Professor: Economists argue that buying lottery tickets is an unwise u

The key lies in understanding the argument.

This is a statement by a professor that in essence boils down to this :

Don't say Purchasing Lotteries is Unwise BECAUSE Nobody says purchasing a policy is unwise.
The Professor is able to make this point using a common parameter for lotteries and insurance policies ( Average payout vs Avg unit purchase cost)

A weakener would show a key difference as to why people should purchase insurance policies over lottery tickets.
Option E does the job perfectly.

VeritasKarishma GMATNinja @crackverbal can you please explain why option D is incorrect? if the odds of winning a lottery is lower than that of collecting a settlement from a insurance policy, then we can say that the reasoning by professor can't be taken into consideration.

Hi

Premises:

a) Average payoff per ticket sold in lottery is lower than cost of the ticket.
b) Average amount paid out per insurance policy is lower than average cost of the policy.
c) Purchase of insurance policies is not an unwise use of resources.

Conclusion: Because of / as derived from (a), (b) and (c) above, purchase of lottery tickets is not an unwise use of resources either.

A parallel is drawn between payoff vs cost per ticket/policy, and based on that a conclusion of similarity (in one particular aspect) is drawn between the two. To weaken the argument we are hence looking for some difference between the purchase of lottery tickets and insurance policies. Additionally, this difference must present insurance policies in a favorable light and/or lottery tickets in an unfavorable light.

Option (D) states that the "odds of winning the grand prize in a lottery are significantly lower than the odds of collecting a settlement from a typical insurance policy". The problem with this option is that the odds of winning the grand prize are the same (presumably) for every lottery ticket - each of them has an equal chance. The odds of collecting a settlement on an insurance policy, however, depend on the insured person actually having a healthcare related expenditure to be made (the option states the conditional probability of collecting a settlement given the necessity of a healthcare related expenditure, because otherwise there would be no claim to settle!).

Therefore, the two are not strictly comparable, and it is hard to draw the conclusion that this places the purchase of insurance policy on a higher pedestal. For instance, if the odds of an individual requiring a healthcare expense are very low, then the odds of a payout also fall substantially.

The easier argument to reject this option comes from the fact that the option talks about a settlement of a claim ie; reimbursement of money which would otherwise be spent/is already spent by the individual. The potential net gain for the individual here is zero or less, whereas the potential net gain in a lottery is definitely positive (assuming ticket and premium cost to be sunk). Hence, this does not really place insurance at a higher pedestal.

Hope this helps.

Payoff rates for insurance policies? Sounds exciting.

Economists say that buying a lottery ticket is a poor use of a person's resources because the average amount won by someone playing the lottery is less than the cost of a ticket. We have a professor who disagrees.

The professor argues that this comparison does not actually show that purchasing a ticket is a poor use of a person's resources. This is because no one claims buying insurance is a poor use of a person's resources, even though the average payout for an insurance policy is less than the average cost of buying a policy.

To most weaken the argument, we're looking for the answer choice that most undermines the professor's comparison. Let's take a look at the answer choices in question:

(D) talks about the odds of winning the GRAND PRIZE in the lottery being lower than the odds of obtaining a settlement from an insurance company. However, the professor does not mention just the grand prize, (s)he mentions the average payout from winning ANY PRIZE in the lottery.

If (D) told us that the odds of winning ANY PRIZE in the lottery were much lower than the odds of receiving a payout from an insurance settlement, then this could weaken the professor's argument -- in that case, the lottery could be seen as a poor use of resources (because there is such a low chance of winning) but buying insurance could be seen as a slightly better use of resources (because there is a much higher chance of getting a settlement payout).

However, (D) does not give us that information. We have no idea how the odds of winning the GRAND PRIZE play into the comparison between cost and AVERAGE payout of the lottery and insurance policies. Winning the grand prize could be extremely rare without impacting the professor's stance on average payout at all.

Therefore, (D) does not significantly weaken the professor's argument and we can rule it out as the final answer.


This answer choice looks at what provides the value of buying an insurance policy. If the value of an insurance policy comes from the protection against loss that the policy provides, rather than the money gained from a successful payout, then the comparison the professor makes falls apart.

By making the comparison questionable, this answer choice weakens the professor's argument. So (E) is the correct answer.

I hope this helps!

Professor: Economists argue that buying lottery tickets is an unwise use of resources, because the average payoff for the tickets sold in a lottery is much lower than the cost of a ticket. But this reasoning is faulty. The average amount paid out on individual insurance policies is much lower than the average cost of a policy, yet nobody would argue that purchasing insurance is an unwise use of resources.

Which one of the following, if true, most weakens the professor's argument?

(A) Individuals spend, on average, much more on insurance than on lottery tickets. - WRONG. Irrelevant.
(B) Insurance companies generally retain a higher proportion of total revenue than do organizations that sponsor lotteries. - WRONG. Irrelevant.
(C) Taking small financial risks can often greatly increase one's chances of obtaining much larger benefits. - WRONG. Irrelevant.
(D) In general, the odds of winning the grand prize in a lottery are significantly lower than the odds of collecting a settlement from a typical insurance policy. - WRONG. The comparison in reality is not correct in the passage, however, this choice distorts the comparison further so much so that average payoff is replaced by grnad prize and average cost of policy is replaced by collecting a settlement.  
(E) The protection against loss that insurance provides is more important to one's well-being than is the possibility of a windfall gain. - CORRECT. 

Only D and E stand out. D is slightly offtrack in its comparison.

Answer E.