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Journalist: Scrapping old freight ships for their steel tends to be big business, particularly when new shipbuilding is surging. The Hong Kong International Convention of 2009 sets minimum standards for ship recycling, a highly polluting activity, but countries that have not ratified the convention account for two-thirds of global scrapping. Nevertheless, although shipbuilding is surging, the total amount of pollution generated by ship recycling is likely to decrease in the near future. 

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the journalist's prediction? 

A) Although modifying scrapyards to comply with the convention involves significant up-front costs, the ongoing cost of compliance is minimal.

Doesn’t explain why pollution will decrease. This is out


B) Because the ships currently being built require less fuel per unit of freight, their overall environmental impact is less than the impact of the older ships.

Irrelevant because the conclusion mentions pollution from specifically ship building. Not pollution from running the ship. this is out.

C) Increased worldwide production of steel has led to a significant drop in the price of the metal.

Metal is now cheaper. Assuming that metal is more available, this puts less pressure on recycling efforts. If recycling goes down, pollution goes down. This is the correct answer.

D) Scrapyards in countries that have not ratified the convention are free to adhere to its restrictions if they choose to.
Not relevant

E) The price of transporting freight has fallen dramatically over the past decade

What does price of transporting freight have anything to do with pollution created from recycling??


C is the correct answer

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I answered the question incorrectly here. But my logic was since two-thirds of countries have not ratified the convention and if compliance requires one-off big cost with minimal cost going forward, countries complying with the convention would increase in future, decreasing the pollution from recycling. Why is it not the case?

Thank you!
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