Hey all,
Had time to go over my Jan11 Intake Waitlist stats. They are as follows:
Total # Registered on Thread (i.e. Waitlisted): 17
Admitted: 11
Definite No Admit: 2
Assume No Admit: 4
Admitted % = 65%
Admitted: 11
Notified 27/7/2010: 9 (or 82%)
Notified 15/10/2010: 1 (9%)
Notified 3/12/2010: 1 (9%)
FYI the 27/7/2010 date is not the date when R1 deposits were due; rather it was ~1-2 weeks after the official R2 interview notification. I would assume this is because the admissions committee wants to fully evaluate the R2 applicants as opposed to defaulting immediately to the R1 waitlist. However, they appear to do so without fully considering R2 interview results -- though the adcom's decision is after the interview notification, not every applicant is done with interviews within 2 weeks of that date.
That having been said, my conclusions:
1. 14 is too small a sample size to definitively conclude anything about waitlist admit rate, however;
2. 65% is pretty decent, especially with 81% notified within 2 months. I would still stick with a figure upwards of 50% depending on the "diversity" of the group that has chimed in on this thread;
3. Jan 21 is *not necessarily* the date we should be aiming for in terms of a response from the adcom due to deposits being due then. However, if we can get in touch with any of the admits and glean data from them and compare with 21 Jan, then we'll have a rough idea re: how many waitlist spots the adcom will look to fill;
4. The date we should all be aiming for with respect to a response is between 21-28 Jan (2 weeks post R2 interview decision date). Incidentally (or not), the R2 interview decision date is 14 Jan;
5. If you do not hear by 21-28 Jan (or whenever people start to come back reporting admits), your chances of eventual admit appear to diminish significantly. Not to say that they are 0% (or 9% of 65% for that matter), but keep in mind that the adcom also re-ups the waitlist with R2 applicants.
The adcom has said there is no ranking of the waitlist, but I would still think that they clear out most of the R1 waitlist during R2 applications, the R2 waitlist during R3 applications, and so on. When I say "clear out", I mean clear from consideration. Again, take with a grain of salt, and know that nothing is set in stone. If you've only applied to INSEAD, you might as well wait until the fat lady sings and you might get lucky with a late admit. Have your financing in order in case you get an admit two months prior to matriculation!
So...we need to find someone reliable who can give us MBA Connect information for the following *NOW* and on/after 21 Jan:
1. Total admits
2a. Total / M / F by major nationalities
or
2b. Total / M / F by nationality of those registered on this thread (requires a full & up-to-date roll call)
This will let us +/- estimate the absolute movement (assuming by nationality & gender) on the waitlist (though they are not the only two criteria the adcom looks at)
Thoughts?