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Chances of Getting Admitted After an Interview [Data Crunch]

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What are the chances to Get Admitted After an Interview?



If you got an interview, chances of admission are already looking up, but invitations from different schools have different implications.
While we are all waiting and biting our nails about the R1 decisions or Interviews for some of us, we have something to spend your time give your brain a workout! We have analyzed our historical data of interviewed applicants to know the post interview acceptance rates of previous GMAT Club members:

  • This analysis is aimed at estimating the weight schools place on admission interviews by calculating historical post interview acceptance rates of applicants and studying the impact of interview performance, interview type, GMAT score on applicant's acceptance rate.
  • We have studied the data of around 10000 applicants from top 20 most popular schools on GMATClub for the analysis. Among the 20 school studied, 3 are international (LBS, INSEAD, & ISB) and rest are US schools.
  • The analysis is based on historical data from the last 3 years. i.e. 2014, 2015, & 2016 intakes.





MBA Interview Acceptance Rates of Individual Schools


Sample Size: 10433 Applicants

Image

  • The acceptance rate ranges from 37% to 74%. The overall post interview acceptance rate is 56.3%%
  • NYU Stern jumps out as the highest acceptance rate followed by INSEAD, Johnson, & UCLA. If you have been selected to interview at any of these schools then you have close to 3/4th chance of attending these MBA programs.
  • Kellogg and Tuck have lowest post interview acceptance rates for obvious reasons; They allow anyone who visits their campuses to interview, so it is not surprising that they admit significantly fewer applicants who are interviewed.
  • Apart from Kellogg, there are four other M7 schools whose acceptance rates are lower than the overall post interview acceptance rate.




MBA Interview Acceptance Rate and GMAT


Sample Size: 6386 Applicants

Image

  • Here we are trying to know if any relationship exists between applicant's GMAT score and his/her acceptance chance post interview. And here we got quite surprised results.
  • Even if your GMAT is equal to or less than 650, if you are shortlisted for the interview then you have 47% chance of getting in and for those with 780+ GMAT scores, it's 58%. This finding tells us that a high GMAT score may not necessarily increase your chance of acceptance post interview dramatically. Even if you get 800 on GMAT, your chance of acceptance post interview will not be greater than 58%. (BTW, there were 4 applicants with 800 GMAT in this data sample and all of them were admitted: 3 at NYU Stern, remaining one at Wharton)
  • This analysis takes us to a logical conclusion that applicants performance in interview has more impact on his post interview acceptance chance than his/her GMAT score. I've also shown, in bar charts, the distribution of applicants by GMAT scores.




MBA Interview Acceptance Rate and Applicant's Location


Sample Size: 3501 Applicants

Now let's see whether your location matters in your post interview acceptance chance. Here we assume that US and Canadian applicants are more likely to appear for campus interviews than other applicants, so this experiment is really about whether campus interviews have any edge over skype or outstation interviews.

Image

  • I admit that our data sample is biased towards users from US and India. Roughly 60% of the applicants considered for this survey are from these two countries.
  • In light of the assumption that US applicants are more likely to appear for campus interviews than Indian applicants, if we look at post interview acceptance rates of applicants from US and India, we find that acceptance rate of Indian applicants is actually higher than that of US applicants.
  • This leads us to believe that campus interviews won't give you the decisive advantage over applicants who could not visit the school. Note that, I am not at all suggesting that campus interviews or school visits are less important. Almost every MBA expert will advice you to visit the school if it is possible for you. Here we are just talking about its impact on applicants' acceptance chances.

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Re: Chances of Getting Admitted After an Interview [Data Crunch] [#permalink]

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New post 07 Dec 2016, 22:25
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Nicely captured Narenn Looks like a lot must have gone in producing these charts. Thanks for everything that you do for the GMAT Club community.

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Re: Chances of Getting Admitted After an Interview [Data Crunch] [#permalink]

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Thanks for putting this together! To speak to the rest of the applicants, outside of those on this forum, I can say the interview acceptance information is relatively accurate and similar to what I see. There are slight variations by school but this paints a pretty good picture!

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New post 12 Dec 2016, 05:31
Keats wrote:
Nicely captured Narenn Looks like a lot must have gone in producing these charts. Thanks for everything that you do for the GMAT Club community.


Thank you for your kind words. We are deeply indebted to our forum members who share their admission progress and stats with us, which helps us immensely in analyzing these trends. Congrats on Illinois admit and good luck for all other schools!
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New post 12 Dec 2016, 05:50
Great stuff! Thank you for putting this together.

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New post 15 Dec 2016, 07:19
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This stuff is so interesting.
Tremendous Analysis Narenn



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New post 01 Mar 2017, 16:06
Very helpful! Thanks so much for doing this.
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Do all MBA schools in the U.S have personal interviews?


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New post 08 Mar 2017, 11:46
aepmk wrote:
Do all MBA schools in the U.S have personal interviews?


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Interview is an integral part of Bschool application process at US, Europe, and top Asian Bschools. In rare cases applicants get interview waivers if schools can't find alumni in applicant's city/area but almost every applicant has to go through interview process if she/he is selected for the interview.
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New post 11 Mar 2017, 07:15
Great analysis. Nice to know that post interview, GMAT doesnt significantly impact acceptance


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New post 16 Mar 2017, 11:03
Thanks for the work Narenn!

