Let's first count the total number of valid cockpit crews.
There are 4 pilots, including Hugo, and 6 copilots.
Among the 6 copilots:
3 have at least 500 hours of flight experience
3 have less than 500 hours
Case 1: Hugo is the pilot
Hugo can fly only if both selected copilots are experienced.
So we choose 2 copilots from the 3 experienced copilots:
C(3,2) = 3
So there are 3 valid crews with Hugo as the pilot.
Case 2: One of the other 3 pilots is selected
The other pilots have no restrictions and can fly with any pair of copilots.
Number of ways to choose 2 copilots from 6:
C(6,2) = 15
Since there are 3 such pilots:
3 × 15 = 45 valid crews.
Therefore, the total number of valid crews is:
3 + 45 = 48
Probability that Hugo is the pilot
There are 3 valid crews with Hugo as the pilot out of 48 total valid crews.
Probability = 3/48 = 1/16
Answer: 1/16
Probability that exactly one copilot has less than 500 hours
To have exactly one less-experienced copilot, choose:
- 1 experienced copilot from 3 = 3 ways
- 1 less-experienced copilot from 3 = 3 ways
Total copilot pairs: 3 × 3 = 9
Hugo cannot fly with these pairs because he requires both copilots to be experienced.
So only the other 3 pilots can be paired with these 9 copilot pairs.
Number of valid crews: 3 × 9 = 27
Therefore, probability = 27/48 = 9/16
Answer: 9/16
Hugo is the pilot = 1/16
Exactly 1 copilot has less than 500 hours = 9/16