Mehakgyl
Hello
bb KarishmaB GMATNinja egmat I wasnt able to understand the gap/flaw in the officials reasoning. Could someone please explain that?
Looking at this question, I can see why identifying the flaw might be challenging! Let me help you understand the gap in the officials' reasoning through a systematic approach.
Understanding the Argument Structure:
Original Claim: Urban rail systems are ineffective at reducing traffic congestion
Evidence: A city opened 3 rail branches but lost 3,100 rail commuters while employment grew by 96,000
Officials' Counter: "But commuting trips are only 20% of urban travel!"
The Key Insight - Think About Rush Hour:
Here's a question to consider: When you think about traffic congestion, when is it worst? During rush hours when people commute to/from work, right?
Now, even though commuting trips might only be 20% of
total daily trips, ask yourself:
- Do these 20% of trips happen randomly throughout the day?
- Or do they all happen at the same time (8-9 AM and 5-6 PM)?
The Fatal Flaw:The officials assume that if commuting = 20% of trips, then commuting = 20% of congestion. But this is wrong!
Why? Because congestion isn't about the
percentage of total trips; it's about
how many cars are on the road at the same time.
Consider this analogy:
- A restaurant serves 100 customers daily
- Only 20 customers (20%) come for lunch between 12-1 PM
- But those 20 customers arriving simultaneously create 80% of the restaurant's crowding problems!
Similarly, commuting trips might be only 20% of urban travel, but because they're
concentrated during peak hours, they could easily cause 50%, 60%, or even 80% of traffic congestion.
Why Answer Choice (C) is Correct:"fails to consider that commuting trips may cause significantly more than 20 percent of the traffic congestion"
This directly identifies the gap: The officials wrongly equate trip percentage with congestion percentage, ignoring the
timing concentration effect.
Why Other Options Don't Work:- (A) - Officials aren't disputing the statistics
- (B) - They're using data from the specific city mentioned
- (D) - They're defending against this specific example, not making generalizations
- (E) - While non-commuter usage matters, it doesn't address the core congestion issue
You can check the detailed explanation
here (it will help you understand how to "pre-think" the solution for questions like these).
Strategic Takeaway for Similar Questions:When evaluating counter-arguments in CR questions, always check if the response:
- Actually addresses the original concern
- Makes unwarranted assumptions about proportionality
- Confuses correlation with causation
In this case, the officials' "20%" statistic sounds relevant but actually
sidesteps the real issue - whether the rail system reduces
congestion, not whether it serves non-commuters.
Remember:
Percentage of trips ≠ Percentage of congestion!