Out of curiosity, among the 10,000 data points, were they split equally among schools? (Could there be a greater margin of error in certain cases due to smaller sample size?)

I notice that Sloan is the third lowest. In previous years, it seemed to be on par with HBS (50-60%). I know they put a lot of weight on the interview itself, so would performance therein be a good indicator of which side of 46% one might end up on? Am trying to compile my own data based on other reports, and the MIT data doesn't fit with what I have. Perhaps it's the interview report component that's off.

Thanks!

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New post 29 Mar 2017, 15:23
Hi Narenn,

These charts are great - thank you.

Would it be possible to use your data sets to extrapolate likelihood of success for an African applicant to INSEAD
1) Application to interview conversion ratio
2) Interview to admit conversion ratio

Would be very interesting to see if the 77% INSEAD conversion ratio across all geographies increases for African applicants as per the school-agnostic conversion ratio of 66%, relative to the 56% international average.

Any data here would be useful in my scholarship apps, even if only directionally.

Thanks!

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New post 29 Mar 2017, 17:24
Its wonderful Narenn. Is there any data regarding GMAT score and scholarships. Or do you guys capture scholarship data provided by admitted students?
That would be great to analyze considering how all the schools are trying to raise their median GMAT score
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New post 06 Apr 2017, 20:33
Very helpful stuff!! Appreciate all the hardwork thats gone into this analysis!!! bookmarking this one

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New post 14 Apr 2017, 18:49
One observation:

The interview acceptance rate at tuck, per this analysis, is 44%. Tucks overall acceptance rate is ~22%. This is suggesting that just by taking advantage of the open interview, you can almost double you odds of admission. Of course tuck will request interviews for some students but its safe to say that if you do an open interview, your chances of admission are much higher than the overall acceptance rate.

Is that logic correct?

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Re: Chances of Getting Admitted After an Interview [Data Crunch] [#permalink]

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New post 16 Apr 2017, 12:50
Wow great analysis. Thank you

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Re: Chances of Getting Admitted After an Interview [Data Crunch] [#permalink]

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New post 16 Apr 2017, 23:46
LakersFanCali wrote:
One observation:

The interview acceptance rate at tuck, per this analysis, is 44%. Tucks overall acceptance rate is ~22%. This is suggesting that just by taking advantage of the open interview, you can almost double you odds of admission. Of course tuck will request interviews for some students but its safe to say that if you do an open interview, your chances of admission are much higher than the overall acceptance rate.

Is that logic correct?


Numbers indeed show that your chance of acceptance is doubled after taking an interview, but we can't say for sure whether applicants who participate in open interviews benefits from this unless we compare acceptance rates of applicants invited to interview and applicants who took part in open interviews. Unfortunately we don't have this data so we can't perform this analysis.
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New post 16 Apr 2017, 23:52
mbsingh wrote:
Its wonderful Narenn. Is there any data regarding GMAT score and scholarships. Or do you guys capture scholarship data provided by admitted students?
That would be great to analyze considering how all the schools are trying to raise their median GMAT score


We do have an option on Decision Tracker where admitted folks can tell us whether they received any scholarship; however, we never retrieved that data. I think it's a good idea to conduct a separate analysis on interrelation between scholarship and applicant's profile i.e. GMAT, GPA, Professional background, etc. Thanks for the suggestion.
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Re: Chances of Getting Admitted After an Interview [Data Crunch] [#permalink]

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New post 17 Apr 2017, 00:29
Moose89 wrote:
Hi Narenn,

These charts are great - thank you.

Would it be possible to use your data sets to extrapolate likelihood of success for an African applicant to INSEAD
1) Application to interview conversion ratio
2) Interview to admit conversion ratio

Would be very interesting to see if the 77% INSEAD conversion ratio across all geographies increases for African applicants as per the school-agnostic conversion ratio of 66%, relative to the 56% international average.

Any data here would be useful in my scholarship apps, even if only directionally.

Thanks!


Hi Moose89, Unfortunately our data sample of African applicants applied to INSEAD is insufficient to calculate these rates. We have only handful of applicants showing African countries on their profiles.
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Re: Chances of Getting Admitted After an Interview [Data Crunch] [#permalink]

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New post 17 Apr 2017, 01:02
FinGuru wrote:
Thanks for the work Narenn!

Out of curiosity, among the 10,000 data points, were they split equally among schools? (Could there be a greater margin of error in certain cases due to smaller sample size?)

I notice that Sloan is the third lowest. In previous years, it seemed to be on par with HBS (50-60%). I know they put a lot of weight on the interview itself, so would performance therein be a good indicator of which side of 46% one might end up on? Am trying to compile my own data based on other reports, and the MIT data doesn't fit with what I have. Perhaps it's the interview report component that's off.

Thanks!


Hi FinGuru, No, they were not split equally among schools. In the entire data, number of Sloan applicants is 457, i.e. roughly 4.5%.

We have used last 3 years applicant data for this analysis. i.e. 2014, 2015, and 2016 intake. If this helps for your analysis, interview acceptance rates of Sloan applicants were 47% in 2014, 44% in 2015, and 48% in 2016.
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