
...,a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago...
But here we can clearly see "two months ago" which specifies that the prediction was done before the current time. Therefore, the use of HAD should be incorrect!

2. In OG, it says that the import of "it" is unclear in option (C)!? However, it is clear that "it" refers to "the gap" [any other noun will not fit].

Can you please explain the 2 above?
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generis
Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it


SC25540.02


Dear experts

1.Option (D) - the correct one- results in the following sentence:
...,a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago...
But here we can clearly see "two months ago" which specifies that the prediction was done before the current time. Therefore, the use of HAD should be incorrect!
One thing I have found interesting about tense is that it's not easy for a tense to be incorrect, because when one chooses a tense, one is choosing a meaning, and many possible meanings can be logical.

In this case, it could even be that the question writer knows that we all know that the past perfect (had) is unnecessary when the time sequence is clear and is messing with us.

Here's an excerpt from the (D) version.

    announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than they had predicted just two months ago.

There are two things that could be going on here. One is that the writer decided that, even though "had" is unnecessary when the time sequence is clear, it's acceptable to use "had." GMAT SC question writers often push the boundaries of what's acceptable and don't write perfect sentences, and this writer may have decided that the (D) version is the best version rather than an ideal version and that the use of "had" is not a fatal error.

Another, cooler, thing that may be going on is the following. The writer may have considered "two months ago" a point in time at which "they" had ALREADY "predicted." In that case, the use of "had" is not incorrect. Rather it results in a meaning different from the one that would be conveyed if the simple past were used.

Consider his similar situation.

    Two months ago, when we were talking about John, John had been predicted to fail, but now it's clear that he will likely succeed.

Time sequence: John was predicted to fail --> two months ago --> now

Time sequence in (D) version: they predicted --> two months ago --> now

Quote:
2. In OG, it says that the import of "it" is unclear in option (C)!? However, it is clear that "it" refers to "the gap" [any other noun will not fit].
Regarding "it" in the (C) version, while "it" may refer to "gap," if we go with that interpretation, the sentence is not logical.

Notice that "a billion dollars more than the gap was predicted" illogically compares an amount of money to a clause, "the gap was predicted," as in "3.7 billion dollars is a billion dollars more than the gap was predicted."

So, "it" can't really refer to "gap."
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[quote="generis"]Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it

I think choice D should be "more than what they had predicted "
why do we can omit "what". pls, explain. thanks
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For this question, it will be good to talk a little about 'noun clauses'.
A noun clause can take the place of a noun in a sentence. i.e. It can take the role of a subject or object

A noun clause is the subject of these grammatically correct sentences:
1. What was predicted is scary
2. What they predicted is happening.
3. What I predict always happens.

4. What they predicted did happen.
5. What they had predicted did happen.
The past perfect 'what had been predicted' in Sentence 5 is acceptable (not mandatory): because the prediction and whatever happened are both in the past, and the prediction came earlier.

The following sentences use a noun clause in an object role. Again, all are grammatically acceptable.
6. Our plans are based on what was predicted.
7. Our plans are based on what he predicted.
8. Our plans are based on what he had predicted.

9. His figures are higher than what he predicted.
10. His figures are higher than what he had predicted.

The past perfect in Sentences 8 and 10 is allowed (for the same reason as for Sentence 5).

Now the tricky part. We can drop the 'what' in sentences 9 and 10 (but not in the earlier sentences) -- and the sentences will still be fine.
So the following are acceptable too:
11. His figures are higher than he predicted.
12. His figures are higher than he had predicted.

Answer Choice D, the correct answer to the current question, is like Sentence 10
D. . . . a billion dollars more than [what] they had predicted.
The 'what' is implied, but not present.

Let us look at incorrect answer choices C and E:
C. . . . a billion dollars more than it was predicted.
E. . . . a billion dollars more than they predicted it.
"it was predicted" and "they predicted it" are NOT noun clauses. They can be independent sentences. Neither can take the the place of a noun in a sentence.
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TrevorKleeTutor
Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it


Let's start with meaning.
The gap will be 3.7 billion, which is a billion dollars more than was predicted just two months ago.
We need to make sure our comparison is correct.

Moving onto grammar, the pronoun "it" is both unclear and unnecessary. What is it trying to refer to?

So, the only one with the proper comparison and pronoun is D. Note that B, although tempting, is not correct: it's not a billion dollars over the prediction, as the prediction itself isn't some amount of money (it's just words).

TrevorKleeTutor Can you please elaborate the difference between the usage of "over" and "more"?
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When the options, very between simple past and past perfect - attack past perfect and check whether the rules of the past perfect are satisfied, if the rules of past perfect are satisfied, then eliminate simple past, else eliminate past perfect.

So what are the rules of past perfect: Two completed actions, actions in sequence and had should be with the earlier action

In this case, we got two completed actions: Announced and Predicted
The sequence: first officials predicted and then officials announced had is correctly used with Predicted ( earlier action).

Since all the rules of past perfect are satisfied, you can comfortably eliminate all simple past. And only D. answer choice is in Past perfect, hence correct answer choice is D.
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GMATGuruNY
generis
Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it

B: a billion dollars over the prediction
Here, AN AMOUNT -- a billion dollars -- is illogically compared to THE PREDICTION.
Eliminate B.

Recent sentences in the NY Times:
Another $14 billion is needed to pay off long-term debt.
$17 billion is available for direct loans to companies.
$90 billion is needed to help poor regions.

Notice that the figures in blue are considered SINGULAR.

