Akela
Researchers announced recently that over the past 25 years the incidence of skin cancer caused by exposure to harmful rays from the sun has continued to grow in spite of the increasingly widespread use of sunscreens. This shows that using sunscreen is unlikely to reduce a person’s risk of developing such skin cancer.
Which one of the following, if true, most weakens the argument?
(A) Most people who purchase a sunscreen product will not purchase the most expensive brand available.
(B) Skin cancer generally develops among the very old as a result of sunburns experienced when very young.
(C) The development of sunscreens by pharmaceutical companies was based upon research conducted by dermatologists.
(D) People who know that they are especially susceptible to skin cancer are generally disinclined to spend a large amount of time in the sun.
(E) Those who use sunscreens most regularly are people who believe themselves to be most susceptible to skin cancer.
Source: LSAT
In last 25 years, incidence of skin cancer has continued to grow inspite of more and more use of sunscreen.
Conclusion: Sunscreen is unlikely to reduce a person’s risk of developing such skin cancer.
What will weaken this argument? Something that tells us that the incidence is increasing because of some other factor or that sunscreen does reduce the overall incidence.
(A) Most people who purchase a sunscreen product will not purchase the most expensive brand available.
Irrelevant
(B) Skin cancer generally develops among the very old as a result of sunburns experienced when very young.
Correct. The conclusion is based on a 25 year study. But if skin cancer develops among the very old (say 80-90 yr olds) because of sun exposure when they were very young (say 2-10 yrs old), then the sunscreen use of the last 25 years is irrelevant for them. They will develop skin cancer. In the next 50 years, we are likely to see a decrease in the incidence because the very young in the last last 25 years are being protected. So when they grow old, they are likely to be better protected against the disease.
This option tells us that the research numbers of 25 years don't mean anything for skin cancer incidence.
(C) The development of sunscreens by pharmaceutical companies was based upon research conducted by dermatologists.
Irrelevant
(D) People who know that they are especially susceptible to skin cancer are generally disinclined to spend a large amount of time in the sun.
Irrelevant.
(E) Those who use sunscreens most regularly are people who believe themselves to be most susceptible to skin cancer.
If the most susceptible ones use sunscreen regularly, then we should see a decrease in the number of skin cancer cases. Since the number of cases are increasing, it seems that sunscreen is useless. If anything, this option strengthens the conclusion, not weaken it.
Answer (B)