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# When people predict that certain result will not take place

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When people predict that certain result will not take place [#permalink]

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27 Oct 2005, 14:18
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When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs. On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?
(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the context of that prediction.
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Director
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27 Oct 2005, 17:06
Hm...I'll try my luck on (E).

When you predict something, you already know what is highly likely to happen in sequence.
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Intern
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28 Oct 2005, 00:01
Shouldnt it be more like B?

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Senior Manager
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Re: CR # Predict result [#permalink]

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28 Oct 2005, 02:06
This was confusing, and I spent a good time deciding on this. I will go with E. This seems to be the correct answer.

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Director
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28 Oct 2005, 03:11
agarg wrote:
Shouldnt it be more like B?

You do the first action, and expect the second action to follow.

You don't do the second action.

B says "Judging which action to take...".
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28 Oct 2005, 05:51
I would go with B....

This talks about actions other than the one taken after the prediction is made which is similar to the argument. The argument states that "it becomes clear that the result admits more than one interpretation", thus there may be other actions which have affected the result. Hence, I go for B

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SVP
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28 Oct 2005, 14:30
OA is D.

I don't have OE, any body want to explain this one!
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28 Oct 2005, 14:30
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# When people predict that certain result will not take place

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