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ariiet
This is my approach. Please correct me where I went wrong.
I chose A for this one.....


- Label from 1 to 10 >> maximum number of each balls = 10

My curious is, from statement 1, can't we conclude that white balls are only marked with odd numbers?

Then, the total number of balls is 25 thus there are 5 white balls, 10 blue balls, and 10 red balls.
Blue balls and red balls have 5 even balls each. >>> Even balls = 10
White balls = 5

P(white)+P(Even) = 10/25+5/25 = 3/5

Yes, we can conclude that white balls are only marked with odd numbers. But we have numbers on the balls from 1 to 10 only and we have total 25 balls. SO, it is obvious that numbers are repeated. Now, We don't have any information whether we do have only 5 ODD numbered white balls or more than 5 ODD numbered white balls. So, we cannot conclude the number of white balls. Hence, Statement 1 is also insufficient.

I hope it is clear now. Let me know if you have more doubts.
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How do you get to this formula.:

\(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)\)

Any underlying concept ?

Bunuel
Each of the 25 balls in a certain box is either red, blue or white and has a number from 1 to 10 painted on it. If one ball is to be selected at random from the box, what is the probability that the ball selected will either be white or have an even number painted on it?

Probability ball: white - \(P(W)\);
Probability ball: even - \(P(E)\);
Probability ball: white and even - \(P(W&E)\).

Probability ball picked being white or even: \(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)\).

(1) The probability that the ball will both be white and have an even number painted on it is 0 --> \(P(W&E)=0\) (no white ball with even number) --> \(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-0\). Not sufficient

(2) The probability that the ball will be white minus the probability that the ball will have an even number painted on it is 0.2 --> \(P(W)-P(E)=0.2\), multiple values are possible for \(P(W)\) and \(P(E)\) (0.6 and 0.4 OR 0.4 and 0.2). Can not determine \(P(WorE)\).

(1)+(2) \(P(W&E)=0\) and \(P(W)-P(E)=0.2\) --> \(P(WorE)=2P(E)+0.2\) --> multiple answers are possible, for instance: if \(P(E)=0.4\) (10 even balls) then \(P(WorE)=1\) BUT if \(P(E)=0.2\) (5 even balls) then \(P(WorE)=0.6\). Not sufficient.

Answer: E.

Hope it's clear.
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ajay2121988
How do you get to this formula.:

\(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)\)

Any underlying concept ?

Yes, it is a general formula to determine the probability of Events A or B when both A and B are NOT mutually exclusive.

For example, say I have the numbers from 1 to 10.

Event A : All even numbers
Event B : All multiples of 3.

Probability of A or B will be All even + All multiple of 3 - Those that have been repeated(only 6 in this case).

I hope it is clear now.
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ajay2121988
How do you get to this formula.:

\(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)\)

Any underlying concept ?


Exactly same as that of two overlapping sets.

n(A or B) = n(A) + n(B) - n(A and B)

Why do you subtract n(A and B) out of it? Because it is double counted - once in n(A) and another time in n(B).

Similarly, P(A and B) is double counted - once in probability of A and another time in probability of B.
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lexis
Each of the 25 balls in a certain box is either red, blue or white and has a number from 1 to 10 painted on it. If one ball is to be selected at random from the box, what is the probability that the ball selected will either be white or have an even number painted on it?

(1) The probability that the ball will both be white and have an even number painted on it is 0

(2) The probability that the ball will be white minus the probability that the ball will have an even number painted on it is 0.2


Forget conventional ways of solving math questions. In DS, Variable approach is the easiest and quickest way to find the answer without actually solving the problem. Remember equal number of variables and independent equations ensures a solution.

...........| White | Not White
------------------------------
.....Even.| a | b
---------------------------------
Not Even.| c | d

=> Q: ( a + b + c ) / 25 ?

a + b + c + d = 25

Since we have 4 variables and 1 equation, E could be the answer most likely.

1) & 2)
From the condition 1), we have a = 0.
From the condition 2), ( a + c ) / 25 - ( a + b ) / 25 = ( c - b ) / 25 = 0.2
c - b = 5

Since we have only 2 equations a = 0 and c - b = 5, we can't figure out b + c and solve this question.

Therefore, the answer is E as expected.

