MBAToronto2024
I'm wondering why it does not work:
1 - P(no five). Since sum us 8, we have 5 possible pairs (2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2).
Selecting no five in first turn = 4/5 and in second = 4/5
1 - (4/5 *4/5)
KarishmaBThis is conditional probability. You have 5 total possible cases in which sum is 8. This is a pre-condition. It must be satisfied by total cases.
So total cases are 5: (2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2).
Favorable Cases are 2: (3,5) and (5,3) (the ones which have a 5)
So probability will be 2/5.
Answer (D)What happens when you do the following:
Selecting no five in first turn = 4/5. Effectively, you have selected a 2 or 3 or 4 or 6.
and in second = 4/5. Again, effectively, you have selected a 2 or 3 or 4 or 6.
So what did you get overall? You got (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4).... (3, 2), (3, 4)......
Now this probability you are subtracting from 1 which doesn't work. The pre-condition of a sum of 8 is not satisfied. You have picked all pairs here which do not have a 5 here, whatever the sum may be.