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655-705 Level|   Probability|            
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Hi again.
Thanks for the post.

I do know the stuff you were saying... chk this one -

Total no of pairs available:
1000 * 800 = 800,000

Total no of sibling pairs:
60

So, prob of pickin pair from the lot:
60/800000 = 3/40000

Ans: A :-D
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Hi,
Great logic. But mez confused that the "1" sibling you've picked from the senior class is from the entire 800 and not from the 60 possible siblings in the senior class.

Does 1/800 imply picking 1 in 60 in this context?
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You have already chosen 1 of the 60 siblings in the junior class. Now that one person is chosen there is only 1 way to choose that persons sibling in the senior class. If you used out of 60 for both classes you would just be finding the probability of finding two people WITH siblings, not necessarily two people who ARE siblings.
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Another way to view this problem:

Probability to get a sibling member on junior class=P1=60/1.000
Probability to get a sibling member on senior class=P2=60/800
Probability to get a sibling pair on all sibling pairs=P3=1/60
Probability that the 2 students selected at will be a sibling pair=P4

P4=P1*P2*P3=(60/1.000)*(60/800)*(1/60)=3/40.000
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A certain junior class has 1,000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 siblings pairs , each consisting of 1 junior and 1 senior. If i student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected at will be a sibling pair?

A. 3/40,000
B. 1/3,600
C. 9/2,000
D. 1/60
E. 1/15

No of ways of choosing 1 sibling pair out of 60 pairs = 60c1
No of ways of choosing 1 student from each class = 1000c1 x 800c1

Therefore probability of having 2 students choosen as a sibling pair = 60c1 / (1000c1 x 800c1) = 60 / (1000 x 800) = 3 / 40000 = A
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A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 siblings pairs, each consisting of 1 junior and 1 senior. If 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair?

A. 3/40000
B. 1/3600
C. 9/2000
D. 1/60
E. 1/15

My explanation is:

Total 60 students are siblings, out of which 30 are from Junior class and 30 are from senior class.
Hence prob of selecting 1 student from senior who is a sibling is 30C1/800C1, similarly, selecting one student from Junior who is a sibling is 30C1/1000C1.
Since selecting 2 ppl from 2 sets, the events are independent, total probability is : 30/800+ 30/1000.
Simplifying, I get 1/15.

Please tell me where I'm going wrong..
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First of all we have 60 siblings pairs, so there are 60 siblings in junior class and 60 siblings in senior class.

Next: the question ask "what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair", so the probability that they will be siblings of each other.
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Hi Bunuel,

You have selected first from junior section and then from senior section(first method).
But I have a doubt,its not mentioned anywhere that we have to pick first fro.m junior sec and then from senior sec.
Likewise we have freedom to select first from senior section and then from junior section.
So prob = 60/1000 * 60/800*1/60 + 60/800*60/1000*1/60
= 3/40000 +3/40000
= 6/40000 (Ans)

Please correct me where I am going wrong?
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Hi Bunuel,

You have selected first from junior section and then from senior section(first method).
But I have a doubt,its not mentioned anywhere that we have to pick first fro.m junior sec and then from senior sec.
Likewise we have freedom to select first from senior section and then from junior section.
So prob = 60/1000 * 60/800*1/60 + 60/800*60/1000*1/60
= 3/40000 +3/40000
= 6/40000 (Ans)

Please correct me where I am going wrong?

Sibling pair (\(a_{junior}\), \(a_{senior}\)) is the same pair as (\(a_{senior}\), \(a_{junior}\)) and with your approach you are counting the probability of selecting each such pair twice.

Sometimes for probability questions it's easy to check whether your approach is right by simplifying the problem. Basically you are saying that the probability is twice as high (instead of A. \(\frac{3}{40000}\), you are saying it's \(\frac{6}{40000}\)).

Consider there is 1 sibling pair, 1 in junior class, with total of 3 students and another in senior class, with total of 2 students. If 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected at will be a sibling pair?

With my approach the answer would be \(\frac{1}{3}*\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{6}\) (there are 6 pairs possible and there is only 1 sibling pair). To check whether this answer is correct you can easily list all possible pairs;
With your approach the answer would be: \(\frac{1}{3}*\frac{1}{2}+\frac{1}{2}*\frac{1}{3}=\frac{2}{6}\) , which is not correct. Basically with this approach you are doublecounting the same pair.