For cases where we need 3 more equations, such as original conditions with “3 variables”, or “4 variables and 1 equation”, or “5 variables and 2 equations”, we have 1 equation each in both 1) and 2). Therefore, there is 80 % chance that E is the answer, while C has 15% chance and A, B or D has 5% chance. Since E is most likely to be the answer using 1) and 2) together according to DS definition. Obviously there may be cases where the answer is A, B, C or D.
Forget conventional ways of solving math questions. In DS, Variable approach is the easiest and quickest way to find the answer without actually solving the problem. Remember equal number of variables and independent equations ensures a solution.
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Bunuel
Each of the 25 balls in a certain box is either red, blue or white and has a number from 1 to 10 painted on it. If one ball is to be selected at random from the box, what is the probability that the ball selected will either be white or have an even number painted on it?

Probability ball: white - \(P(W)\);
Probability ball: even - \(P(E)\);
Probability ball: white and even - \(P(W&E)\).

Probability ball picked being white or even: \(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)\).

(1) The probability that the ball will both be white and have an even number painted on it is 0 --> \(P(W&E)=0\) (no white ball with even number) --> \(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-0\). Not sufficient

(2) The probability that the ball will be white minus the probability that the ball will have an even number painted on it is 0.2 --> \(P(W)-P(E)=0.2\), multiple values are possible for \(P(W)\) and \(P(E)\) (0.6 and 0.4 OR 0.4 and 0.2). Can not determine \(P(WorE)\).
)
(1)+(2) \(P(W&E)=0\) and \(P(W)-P(E)=0.2\) --> \(P(WorE)=2P(E)+0.2\) --> multiple answers are possible, for instance: if \(P(E)=0.4\) (10 even balls) then \(P(WorE)=1\) BUT if \(P(E)=0.2\) (5 even balls) then \(P(WorE)=0.6\). Not sufficient.

Answer: E.

Hope it's clear.

Hi Bunuel..

How did u get Probability ball picked being white or even: P(W or E)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)?
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Bunuel
Each of the 25 balls in a certain box is either red, blue or white and has a number from 1 to 10 painted on it. If one ball is to be selected at random from the box, what is the probability that the ball selected will either be white or have an even number painted on it?

Probability ball: white - \(P(W)\);
Probability ball: even - \(P(E)\);
Probability ball: white and even - \(P(W&E)\).

Probability ball picked being white or even: \(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)\).

(1) The probability that the ball will both be white and have an even number painted on it is 0 --> \(P(W&E)=0\) (no white ball with even number) --> \(P(WorE)=P(W)+P(E)-0\). Not sufficient

(2) The probability that the ball will be white minus the probability that the ball will have an even number painted on it is 0.2 --> \(P(W)-P(E)=0.2\), multiple values are possible for \(P(W)\) and \(P(E)\) (0.6 and 0.4 OR 0.4 and 0.2). Can not determine \(P(WorE)\).
)
(1)+(2) \(P(W&E)=0\) and \(P(W)-P(E)=0.2\) --> \(P(WorE)=2P(E)+0.2\) --> multiple answers are possible, for instance: if \(P(E)=0.4\) (10 even balls) then \(P(WorE)=1\) BUT if \(P(E)=0.2\) (5 even balls) then \(P(WorE)=0.6\). Not sufficient.

Answer: E.

Hope it's clear.

Hi Bunuel..

How did u get Probability ball picked being white or even: P(W or E)=P(W)+P(E)-P(W&E)?

OR probability:
If Events A and B are independent, the probability that Event A OR Event B occurs is equal to the probability that Event A occurs plus the probability that Event B occurs minus the probability that both Events A and B occur: \(P(A \ or \ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \ and \ B)\).

This is basically the same as 2 overlapping sets formula:
{total # of items in groups A or B} = {# of items in group A} + {# of items in group B} - {# of items in A and B}.

Note that if event are mutually exclusive then \(P(A \ and \ B)=0\) and the formula simplifies to: \(P(A \ or \ B) = P(A) + P(B)\).

Also note that when we say "A or B occurs" we include three possibilities:
A occurs and B does not occur;
B occurs and A does not occur;
Both A and B occur.

AND probability:
When two events are independent, the probability of both occurring is the product of the probabilities of the individual events: \(P(A \ and \ B) = P(A)*P(B)\).

This is basically the same as Principle of Multiplication: if one event can occur in \(m\) ways and a second can occur independently of the first in \(n\) ways, then the two events can occur in \(mn\) ways.

