carcass
In comparison to the drivers who live in Mountainview, a greater proportion of the drivers who live in Oak Valley exceed the speed limit regularly. This explains why there are more accidents each year in Oak Valley than in Mountainview.
All of the following statements, if true, weaken the conclusion drawn above EXCEPT:
(A) Oak Valley has a greater proportion of blind intersections and sharp turns than has Mountainview.
(B) There is a greater number of drivers in Oak Valley than in Mountainview.
(C) Drivers in Mountainview must travel to Oak Valley to shop and work.
(D) Per capita, there are fewer police officers monitoring traffic in Oak Valley than there are in Mountainview.
(E) The roads are icier for a greater portion of the year in Oak Valley than in Mountainview
Mo2men
Hi Mike,
Can you please jump in the discussion in the following link for CR question.
I have doubt that some of the choices are flawed such as choice B. I do not understand how it is a weakener.
Thanks in advance
Dear
Mo2men,
I'm happy to respond to your p.m.
This CR question is not bad. I don't think (B) has a problem. Here's my analysis.
The argument explains the higher number of accidents in Oak Valley as a result of speed. A weakener would provide a plausible alternative explanation. Notice, the first sentence was about proportions, but this sentence is about the actual count, the number of accidents.
(A) Oak Valley has a greater proportion of blind intersections and sharp turns than has Mountain View.Blind intersections and sharp turns raise the probability of accidents, so this would be a valid alternative explanation.
(B) There is a greater number of drivers in Oak Valley than in Mountain View.Even if Oak Valley and Mountain View have identical percentages of folks who get in accidents, if Oak Valley has more people, it will have a higher number of accidents. Here, we must be extremely careful to distinguish proportional information from information about true counts. This is a valid alternative explanation.
(C) Drivers in Mountain View must travel to Oak Valley to shop and work.If everyone who lives in Oak Valley stays there, and folks from Mountain View also come to Oak Valley, then it sounds as if there would be a lot more cars in Oak Valley. More cars means more accidents. This is a valid alternative explanation.
(D) Per capita, there are fewer police officers monitoring traffic in Oak Valley than there are in Mountain View.Having police officers around might make people less apt to speed, and this might explain the evidence that folks in Oak Valley speed more. This merely strengthens the argument's evidence, so this is certainly not a weakener.
(E) The roads are icier for a greater portion of the year in Oak Valley than in Mountain ViewIcy roads lead to more accidents. This is a valid alternative explanation.
Choices (A), (B), (C), and (E) are valid weakeners, so (D) is the answer to the EXCEPT question.
Does this make sense?
Mike