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2794Aditya
I have opted for option C.

May of may not fall under enemy influence includes the probability of not falling under the enemy influence. Why is "probably not fall under enemy influence" false when a probability it self may or may not true ?

Could anybody explain ?

If C is correct as per your logic, Then the same logic applies to B and B has to be correct as well. There's only 1 answer though.

Two reasons why B&C are incorrect:
1- They point to only 1 side of the story. It doesn't explicitly state the other side.
2- Since the tone of the question is decisive, the tone of the answer shall also be decisive.
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Oh yes!
I haven't paid attention to this. The concept of tone of the question is surely a thing I learnt here.
Thank you azhrhasan

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2794Aditya
I have opted for option C.

May of may not fall under enemy influence includes the probability of not falling under the enemy influence. Why is "probably not fall under enemy influence" false when a probability it self may or may not true ?

Could anybody explain ?

2794Aditya : please go thru the concepts of necessary and sufficient conditions in power score CR Bible.

Regards,
Arup Sarkar

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Bunuel
If Country X does not intervene militarily in Country Y, then the whole region will definitely fall under enemy influence.

It most logically follows from the statement above that, if Country X does intervene militarily in Country Y, then the whole region

(A) Will definitely fall under enemy influence

(B) Will probably fall under enemy influence

(C) Will probably not fall under enemy influence

(D) Will definitely not fall under enemy influence

(E) May or may not fall under enemy influence



If A--> B

Than Not B--> Not A.(Always sure)


We can't say with surety that

Not A ---> Not B


That is why "e" is correct.
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In my view, this is a case of necessary versus sufficient.
We know that Country X's not intervening means the whole region WILL DEFINITELY FALL. But, this does not imply that Country X's intervening in and of itself WILL PREVENT the fall under enemy influence. In other words, it may be NECESSARY for Country X to intervene, but not SUFFICIENT because there may be other factors that are required to prevent the fall of the region.

If Country X does not intervene militarily in Country Y, then the whole region will definitely fall under enemy influence.

It most logically follows from the statement above that, if Country X does intervene militarily in Country Y, then the whole region

(A) Will definitely fall under enemy influence X

(B) Will probably fall under enemy influence X

(C) Will probably not fall under enemy influence X

(D) Will definitely not fall under enemy influence X

(E) May or may not fall under enemy influence CORRECT
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If Country X does not intervene militarily in Country Y, then the whole region will definitely fall under enemy influence.

It most logically follows from the statement above that, if Country X does intervene militarily in Country Y, then the whole region

(A) Will definitely fall under enemy influence - WRONG. Not at all.

(B) Will probably fall under enemy influence - WRONG. Falling is out of context under intervention situation.

(C) Will probably not fall under enemy influence - WRONG. Covers only a part of the inference. 2nd best.

(D) Will definitely not fall under enemy influence - WRONG. Absolutely wrong.

(E) May or may not fall under enemy influence. - CORRECT. If military intervention happens then X may win over enemy, leaving no influence over Y. If X doesn't win then there is influence. Hence this is the best choice we have.

Answer E.
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The correct answer is: (E) May or may not fall under enemy influence

Reasoning:
The original statement is:
Quote:
"If Country X does not intervene militarily in Country Y, then the whole region will definitely fall under enemy influence."
This is a conditional statement of the form:
Quote:
If NOT A → B (definitely happens)
We are being asked what can be logically concluded if A (Country X does intervene).
This is the inverse of the original conditional. In logic, the inverse of a conditional is not logically equivalent to the original. That is:
  • Original: If ~A → B
  • Inverse: If A → ~B?Not logically valid based on original
So, we cannot conclude with certainty what happens if Country X does intervene — maybe the region will fall under enemy influence, maybe it won’t.
Thus, the only logical conclusion is:
Quote:
(E) May or may not fall under enemy influence

Why the other options are wrong:
  • (A) Will definitely fall under enemy influence
    → Illogical, because the statement said that without intervention, the region definitely falls. It doesn't follow that with intervention, the result is the same.
  • (B) Will probably fall under enemy influence
    → Also not supported. There is no probabilistic claim in the original statement. "Probably" introduces speculation not justified by the original logic.
  • (C) Will probably not fall under enemy influence
    → Again, speculation. The original statement doesn't allow any probabilistic conclusion about what happens with intervention.
  • (D) Will definitely not fall under enemy influence
    → This would be the contrapositive if the original statement were "If the region does not fall under enemy influence, then Country X intervened." But we weren’t given that. So we cannot assert this with certainty.
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Is this type of question still being asked on the gmat?
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