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QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20%

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QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% [#permalink]

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Verbal Question of The Day: Day 124: Critical Reasoning


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In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% of 18-year-olds are left-handed, while just 10% of 45-year-olds and 2% of 70-year-olds are left-handed. But the percentage of children born left-handed has never changed in Pelmenia, nor have societal attitudes toward left-handedness.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the variation in left-handedness among Pelmenians?

A) The number of children born each year in Pelmenia has steadily increased over the past seventy years.

B) In Pelmenia, left-handers are no more likely to perish in accidents than right-handers.

C) In Pelmenia, ambidexterity is not considered a desirable attribute.

D) In Pelmenia, women have a significantly lower life expectancy than men, and women are also more likely to be born left-handed.

E) As Pelmenians age, they become less likely to participate in surveys regarding handedness or hand dominance.

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QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% [#permalink]

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We are asked to select an answer choice that, if true, most helps to explain the variation in left-handedness among Pelmenians. Before we analyze the answer choices, let's make sure we have a clear understanding of the variation that we need to explain:

  • "In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% of 18-year-olds are left-handed, while just 10% of 45-year-olds and 2% of 70-year-olds are left-handed." - So the percentage of Pelmenians who are left-handed seems to vary with age. Of course, it is certainly possible that the percentage fluctuates in between the three given ages, but, based on the data given in the passage, it seems as though the percentage goes down as age goes up.
  • "The percentage of children born left-handed has never changed in Pelmenia." - One possible explanation for the variation is that the percentage of Pelmenian children born left-handed has steadily increased over the course of the past 70 years. This statement eliminates that possibility, so we need another explanation.
  • "Societal attitudes toward left-handedness" have never changed in Pelmenia. - Another possible explanation for the variation is that societal attitudes toward left-handedness have changed over the course of the past 70 years. For example, 70 years ago, left-handed Pelmenian children may have been viewed unfavorably and thus may have been treated in ways that decreased their odds of leading healthy and successful lives. But the information given in the passage eliminates this possible explanation.

So we need to explain why the percentage of Pelmenians who are left-handed seems to decrease with age, despite no change in the percentage of children who are born left-handed or in attitudes toward left-handedness:

Quote:
(A) The number of children born each year in Pelmenia has steadily increased over the past seventy years.

We are trying to explain a variation in the PERCENTAGE of Pelmenians who are left-handed. If the number of children born each year has steadily increased, we would still expect the PERCENTAGE of left-handed children to remain the same each year. Thus, we still need something to explain why the percentage of Pelmenians who are left-handed decreases as age increases. Choice (A) does not explain the variation and can be eliminated.

Quote:
(B) In Pelmenia, left-handers are no more likely to perish in accidents than right-handers.

A possible explanation for the variation is that left-handers ARE more likely to perish in accidents than right-handers. This would explain why the percentage of Pelmenians who are left-handed decreases as age increases. However, choice (B) tells us that left-handers are NO more likely to perish in accidents than right-handers, eliminating this possible explanation. Thus, choice (B) does not explain the variation and can be eliminated.

Quote:
(C) In Pelmenia, ambidexterity is not considered a desirable attribute.

Choice (C) addresses another possible explanation for the variation. If ambidexterity WERE considered a desirable attribute, perhaps many left-handed Pelmenians would gradually learn to become ambidextrous over the course of their lives. This could potentially lead to a gradual decrease with age in the percentage of Pelmenians who are considered left-handed (once they learn to use both hands equally well, they would be considered "ambidextrous" and not "left-handed"). Choice (C) eliminates this possible explanation and does not provide an alternative, so we can get rid of (C).

Quote:
(D) In Pelmenia, women have a significantly lower life expectancy than men, and women are also more likely to be born left-handed.

Now we are on to something. If women are more likely to be born left-handed, then we can assume that the majority of left-handed Pelmenian children are female. If women and men had the same life-expectancy, we would expect the percentage of Pelmenians who are left-handed to remain the same as age increases. However, if women were more likely to die at a younger age, we would expect the percentage of Pelmenians who are left-handed to DECREASE as age increases.

In other words, if you are left-handed, you are probably a woman. Women, on average, die younger than men. Thus, on average, right-handers are likely to live longer than left-handers. This would explain the variation described in the passage, so hang on to (D).

Quote:
(E) As Pelmenians age, they become less likely to participate in surveys regarding handedness or hand dominance.

If choice (E) said that LEFT-HANDED Pelmenians become less likely to participate in such surveys as they age, then we would have a possible explanation for the variation described in the passage. However, as written, choice (E) does not explain why the percentage decreases with age. Even if a smaller portion of Pelmenians respond to such surveys as they age, we would still expect the ratio of left-handers to right-handers to remain about the same. Choice (E) does not explain the variation and can be eliminated.

Choice (D) is the best answer.
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Re: QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% [#permalink]

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Thank you very much this is useful

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Re: QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% [#permalink]

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New post 12 Oct 2017, 18:23
Going with A

Reason If the number of children born each year in Pelmenia has steadily increased over the past seventy years. Then the percentage of children born left-handed has never changed in Pelmenia, nor have societal attitudes toward left-handedness.

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Re: QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% [#permalink]

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I was confused between D and E, but I would go with D here.

A. we have been given that the percentage of children born left-handed has remained the same. if the number of children increases, that would result in increase in number of left-handed children, however it would not explain the variation.

B. This does not help the argument. It would have made sense if the likelihood of both these events would have been unbalanced.

C. This is irrelevant to the argument at hand.

D. Correct. This explains why there is a variation in percentage of left-handed people in Pelmenia.

E. This is close, but then even right-handers could bail out of the surveys and render this choice unsuitable to help the argument.

Answer choice: D.

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Re: QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% [#permalink]

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New post 12 Oct 2017, 19:50
In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% of 18-year-olds are left-handed, while just 10% of 45-year-olds and 2% of 70-year-olds are left-handed. But the percentage of children born left-handed has never changed in Pelmenia, nor have societal attitudes toward left-handedness.

Type - explain the situation

A) The number of children born each year in Pelmenia has steadily increased over the past seventy years. - Irrelevant - absolute number is not relevant

B) In Pelmenia, left-handers are no more likely to perish in accidents than right-handers. - Incorrect - If this was the opposite , then it could have explained the situation

C) In Pelmenia, ambidexterity is not considered a desirable attribute. - Irrelevant

D) In Pelmenia, women have a significantly lower life expectancy than men, and women are also more likely to be born left-handed. - Correct - So left-handed people don't live as long

E) As Pelmenians age, they become less likely to participate in surveys regarding handedness or hand dominance. - Irrelevant - This is true for the entire population in general

Answer D
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Re: QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20% [#permalink]

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New post 16 Oct 2017, 13:03
D it is.

To justify the discrepancy we need to think, what causes: Age increases of whole population --> % of people with left hand declines. D talks about same.

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Re: QOTD: In the nation of Pelmenia, 20%   [#permalink] 16 Oct 2017, 13:03
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