A: $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted
C: $3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than it was predicted
E: $3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than they predicted it
Here, a reader might wonder whether it serves to refer to $3.7 billion (the nearest preceding singular noun) or to the gap (an earlier singular noun).
Since D avoids this potential ambiguity, eliminate A, C and E.


Administration officials announced that...the gap will be...a billion dollars more than they predicted.
Here, because the verbs in red are in the SAME TENSE, the two actions seem to be concurrent.
Not so.
Clearly, the act of predicting was completed BEFORE the act of announcing.
In the OA, the usage of the past perfect makes the sequence crystal clear.
Administration officials announced that...the gap will be...a billion dollars more than they had predicted just two month ago.

Hi GmatguruNY,

We already have "just two month ago." so it seems like we dont need to use "Past perfect" to convey times.
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Harsh2111s
generis
Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted

B) over the prediction from

C) more than it was predicted

D) more than they had predicted

E) more than they predicted it


SC25540.02

GMATNinja or any experts

In option C, "it" is correctly referring to the only singular "gap".
Why option C is wrong ?

I choose D but still confused why not C ?
You can say that the gap was predicted TO BE $2.7 billion. But you couldn't say that the gap was predicted $2.7 billion - clearly we need the "to be".

We have something similar in choice (C).

It would be one thing if we had: "...they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than [the gap] was predicted TO BE just two months ago."
Instead, we have "...they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars more than [the gap] was predicted just two months ago."

It makes sense to compare the gap to what the gap was predicted TO BE. But it does not make sense to compare the gap to what the gap was PREDICTED.

I hope that helps a bit!

Hi GMATNinja,

If we removed "it" in E, it would be better than D?
"just two months ago" seems to convey that its happened before.?
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Teitsuya

Hi GMATNinja,

If we removed "it" in E, it would be better than D?
"just two months ago" seems to convey that its happened before.?
(E) would no longer contain a concrete error if we removed "it." But would it be better than (D)? The only difference between the two, in this hypothetical, would be the use of past perfect verb phrase "had predicted" in (D).

I'd argue that the issue is up to the discretion of the writer here. On the one hand, the prediction happened before a past announcement, so "had" seems appropriate. On the other hand, you can certainly figure that out without using "had," because we have the phrase, "two months ago," so I wouldn't say "had" is essential either.

This is almost certainly why (E) contains the concrete pronoun error! Otherwise, there's no good way to differentiate between those options.

The takeaway: this is why evaluating hypotheticals sometimes has limited value. The answer choices are very carefully constructed so that the four wrong options are inferior to the correct one. When we tinker with the wrong ones, we may end up with multiple answers on equal footing, something the test can't and won't do.

I hope that helps!
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GMATNinja Can you please help me understand this question.
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GMATNinja Can you please help me understand this question.
SidBoy77, we've posted a handful of lengthy replies to this thread already. Check those out, and if you're still having trouble, please let us know where you're getting stuck!
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generis
Even with the proposed budget cuts and new taxes and fees, the city's projected deficit for the next budget year is getting worse: administration officials announced that they believe the gap will be $3.7 billion, a billion dollars over what it was predicted just two months ago.

A) over what it was predicted
over what ??? it , no no this doesn't make an ounce of sense kick it into the bin

B) over the prediction from
This defies physics over the prediction does the prediction fly, who predicted it ..... from where is it coming , put it in the same place as the previous one

C) more than it was predicted
only pronlem is the inclusion of it otherwise i would have considered perfect however .........

D) more than they had predicted
At last some respite , the meaning and reference is perefect therefore let us hang on to it

E) more than they predicted it
I have absolutely no clue how to make sense of it , place it in the outer orbit with other debris


Therefore IMO D
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In (D) Shouldn't it be - more than WHAT they had predicted.

I am not sure about this but as far as I have studied the GMAT pattern, 'THAN' is always followed by a comparable noun.
In this specific case, it looks like we are comparing 'a billion dollars' to 'THEY'.
Putting a 'WHAT' or 'THAT' might clear up the confusion.
Am I missing something ?
Please help! Thanks.
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For this question, it will be good to talk a little about 'noun clauses'.
A noun clause can take the place of a noun in a sentence. i.e. It can take the role of a subject or object

A noun clause is the subject of these grammatically correct sentences:
1. What was predicted is scary
2. What they predicted is happening.
3. What I predict always happens.

4. What they predicted did happen.
5. What they had predicted did happen.
The past perfect 'what had been predicted' in Sentence 5 is acceptable (not mandatory): because the prediction and whatever happened are both in the past, and the prediction came earlier.

The following sentences use a noun clause in an object role. Again, all are grammatically acceptable.
6. Our plans are based on what was predicted.
7. Our plans are based on what he predicted.
8. Our plans are based on what he had predicted.

9. His figures are higher than what he predicted.
10. His figures are higher than what he had predicted.

The past perfect in Sentences 8 and 10 is allowed (for the same reason as for Sentence 5).

Now the tricky part. We can drop the 'what' in sentences 9 and 10 (but not in the earlier sentences) -- and the sentences will still be fine.
So the following are acceptable too:
11. His figures are higher than he predicted.
12. His figures are higher than he had predicted.

Answer Choice D, the correct answer to the current question, is like Sentence 10
D. . . . a billion dollars more than [what] they had predicted.
The 'what' is implied, but not present.

Let us look at incorrect answer choices C and E:
C. . . . a billion dollars more than it was predicted.
E. . . . a billion dollars more than they predicted it.
"it was predicted" and "they predicted it" are NOT noun clauses. They can be independent sentences. Neither can take the the place of a noun in a sentence.


great explanation
choice D belongs to a special pattern we should note. "what" can be omitted. thank you, expert
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