Hope it's clear.
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i just wanted to validate this answer the other way around i,e to find the no. of ways at least one sibling or no sibling is present in the chosen 2 members and then subtracting from 1 i.e

Req prob =1- (prob of one sibling chosen from either class) + no sibling chosen from either class
= 1-(prob of one sibling from junior) + (prob of one siblng from senior ) + (no sibling)
= 1-\((\frac{60}{1000}*\frac{799}{800})+(\frac{60}{800}*\frac{999}{1000})+(\frac{740}{800}*\frac{940}{1000})\)


which is coming out to be -ve which obviously is wrong ,, i want to know as to what i am adding extra as a result the answer is -ve
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i just wanted to validate this answer the other way around i,e to find the no. of ways at least one sibling or no sibling is present in the chosen 2 members and then subtracting from 1 i.e

Req prob =1- (prob of one sibling chosen from either class) + no sibling chosen from either class
= 1-(prob of one sibling from junior) + (prob of one siblng from senior ) + (no sibling)
= 1-\((\frac{60}{1000}*\frac{799}{800})+(\frac{60}{800}*\frac{999}{1000})+(\frac{740}{800}*\frac{940}{1000})\)


which is coming out to be -ve which obviously is wrong ,, i want to know as to what i am adding extra as a result the answer is -ve

It should be: \(1-(\frac{60}{1000}*\frac{799}{800}+\frac{940}{1000}*1)=\frac{3}{40000}\)

\(\frac{60}{1000}*\frac{799}{800}\) --> p(sibling)*p(any but sibling pair)
\(\frac{940}{1000}*1\) --> p(not sibling)*p(any)

Hope it's clear.
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A certain junior class has 1,000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 siblings pairs, each consisting of 1 junior and 1 senior. If i student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected at will be a sibling pair?

A. 3/40,000
B. 1/3,600
C. 9/2,000
D. 1/60
E. 1/15

Quote:

Responding to a pm: Why doesn't order matter here?

Check out this post: https://www.gmatclub.com/forum/veritas-prep-resource-links-no-longer-available-399979.html#/2013/08 ... er-matter/
It discusses a very similar situation.

Also, whether order matter or not depends on how you perceive it. In probability, you calculate P(A) = P(Favorable Outcomes)/P(Total Outcomes)

Where applicable, you can make the order matter in both numerator and denominator or not make it matter in both numerator and denominator. The answer will be the same.

This Question:

Order Matters:
Favorable outcomes = 60*1 + 60*1
Total outcomes = 1000*800 + 800*1000
P(A) = 3/40,000

Order doesn't matter:
Favorable outcomes = 60*1
Total outcomes = 1000*800
P(A) = 3/40,000

Another case: A bag has 4 balls - red, green, blue, pink (Equal probability of selecting each ball)
What is the probability that you pick two balls and they are red and green?

Order Matters:
Favorable outcomes = 2 (RG, GR)
Total outcomes = 4*3
P(A) = 1/6

Order doesn't matter:
Favorable outcomes = 1 (a red and a green)
Total outcomes = 4C2 = 6
P(A) = 1/6

Previous case: 2 red and 3 white balls. What is the probability that you pick two balls such that one is red and other is white?
In how many ways can you pick a red and a white ball? Here the probability of picking each ball is different. So we cannot cannot use our previous method. Here the probability of picking 2 red balls is not the same as that of picking a red and a white. Hence you have to consider the order to find the complete probability of picking a red and a white.
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Bunuel
First of all we have 60 siblings pairs, so there are 60 siblings in junior class and 60 siblings in senior class.

Next: the question ask "what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair", so the probability that they will be siblings of each other.

Back to the question:

A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 siblings pairs each consisting of 1 junior and 1 senior. If 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair?

A. 3/40000
B. 1/3600
C. 9/2000
D. 1/60
E. 1/15

There are 60 siblings in junior class and 60 their pair siblings in the senior class. We want to determine probability of choosing one sibling from junior class and its pair from senior.

What is the probability of choosing ANY sibling from junior class? \(\frac{60}{1000}\) (as there are 60 of them).

What is the probability of choosing PAIR OF CHOSEN SIBLING in senior class? As in senior class there is only one pair of chosen sibling it would be \(\frac{1}{800}\) (as there is only one sibling pair of chosen one).

So the probability of that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair is: \(\frac{60}{1000}*\frac{1}{800}=\frac{3}{40000}\)

Answer: A.

This problem can be solved in another way:

In how many ways we can choose 1 person from 1000: \(C^1_{1000}=1000\);
In how many ways we can choose 1 person from 800: \(C^1_{800}=800\);
So total # of ways of choosing 1 from 1000 and 1 from 800 is \(C^1_{1000}*C^1_{800}=1000*800\) --> this is total # of outcomes.

