Pre-thinking:Conclusion: Mercury levels in saltwater fish are higher now than they were 100 years ago.
Premises on which it is based:i) Mercury that accumulates in a seabird’s feathers as the feathers grow is derived from fish eaten by the bird.
ii) Feathers recently taken from seabirds stuffed and preserved in the 1880s have been found to contain only half as much mercury as feathers recently taken from living birds of the same species.
Prima facie the argument seems to make sense. If mercury in the feathers derives from fish eaten, and recent feathers have more mercury, it is logical to suggest that fish now have more mercury. Therefore, in order to find an assumption, we are looking for one of the following:
1) Rule out an alternate explanation.
2) Rule out a correlation (a third variable that influences both time and mercury in feathers).
Let us examine the answers:
(A) the proportion of a seabird’s diet consisting of fish was not as high, on average, in the 1880s as it is today
This is worth considering. If mercury comes from fish, and the seabirds are eating more fish today, it is possible that this has led to more mercury. However, this assumes that the other portion of the diet does not contain any mercury. For now, we can hold on to this option.(B) the amount of mercury in a saltwater fish depends on the amount of pollution in the ocean habitat of the fish
This does not address the mercury in the feathers at all. Irrelevant. Eliminate.(C) mercury derived from fish is essential for the normal growth of a seabird’s feathers
This does not address the difference in the mercury levels in the feathers at all. Eliminate.(D) the stuffed seabirds whose feathers were tested for mercury were not fully grown
We know nothing about levels of mercury in the feathers of juvenile and adult seabirds. Out of scope. Eliminate.(E) the process used to preserve birds in the 1880s did not substantially decrease the amount of mercury in the birds’ feathers
Correct answer. This clearly rules out an alternate explanation for the different levels of mercury.Since (E) is a much cleaner option, we can eliminate option (A).Hope this helps.