My answer is
option E. If this is correct, please proceed below.
My approach:First let us break down the stimulus into simpler terms so that one can easily grasp it.
Claim of the author: It is not logical to infer a secondary effect from a cause which is known only by one specific effect.
Counter claim: This is not correct because the inferred effect must necessarily be produced by some other characteristic of the cause than is the observed effect, which already serves entirely to describe the cause.
Given that the argument made by the author is flawed, we need to find a way to prove the author's counter claim is wrong and find out a way by which we can conclude that it is logically possible to infer a secondary effect from a cause which is known only by one specific effect.
Answer: Here the author claims that the secondary effect should also be produced because of a distinct characteristic of the cause other than the one which produced the specific effect (let us say the primary effect). However this claim is flawed since the secondary (inferred) effect could be produced because of the primary effect itself. That is the primary effect of the cause could be the cause of the secondary effect without there being another characteristic of the cause. That is the cause could still have only one primary characteristic and its influence could produce only a single effect always.
Diagrammatically represented as follows:---------------------------------------
Cause*A --- (characteristic*A)---> Effect*A
Cause*A --- (characteristic*A)---> Effect*A (Cause*B) --- (characteristic*B) ---> Effect*B
[There is a single characteristic*A that produces only a single Effect*A but Effect*A in turn produces Effect*B with or without the same characteristic*A]
Looking at the options we need to find out a option that exhibits the similar line of resoning based on the cause and effect.
Option (A): An anonymous socialite donated a million dollars to the orphanage. I would guess that he also volunteers at the cancer institute.
Breaking down each sentence:An anonymous socialite donated a million dollars to the orphanage.-- This is really a fact or some data which does not have a cause-effect relationship.
I would guess that he also volunteers at the cancer institute. -- Again this is a wild extrapolation based on the philanthropic gesture made by the socialite.
*** Option eliminated because of the absence of cause-effect type of reasoning. ***
Option (B) The radiation from the nuclear bomb caused some genetic variations and mutations in the mother, which lead to the birth defect in the child. Therefore, the radioactive material caused the birth defect.
Breaking down each sentence:Radiation (Cause*A) --> Genetic variations and mutations in mother (Effect*A) (Cause*B) --> Birth Defect in child (Secondary Effect*B)
Conclusion: Radioactive material (Cause) --> birth defect (Effect)
Although the conclusion is closely related it is NOT the correct answer choice. This is a Shell answer. The radiation in the nuclear bomb is cleverly replaced with radioactive material. To consider that all radioactive material will give the same type of radiation as it is emitted from a nuke is a stretch and hence this option is ruled out.
This option is also ruled out for one more important reason. This option does not show the same flawed reasoning presented by the argument in question.
*** This is a clever opposite answer. Eliminated ***
Option (C) Every uranium atom possesses great power. It is also minuscule and not visible to the naked eye. It must be its highly complex structure that produces this power.
Breaking down each sentence:Every uranium atom possesses great power. -- This statement is a fact. There is no cause-effect relationship.
It is also minuscule and not visible to the naked eye. -- Again this statement is a fact. There is no cause-effect relationship.
It must be its highly complex structure that produces this power. -- This is a conclusion unsupported by nothing mentioned in the previous two statement.
*** There is nothing similar in this option that mimics the flawed reasoning exhibited by the question. Option Eliminated ***
Option (D) The local bands that play at the farmer’s festival received more funds from the municipality this year than ever before. Clearly this administration is more civic-minded than previous ones.
Breaking down each sentence:The local bands that play at the farmer’s festival received more funds from the municipality this year than ever before. -- This is a fact statement. No cause-effect relationship.
Clearly this administration is more civic-minded than previous ones. -- Conclusion but there is nothing that represents the same line of flawed reasoning as in the question.
*** Option Eliminated. ***
Option (E) If I cool water, which is a liquid, it condenses. If I cool hundreds of other liquids like water, they condense. Therefore, if I cool any liquid like water, it will condense.
Breaking down each sentence:If I cool water, which is a liquid, it condenses. -- Cool Water (Cause) --> Condenses (Effect).
If I cool hundreds of other liquids like water, they condense. -- Cool hundreds of other liquids like water (Cause) --> Condenses (Effect).
Therefore, if I cool any liquid like water, it will condense. -- This is the conclusion. -- Cool any liquid like water (Cause) --> Condenses (Effect).
This conclusion is flawed in the same way as the question. This is the CORRECT answer.
Reason:As we have seen before:
Cause*A --- (characteristic*A)---> Effect*A
Cause*A --- (characteristic*A)---> Effect*A (Cause*B) --- (characteristic*B) ---> Effect*B [There is a single characteristic*A that produces only a single Effect*A]
A single cause could lead to a new inferred effect that is a result of the primary effect. The primary effect in turn acts as a cause for the inferred (secondary or final) effect.
With this we can say that the conclusion of the option E is flawed since if any liquid like water is cooled, it might or might-not condense. Also it might condense and then the condensation could lead to something else altogether.