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Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions

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Intern
Joined: 17 Mar 2012
Posts: 41

Kudos [?]: 19 [0], given: 0

Location: United States
Concentration: Finance
GMAT 1: 760 Q48 V45
GPA: 3.71
WE: Accounting (Aerospace and Defense)
Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions [#permalink]

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20 Nov 2012, 15:54
I've been searching, unsuccessfully, for almost a year now to answer this question:

What is the correlation between admissions at one elite program and another. I would think that someone who is admitted to Harvard has much higher chance of being admitted to Wharton than someone who was rejected by Harvard. Not because of any direct association between the decisions, but because the two programs are likely to evaluate the applicant in similar ways, and therefore reach the same conclusions. I'm sure someone must have the data and must have tested them, but I can't find it anywhere.

Has anyone else looked into this?

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Current Student
Joined: 13 Sep 2011
Posts: 573

Kudos [?]: 145 [0], given: 28

Location: United States
Schools: Ross '16 (M)
Re: Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions [#permalink]

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20 Nov 2012, 21:18
I have no idea if anyone has done that sort of analysis, but what I can say is that I've definitely seen some randomness. For example a friend of mine got into Stanford but rejected from Yale. Another friend of mine got into wharton but rejected from Johnson.

this doesn't prove anything since they're just a couple of examples, but it leads me to believe that the correlation might not be as strong as you might expect

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Senior Manager
Status: Yale! (whipped and bound)
Joined: 02 May 2012
Posts: 406

Kudos [?]: 147 [0], given: 78

Location: United States (CA)
Concentration: Nonprofit
GMAT 1: 730 Q48 V42
GPA: 3.41
Re: Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions [#permalink]

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20 Nov 2012, 21:30
I wonder if Yale and Johnson were just protecting their yield by rejecting applicants they expected to get offers elsewhere. Also, people may take admission to less competitive schools for granted and submit subpar applications.
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Blogging about the MBA application process. Because I need to do something with all this bschool energy.
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Yale School of Management MBA Candidate, 2015.

Kudos [?]: 147 [0], given: 78

Current Student
Joined: 13 Sep 2011
Posts: 573

Kudos [?]: 145 [0], given: 28

Location: United States
Schools: Ross '16 (M)
Re: Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions [#permalink]

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20 Nov 2012, 22:02
Could be. I thought that too

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Intern
Joined: 31 Oct 2012
Posts: 28

Kudos [?]: 7 [1], given: 3

Location: United States
Concentration: Finance
GMAT 1: 640 Q39 V39
WE: Other (Mutual Funds and Brokerage)
Re: Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions [#permalink]

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20 Nov 2012, 22:25
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If admission were based solely on GMAT & GPA this would probably be relevant, but as the essay and interview components can vary widely, I don't think it will ever be apples to apples. . .

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Current Student
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Posts: 573

Kudos [?]: 145 [0], given: 28

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Schools: Ross '16 (M)
Re: Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions [#permalink]

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31 Mar 2013, 07:57
To give another anecdote, my friend got rejected from Columbia and Wharton, but got into HBS last week.

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Director
Joined: 26 May 2010
Posts: 719

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Location: United States (MA)
Concentration: Strategy
Schools: MIT Sloan - Class of 2015
WE: Consulting (Mutual Funds and Brokerage)
Re: Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions [#permalink]

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31 Mar 2013, 09:38
I was originally waitlisted at Duke whereas I got into Sloan, Haas, and Tuck straight away, so the process can certainly be random. But I agree that if someone gets into a school like HBS and puts the same effort into each of their applications, they are probably more likely to have success elsewhere.

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Re: Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions   [#permalink] 31 Mar 2013, 09:38
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Correlation / Covariance in admissions decisions

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