Conclusion -
1. overwhelming majority of students want to finish high school
2. if the national dropout rate among high school students is high, it cannot be due to a lack of desire on the part of the students.Premise - 1. A group of 1,000 students was randomly selected from
three high schools in a
medium-sized city and asked the question, “Do you plan to finish your high school education?” More than 89 percent answered “Yes.”
Pre - thinking -
1. The data presented is for the random set of students from
a medium sized city. This means that the data is specific to a city.
2. The conclusions drawn are about general conclusions made for the
majority of students (of the nation) and about the
national school dropout rate.
The conclusion made is for the whole nation whereas the datapoints supporting are only from one city.
Answer choices :
(A) fails to justify its presumption that 89 percent is an overwhelming majority -
Irrelevant because the conclusions are linkage between local data and the national data.
(B) attempts to draw two conflicting conclusions from the results of one survey -
Wrong because the two conclusions drawn are not conflicting
(C) overlooks the possibility that there may in fact not be a high dropout rate among high school students -
Irrelevant because the argument does not talk anything about the possibility of not a high dropout.
(D) contradicts itself by admitting that there may be a high dropout rate among students while claiming that most students want to finish high school -
Wrong because the author does not admits that there may be a high dropout rate.
(E) treats high school students from a particular medium-sized city as if they are representative of high school students nationwide -
Correct - Inline with our prethinking and points the logical flaw present in making the conclusion.