Let’s count favorable outcomes: 1 from 60 - \(C^1_{60}=60\);
The pair of the one chosen: \(C^1_1=1\)
So total # of favorable outcomes is \(C^1_{60}*C^1_1=60\)

\(Probability=\frac{# \ of \ favorable \ outcomes}{Total \ # \ of \ outcomes}=\frac{60}{1000*800}=\frac{3}{40000} = \frac{60}{}\).

Answer: A.

Hope it helps.


Hi
Am not good at probability
plz clarify

Questions says 1 student is selected from each class
shouldn't it be like>>


\(Probability=\frac{60}{1000} * \frac{1}{800} OR \frac{60}{800} * \frac{1}{1000} = \frac{3}{20000}\).
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Bunuel
First of all we have 60 siblings pairs, so there are 60 siblings in junior class and 60 siblings in senior class.

Next: the question ask "what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair", so the probability that they will be siblings of each other.

Back to the question:

A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 siblings pairs each consisting of 1 junior and 1 senior. If 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair?

A. 3/40000
B. 1/3600
C. 9/2000
D. 1/60
E. 1/15

There are 60 siblings in junior class and 60 their pair siblings in the senior class. We want to determine probability of choosing one sibling from junior class and its pair from senior.

What is the probability of choosing ANY sibling from junior class? \(\frac{60}{1000}\) (as there are 60 of them).

What is the probability of choosing PAIR OF CHOSEN SIBLING in senior class? As in senior class there is only one pair of chosen sibling it would be \(\frac{1}{800}\) (as there is only one sibling pair of chosen one).

So the probability of that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair is: \(\frac{60}{1000}*\frac{1}{800}=\frac{3}{40000}\)

Answer: A.

This problem can be solved in another way:

In how many ways we can choose 1 person from 1000: \(C^1_{1000}=1000\);
In how many ways we can choose 1 person from 800: \(C^1_{800}=800\);
So total # of ways of choosing 1 from 1000 and 1 from 800 is \(C^1_{1000}*C^1_{800}=1000*800\) --> this is total # of outcomes.

Let’s count favorable outcomes: 1 from 60 - \(C^1_{60}=60\);
The pair of the one chosen: \(C^1_1=1\)
So total # of favorable outcomes is \(C^1_{60}*C^1_1=60\)

\(Probability=\frac{# \ of \ favorable \ outcomes}{Total \ # \ of \ outcomes}=\frac{60}{1000*800}=\frac{3}{40000} = \frac{60}{}\).

Answer: A.

Hope it helps.


Hi
Am not good at probability
plz clarify

Questions says 1 student is selected from each class
shouldn't it be like>>


\(Probability=\frac{60}{1000} * \frac{1}{800} OR \frac{60}{800} * \frac{1}{1000} = \frac{3}{20000}\).

Hi dpo28,

The order of selecting the sibling does not matter here. Let me explain you why your probability equation is not correct. Assume a pair of siblings A & B where A is in the senior class & B is in the junior class. If you select A from the senior class first, you can only select B from the junior class to make it a sibling pair.

Alternatively, if you select B from the junior class first, you can only select A from the senior class to make it a sibling pair. Thus, in both the cases we have the same pair of siblings as our final selection :). Hence the order of selection of siblings does not matter which is what your probability equation is intending to convey.

Hope its clear!

Regards
Harsh
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A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 siblings pairs each consisting of 1 junior and 1 senior. If 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair?

A. 3/40000
B. 1/3600
C. 9/2000
D. 1/60
E. 1/15
1. Select a person from a class , say the senior class.
2. Probability that the student has a sibling is 60/800
3. Probability of selecting a person who has a sibling in the Junior class is 60/1000.
4. Probability that the person selected is the sibling is 1/60.
5. Final probability is 60/800*60/1000*1/60=3/40000
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A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 siblings pairs each consisting of 1 junior and 1 senior. If 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair?

A. 3/40000
B. 1/3600
C. 9/2000
D. 1/60
E. 1/15

The probability of selecting any one sibling from the 60 sibling pairs in the junior class is 60/1000. Once that person is selected, the probability of selecting his or her sibling from the senior class is 1/800; thus, the probability of a selecting a sibling pair is:

60/1000 x 1/800 = 3/50 x 1/800 = 3/40000

Alternatively, the probability of selecting any one sibling from the 60 sibling pairs in the senior class is 60/800. Once that person is selected, the probability of selecting his or her sibling from the junior class is 1/1000; thus, the probability of a selecting a sibling pair is:

60/800 x 1/1000 = 3/40 x 1/1000 = 3/40000

Answer: A
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