22. Probability



For more:
ALL YOU NEED FOR QUANT ! ! !
Ultimate GMAT Quantitative Megathread


Hope it helps.
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Can someone tell me where my logic went wrong? I selected A, with the thought that since P(W&E)=0, therefore there must be 5 white balls, all of which have an odd number on them (so 5 white balls total). Therefore, P(W)=5/25, P(E)=10/25, and P(W&E)=0. Is it wrong to assume that the numbers don't repeat on each ball color (i.e. the blue balls with all of 1 number cannot be true?).
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ulanky
Can someone tell me where my logic went wrong? I selected A, with the thought that since P(W&E)=0, therefore there must be 5 white balls, all of which have an odd number on them (so 5 white balls total). Therefore, P(W)=5/25, P(E)=10/25, and P(W&E)=0. Is it wrong to assume that the numbers don't repeat on each ball color (i.e. the blue balls with all of 1 number cannot be true?).

Hi

P(W&E) = 0, means that there is NO ball which is both white and has an even number on it. But there could be various white balls with odd numbers on them, and there could be various red/blue balls with even numbers on them. We need to take both these kinds of balls into account.

I think we cannot assume that there must be 5 white balls, its possible that there is only one white ball in the entire box. And yes, I think we also cannot assume that the numbers cannot repeat on same coloured balls (because its nowhere given). Its possible that all blue coloured balls have only number 1 painted on them.
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Bunuel
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But how can this be solved in less than 2 mins???

You can solve this problem in another way. Transform probability into actual numbers and draw the table.

Given:
Attachment:
1.JPG

So we are asked to calculate \(\frac{a+b-c}{25}\) (we are subtracting \(c\) not to count twice even balls which are white).

(1) The probability that the ball will both be white and have an even number painted on it is 0 --> \(c=0\) --> \(\frac{a+b}{25}=?\). Not sufficient.
Attachment:
4.JPG

(2) The probability that the ball will be white minus the probability that the ball will have an even number painted on it is 0.2 --> \(\frac{white}{25}-\frac{even}{25}=0.2\) --> \(white-even=25*0.2=5\) --> \(a-b=5\) --> \(b=a-5\) --> \(\frac{a+a-5-c}{25}=?\). Not sufficient.
Attachment:
2.JPG

(1)+(2) \(c=0\) and \(b=a-5\) --> \(\frac{a+a-5+0}{25}=\frac{2a-5}{25}\). Not sufficient.
Attachment:
3.JPG
Answer: E.


Hi Bunuel,

This is an interesting approach to this problem.

Please let me know when can we use this Transformation of probability into actual numbers.

And also if you have any similar questions in which I can apply this technique for practice.

Thanks in advance!!
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SudhanshuSingh
Bunuel
jananijayakumar
But how can this be solved in less than 2 mins???

You can solve this problem in another way. Transform probability into actual numbers and draw the table.

Given:
Attachment:
1.JPG

So we are asked to calculate \(\frac{a+b-c}{25}\) (we are subtracting \(c\) not to count twice even balls which are white).

(1) The probability that the ball will both be white and have an even number painted on it is 0 --> \(c=0\) --> \(\frac{a+b}{25}=?\). Not sufficient.
Attachment:
4.JPG

(2) The probability that the ball will be white minus the probability that the ball will have an even number painted on it is 0.2 --> \(\frac{white}{25}-\frac{even}{25}=0.2\) --> \(white-even=25*0.2=5\) --> \(a-b=5\) --> \(b=a-5\) --> \(\frac{a+a-5-c}{25}=?\). Not sufficient.
Attachment:
2.JPG

(1)+(2) \(c=0\) and \(b=a-5\) --> \(\frac{a+a-5+0}{25}=\frac{2a-5}{25}\). Not sufficient.
Attachment:
3.JPG
Answer: E.


Hi Bunuel,

This is an interesting approach to this problem.

Please let me know when can we use this Transformation of probability into actual numbers.

And also if you have any similar questions in which I can apply this technique for practice.

Thanks in advance!!

PS Overlapping + Probability questions

DS Overlapping + Probability questions

Hope it helps.
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Correct Option : E

the best part of DS is, one dont have to dig down the answer and logically to answer in few allocated mins.
either it will be YES or NO - simple, that's what GMAT test in such Question

to solve, we need 4 parameter
1. P(white or even)
2. P(white)
3. P(even)
4. P(white & even)

is it availabe in
A - YES or NO, No then Eliminate
B - YES or NO, No then Eliminate
C - by both (A & B)YES or NO, No then Eliminate
D - Is It not either A or B - YES or NO, No then Eliminate
E - No solution - WINNER
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