Quote:
Technically a given category of insurance policy is under priced if, over time, claims against it plus expenses associated with it exceed total income from premiums. But premium income can be invested and will then yield returns of its own. Therefore, an under priced policy does not represent a net loss in every case.
The argument above is based on which of the following assumptions? Argument –
Profits to policy = Revenues – Cost
In this case revenue = income from premiums
Cost = Expenses + claims against the policy
The argument says that if revenues > cost policy is in loss = policy is under-priced
However the premiums (=revenue) are reinvested further the reinvested premiums will yield returns that will compensate for the costs and provide the required profits. Thus under priced policy does not always represent net loss.
Here we are assuming that the premiums can be returned and there are no other obligations / the reinvested premiums can yield sufficient returns to compensate for the costs
(A) No insurance policies are deliberately under priced in order to attract customers to the insurance company offering such policies.
- Negate = few policies are under priced to attract customers. However, we cannot justify the reinvestment of premiums to generate profits.
- Wrong
(B) A policy that represents a net loss to the insurance company is not an under priced policy in every case.
- Policy that presents loss = under priced policy every time. This is exactly what the conclusion is saying. This does not contradict the conclusion. In some cases, the policy can represent the net loss and in some cases it cannot.
- Wrong
(C) There are policies for which the level of claims per year can be predicted with great accuracy before premiums are set.
- We can make an argument that if claims can be predicted then we can predict the reinvestment of premiums required to generate a profit. But do we really require to predict the premiums with “great accuracy”? A simple prediction of positive or negative returns can also work.
- However even if there aren’t any policies that can predict claims, the condition does not constradict the conclusion that premiums can be reinvested to generate profits
-Wrong
(D) The income earned by investing premium income is the most important determinant of an insurance company’s profits.
- There can be many determinants. It does not matter.
- Wrong
(E) The claims against at least some under priced policies do not require paying out all of the premium income from those policies as soon as it is earned.
-Negate: Every policy required paying out premium income.
- If premiums do require to be paid immediately, they cannot be invested. If they cannot be invested profit cannot be generated using investment of profits. In such a case, a under priced policy always represents a net loss