How likely are you to land an interview invite at the top 20 US schools?
Typically, candidates look at acceptance rates to assess how difficult it is to get into a program. However, as we know, the admissions process is a funnel. The road to an admit starts with submitting a strong application. Then, there's churn at each stage of the funnel, especially at the interview invitation stage. Landing an interview invite typically serves as a litmus test of your application and, to an extent, an indicator of your chances of securing your dream admit.
To get some understanding of how selective schools are about who they want to interview, I have taken a couple of data sources and tried analyzing the interview invitation rates for the top 20 US schools.
- For key application metrics such as the number of applicants, acceptance rate, admits, etc. I have used this October 2019 study of acceptance rates from Poets and Quants.
- For the other missing piece - the interview conversion rate - I have used this post titled Chances of getting admitted after an interview by Narenn.
- Even though the interview acceptance analysis is a bit dated, I believe that the acceptance rates would not have fluctuated much. Considering that the total applications are dropping each year for the last 2-3 years, and most schools' yields have also been going down, it seems unlikely that top schools would get more selective in the post-interview stage. At the same time, it is also reasonable to believe that schools would not want to compromise on their prestige and brand, especially during a downturn, and hence be as picky in the post-interview stage as they have been in the earlier years. So, the counter-forces should maintain the balance IMO and hence I've used the same interview acceptance rates.
Attachment:
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Observations
- The interview invite rate ranges from 13% to 82%. The average interview invite rate is 44%.
- As is known in the applicant community, Tuck and Kellogg have exceptionally high interview invite rates. However, neither 'interviews everyone who applies', contrary to the popular opinion.
- In the top 10 schools, Stanford, Harvard, and MIT are the three most selective schools, respectively, in terms of who they invite for an interview.
- Meanwhile, Ross, Booth, and Wharton seem to be the three top-10 schools inviting the highest percentage of applicants for interviews (excluding Kellogg and Tuck).
- Harvard, Columbia, Yale, NYU Stern, and UCLA Anderson are the only five schools with a below-average interview invite rate and also an above-average post-interview acceptance rate. One can deduce that purely in terms of securing an admit, the non-interview components of your application can be a bigger game-changer than the interview itself while applying to these schools as compared to the others. For example, both Haas and Stern have similar interview invite rates (34% and 36%), but the post-interview chance of securing an admit at Stern (73%) is almost 40% higher than that at Haas (52%).
Takeaway
- This analysis might be useful as an additional data-point in terms of school selection. When deciding between applying to similar schools based on your professional goals, you can look at this analysis to select/prioritize between them based on how strong/differentiated you think the non-interview components of your profile are and how good you think your interviewing skills are. Remember, the whole admission process is a funnel, and as an applicant, the goal should be to minimize chances of churning out at each stage of the funnel, while ensuring you land the best possible admit for yourself.
However, you should take this analysis, like any other extrapolative analysis, with a pinch of salt!
Suggestions and data points to improve this analysis are most welcome!